{"id":91693,"date":"2024-08-06T01:34:44","date_gmt":"2024-08-06T05:34:44","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ifintechworld.com\/?p=91693"},"modified":"2024-08-06T01:34:48","modified_gmt":"2024-08-06T05:34:48","slug":"dividend-printer-cboe-capitalizing-on-market-turmoil","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ifintechworld.com\/?p=91693","title":{"rendered":"Dividend Printer CBOE: Capitalizing On Market Turmoil"},"content":{"rendered":"<div data-test-id=\"content-container\">\n<p><figure class=\"getty-figure\" data-type=\"getty-image\"><picture><\/picture><figcaption><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/p>\n<h2>Introduction<\/h2>\n<p>While I am writing this, markets are panicking.<\/p>\n<p>Volatility, as measured by the CBOE Volatility Index, has spiked to more than 40, the highest number since 2020, when the world was hit by bad news from Wuhan, China (pandemic).<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible\">\n<figure class=\"regular-img-figure paywall-full-content invisible\" contenteditable=\"false\"><picture><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/ifintechworld.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/saupload_-1x-1.png\" alt=\"Image\" contenteditable=\"false\" loading=\"lazy\"><\/picture><figcaption>\n<p class=\"item-caption\">Bloomberg<\/p>\n<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible\">This is the result of a number of headwinds, including poor economic growth in the United States, an unwinding carry trade that involves the Japanese yen, geopolitical uncertainty, and the fact that tech stocks are still trading at a lofty valuation.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible\">I added emphasis to the quote below:<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"paywall-full-content invisible\">\n<p><em>Markets are extending last week&#8217;s retreat, when a weak US jobs report ignited fears that the Fed isn&#8217;t moving fast enough to prevent a sharp economic downturn. <strong>The wave of selling hit a fever pitch in Japan as traders rushed to unwind popular carry trades<\/strong>, powering a<span class=\"paywall-full-content no-summary-bullets invisible\"> 3% surge in the yen and causing the Topix stock index to shed 12% and close the day with the biggest three-day drop in data stretching back to 1959.<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content no-summary-bullets invisible\"><em>The key point is the <strong>current shift in narrative, from no landing to soft landing<\/strong>,&#8221; said Florian Ielpo, the head of macro research at Lombard Odier Asset Management. &#8220;<strong>That risk was poorly priced and investors shifting gears fast explains the extent of the move<\/strong>.&#8221; &#8211; Bloomberg<\/em><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">With that said, for some companies, higher volatility is a blessing. One of these companies is <strong>Cboe Global Markets (<span class=\"ticker-hover-wrapper\">BATS:CBOE<\/span>)<\/strong>, a company I called <em>&#8220;One Of The Best Compounders In Finance<\/em>&#8221; in my March 10 article.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">Since then, shares have returned 4.6%, which is in line with the return of the S&amp;P 500.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">In this article, I&#8217;ll update my thesis on the company behind the CBOE VIX index and explain why I continue to believe it&#8217;s one of the best dividend growth stocks in the market &#8211; not just in finance.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">So, let&#8217;s dive into the details!<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">What&#8217;s Cboe?<\/h2>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">Did I ever mention I love stock exchanges?<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">That&#8217;s a rhetorical question, as I have covered two of Cboe&#8217;s biggest peers in recent weeks in very bullish articles (here and here).<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">A few years ago, a very wealthy fund manager said that owning Cboe (and its peers) is like owning a money printer. Whenever someone places a trade on one of its exchanges, shareholders make money.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">The higher the volatility, the better.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">Founded in 1937, Chicago-based Cboe owns the Chicago Board Options Exchange and the exchange operator BATS Global Markets.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">\n<figure class=\"regular-img-figure paywall-full-content invisible\" contenteditable=\"false\"><picture><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.sec.gov\/Archives\/edgar\/data\/1374310\/000155837024001277\/cboe-20231231x10k001.jpg\" alt=\"Graphic\" contenteditable=\"false\" loading=\"lazy\"><\/picture><figcaption>\n<p class=\"item-caption\">Cboe Global Markets<\/p>\n<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">Here&#8217;s a list of the company&#8217;s biggest operations &#8211; based on its 10-K:<\/p>\n<ul class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">\n<li>\n<p><strong>Options Exchange<\/strong>: Cboe operates the largest options exchange in the U.S., which offers a wide range of options trading services.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<p><strong>Stock Exchange Operator<\/strong>: Cboe is the third-largest stock exchange operator in the U.S.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<p><strong>Cboe Europe<\/strong>: The company owns one of the largest stock exchanges by value traded in Europe.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<p><strong>Cboe Clear Europe<\/strong>: This is a clearinghouse that provides pan-European equities and derivatives clearing services.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<p><strong>BIDS Holdings<\/strong>: The company owns a leading block-trading ATS (Alternative Trading System) in the U.S. and offers block-trading services in Europe, Canada, Australia, and Japan through Cboe market operators.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">It also owns trading venues in Australia and Japan, a digital asset spot market and future exchange, a clearinghouse for digital assets, and a Canadian securities exchange.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">The company also has major licensing deals with companies like S&amp;P Global (SPGI), MSCI (MSCI), and others and works with a wide range of institutions, trading platforms, and professional traders.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">And while its revenue is impacted by major M&amp;A deals, it&#8217;s fair to say that upswings in volatility are highly favorable for the company (see below).<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">\n<figure class=\"sa-widget sa-ycharts paywall-full-content invisible\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/ifintechworld.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/saupload_47f3dd947f10bde4d6b277979b3c97f4.png\" alt=\"Chart\" width=\"635\" height=\"366\" class=\"sa-ycharts-img\" data-width=\"635\" data-height=\"366\" loading=\"lazy\"><figcaption>Data by YCharts<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">Right now, this business model is firing on all cylinders.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">Cboe&#8217;s Is All About Capturing Market Share<\/h2>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">A few days ago, Cboe reported its 2Q24 earnings, which saw a 10% year-over-year increase in revenue to more than $510 million. This paved the road for a 21% increase in adjusted earnings per share to $2.15.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">\n<figure class=\"regular-img-figure paywall-full-content invisible\" contenteditable=\"false\"><span><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/ifintechworld.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/31557165-17228689466877868.png\" alt=\"Image\" contenteditable=\"false\" loading=\"lazy\"><\/span><figcaption>\n<p class=\"item-caption\">Cboe Global Markets<\/p>\n<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">As we can see in the overview above, the Cash and Spot Markets category saw a 15% year-over-year revenue increase. Meanwhile, the Derivatives segment saw an 11% rise in organic net revenue.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">Moreover, the company&#8217;s proprietary index option and futures products, especially the S&amp;P 500 Index option (&#8220;SPX&#8221;) and the Volatility Index, saw increased trading volumes. This is measured by average daily volumes (&#8220;ADV&#8221;).<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">SPX contracts saw 9% growth. VIX futures grew by 30%.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">\n<figure class=\"regular-img-figure paywall-full-content invisible\" contenteditable=\"false\"><span><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/ifintechworld.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/31557165-1722869435514104.png\" alt=\"Image\" contenteditable=\"false\" loading=\"lazy\"><\/span><figcaption>\n<p class=\"item-caption\">Cboe Global Markets<\/p>\n<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">What&#8217;s interesting to notice is that the company has shifted focus from mergers and acquisitions to organic growth, benefitting from its existing capabilities that were expanded through M&amp;A in the past.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">As I already briefly mentioned, this includes refocusing efforts on digital asset derivatives and its technology infrastructure.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">Essentially, the company makes the case that by investing in its global technology platform, it can enhance trading experiences and expand market access, especially in the Asia Pacific region, where demand for U.S. market exposure is growing.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">\n<figure class=\"regular-img-figure paywall-full-content invisible\" contenteditable=\"false\"><span><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/ifintechworld.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/31557165-17228697629930248.png\" alt=\"Image\" contenteditable=\"false\" loading=\"lazy\"><\/span><figcaption>\n<p class=\"item-caption\">Cboe Global Markets<\/p>\n<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">So far, Cboe&#8217;s global expansion strategy has positioned it as a key player in importing U.S. market opportunities to international investors and exporting its exchange technology and data.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">These efforts include the expansion of SPX options in regions like Hong Kong, Thailand, And South Korea, allowing investors in these nations to get better access to the U.S. market.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">Moreover, the company&#8217;s European Derivatives platform, called CEDX, successfully launched its first equity options trade. The company also made significant progress in tightening spreads and improving liquidity in European markets.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">As we can see below, the U.S. equity and index options market is 17x larger than the Pan-European market!<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">\n<figure class=\"regular-img-figure paywall-full-content invisible\" contenteditable=\"false\"><span><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/ifintechworld.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/31557165-17228706607222283.png\" alt=\"Image\" contenteditable=\"false\" loading=\"lazy\"><\/span><figcaption>\n<p class=\"item-caption\">Cboe Global Markets<\/p>\n<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">Meanwhile, the Data and Access Solutions isn&#8217;t doing poorly, either.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">Despite a tough comparison quarter, revenues in this segment rose by 5%, supported by the launch of new products, including Dedicated Cores, which improves exchange access and reduces latency.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">Moreover, 40% of growth in this segment came from the U.S.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">\n<figure class=\"regular-img-figure paywall-full-content invisible\" contenteditable=\"false\"><span><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/ifintechworld.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/31557165-17228709182933788.png\" alt=\"Image\" contenteditable=\"false\" loading=\"lazy\"><\/span><figcaption>\n<p class=\"item-caption\">Cboe Global Markets<\/p>\n<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">Personally, I&#8217;m impressed by these numbers. Not only because they indicate strong growth, but also because this happened during a period when volatility was very low.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">This bodes well for future growth and shareholder distributions.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">Shareholder Distributions &amp; Valuation<\/h2>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">In the second quarter, Cboe bought back $90 million worth of shares, bringing the total for the first half of 2024 to $180 million. Over the past ten years, Cboe has bought back 1.4% of its shares. That&#8217;s not a lot.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">\n<figure class=\"sa-widget sa-ycharts paywall-full-content invisible\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/ifintechworld.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/saupload_54fd5d7c39d481d85747df2fd35001ea.png\" alt=\"Chart\" width=\"635\" height=\"366\" class=\"sa-ycharts-img\" data-width=\"635\" data-height=\"366\" loading=\"lazy\"><figcaption>Data by YCharts<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">The good news is that buybacks are likely to get more aggressive as the company is focusing on organic growth instead of M&amp;A. It also helps that is has a very healthy balance sheet with a 1.1x leverage ratio.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">Additionally, the company returned $58.2 million to shareholders through a $0.55 per share quarterly dividend. The last time this dividend was hiked was on August 16, 2023, when the company hiked by 10%.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">The dividend has a five-year CAGR of 12.1% and a payout ratio of just 26%. CBOE yields 1.1%.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">\n<figure class=\"sa-widget sa-ycharts paywall-full-content invisible\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/ifintechworld.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/saupload_82759ec9298defd3829bc73ef3ffd985.png\" alt=\"Chart\" width=\"635\" height=\"366\" class=\"sa-ycharts-img\" data-width=\"635\" data-height=\"366\" loading=\"lazy\"><figcaption>Data by YCharts<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">Overall, the company returned nearly $300 million to shareholders in the first half of 2024, which translates to 65% of its adjusted earnings.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">In other words, there&#8217;s a lot of room for dividend growth and buybacks &#8211; especially given the company&#8217;s focus on organic growth.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">The only reason it has a yield of just 1.1% is because capital gains have offset dividend growth. Over the past ten years, CBOE has returned 352%, much more than the already impressive 229% return of the S&amp;P 500.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">\n<figure class=\"sa-widget sa-ycharts paywall-full-content invisible\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/ifintechworld.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/saupload_ac43314738523564401dc1f8b44bc662.png\" alt=\"Chart\" width=\"635\" height=\"366\" class=\"sa-ycharts-img\" data-width=\"635\" data-height=\"366\" loading=\"lazy\"><figcaption>Data by YCharts<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">Going forward, we can expect growth to remain elevated.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">On a full-year basis, the company expects 7% to 10% organic growth in its Data and Access Solutions business and at least 6% total organic revenue growth.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">\n<figure class=\"regular-img-figure paywall-full-content invisible\" contenteditable=\"false\"><span><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/ifintechworld.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/31557165-17228732440850034.png\" alt=\"Image\" contenteditable=\"false\" loading=\"lazy\"><\/span><figcaption>\n<p class=\"item-caption\">Cboe Global Markets<\/p>\n<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">Speaking of expectations, using the FactSet data in the chart below, CBOE is expected to grow its EPS by 6-9% per year through at least 2026. I expect actual growth rates to come in higher, especially if we get higher volatility.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">\n<figure class=\"regular-img-figure paywall-full-content invisible\" contenteditable=\"false\"><span><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/ifintechworld.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/31557165-17228733967613175.png\" alt=\"Image\" contenteditable=\"false\" loading=\"lazy\"><\/span><figcaption>\n<p class=\"item-caption\">FAST Graphs<\/p>\n<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">That said, with a blended P\/E ratio of 23.6x, the stock trades slightly above its long-term normalized P\/E ratio of 23.0x.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">This implies an annual return of 7-10%, including its 1.1% dividend yield.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">As such, I remain bullish and believe the company is in a great spot to beat the market on a prolonged basis.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">Takeaway<\/h2>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">In a volatile market, some companies thrive. Cboe Global Markets is one of them.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">Despite recent market turbulence, Cboe&#8217;s robust performance underscores its resilience and growth potential.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">With strong revenue growth and impressive growth in key segments like SPX options and VIX futures, it&#8217;s fair to say that Cboe&#8217;s strategy shift from M&amp;A to organic growth is paying off.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">Meanwhile, the company&#8217;s global expansion and focus on enhancing technology infrastructure position it as a major player in connecting international investors to U.S. markets.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">With a commitment to shareholder returns through dividends and buybacks, Cboe remains a top pick for long-term growth and stability.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">Pros &amp; Cons<\/h2>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\"><strong>Pros:<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">\n<li> <strong>Strong Growth Potential:<\/strong> CBOE is capitalizing on market volatility, driving impressive growth in trading volumes, especially with products like SPX options and VIX futures.<\/li>\n<li> <strong>Global Expansion:<\/strong> The company&#8217;s strategic focus on international markets and digital assets is expanding its revenue base and opening new opportunities.<\/li>\n<li> <strong>Consistent Shareholder Returns:<\/strong> With increasing buybacks and a consistently growing dividend, CBOE continues to reward shareholders.<\/li>\n<li> <strong>Resilient Business Model:<\/strong> CBOE benefits from high volatility, making it a great hedge in times of volatility.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\"><strong>Cons:<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">\n<li> <strong>Dependence on Market Volatility:<\/strong> While high volatility benefits CBOE, periods of low volatility could slow growth and impact revenues. However, its expansion into services lowers these risks.<\/li>\n<li> <strong>Competitive Industry:<\/strong> CBOE operates in a highly competitive industry. This requires constant innovation to maintain its market share.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/div>\n<p>Read the full article <a href=\"https:\/\/seekingalpha.com\/article\/4710711-dividend-printer-cboe-capitalizing-market-turmoil?source=feed_all_articles\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">here<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Introduction While I am writing this, markets are panicking. Volatility, as measured by the CBOE Volatility Index, has spiked to more than 40, the highest number since 2020, when the world was hit by bad news from Wuhan, China (pandemic). Bloomberg This is the result of a number of headwinds, including poor economic growth in [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":91694,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"gallery","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[236],"tags":[83],"class_list":["post-91693","post","type-post","status-publish","format-gallery","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news","tag-featured","post_format-post-format-gallery"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v20.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Dividend Printer CBOE: Capitalizing On Market Turmoil | iFintechWorld<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Introduction While I am writing this, markets are panicking. 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