June has been a weak month historically, second only to September. This bearish effect has dissipated over time. Over the last 50 years, the month has been up 30 times if the S&P 500 is used as a benchmark. This number is even higher if the S&P has been strong going into the month as it has been in 2023. The numbers on the DJIA are far less attractive, below 50% for June. Real estate stocks and telecommunication stocks have tended to be strong while technology, utility, and financial shares have tended to lag. I suspect that the market will be strong in the first half of the month, at least. There tends to be a correction in the third week. The S&P and especially the technology shares have such a strong momentum that the net result is likely to only be a shallow correction for the stronger stocks.
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