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Are we in the beginning of a new bull market? The odds are against it.

Odds are that Thursday’s explosive rally was not the beginning of a new bull market.

That’s not because the impressive rally didn’t like a new bull market. The Dow Jones Industrial Average DJIA rose more than 500 points, or 1.6%. The S&P 500 SPX did even better, rising 2%, and the Nasdaq Composite COMP even better still, gaining 2.4%. As judged by the S&P 500, Thursday’s rally was the largest since early January. Even more encouraging, from the bulls’ perspective, is that the rally carried through into Friday as well, when…

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