{"id":84333,"date":"2023-11-14T07:49:42","date_gmt":"2023-11-14T12:49:42","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ifintechworld.com\/markets\/down-4-ytd-what-should-you-expect-from-ebay-stock\/"},"modified":"2023-11-14T07:49:44","modified_gmt":"2023-11-14T12:49:44","slug":"down-4-ytd-what-should-you-expect-from-ebay-stock","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ifintechworld.com\/?p=84333","title":{"rendered":"Down 4% YTD, What Should You Expect From EBay Stock?"},"content":{"rendered":"<div>\n<p>eBay\u2019s stock (NASDAQ<fbs-ticker data-name=\"NDAQ\" data-href=\"https:\/\/www.forbes.com\/companies\/nasdaq\" data-type=\"stock\"><br \/>\n  NDAQ<br \/>\n <\/fbs-ticker>: EBAY) has lost roughly 4% YTD, as compared to the 14% rise in the S&amp;P500 index. However, at its current price of $40, the stock is trading 13% below its fair value of $46 \u2013 Trefis\u2019 estimate for <strong data-ga-track=\"ExternalLink:https:\/\/www.trefis.com\/data\/companies\/EBAY\/no-login-required\/Op7laawk\/eBay-EBAY-Valuation-Is-EBAY-Stock-Expensive-Or-Cheap-?fromforbesandarticle=trefis231114\">eBay\u2019s valuation<\/strong><strong>. <\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Amid the current financial backdrop, EBAY stock has seen a decline of 20% from levels of $50 in early January 2021 to around $40 now, vs. an increase of about 15% for the S&amp;P 500 over this roughly 3-year period. However, the decrease in EBAY stock has been far from consistent. Returns for the stock were 32% in 2021, -38% in 2022, and -4% in 2023. In comparison, returns for the S&amp;P 500 have been 27% in 2021, -19% in 2022, and 14% in 2023 &#8211; indicating that <strong>EBAY underperformed the S&amp;P<\/strong> in 2022 and 2023. In fact, <strong>consistently beating the S&amp;P 500<\/strong> &#8211; in good times and bad &#8211; has been difficult over recent years for individual stocks; for heavyweights in the Consumer Discretionary sector including AMZN, TSLA, and TM, and even for the megacap stars GOOG, MSFT, and AAPL. In contrast, the Trefis High Quality Portfolio, with a collection of 30 stocks, has <strong>outperformed the S&amp;P 500 each year<\/strong> over the same period. <strong>Why is that?<\/strong> As a group, HQ Portfolio stocks provided better returns with less risk versus the benchmark index; less of a roller-coaster ride as evident in HQ Portfolio performance metrics. Given the current uncertain macroeconomic environment with high oil prices and elevated interest rates, could EBAY face a similar situation as it did in 2022 and 2023 and <strong>underperform the S&amp;P<\/strong> over the next 12 months &#8211; or will it see a recovery?<\/p>\n<p>The company outperformed the consensus estimates of earnings in the third quarter of 2023, while the revenues were in line with expectations. It posted total revenues of $2.5 billion \u2013 up 5% y-o-y, driven by higher take rate (net revenues divided by gross merchandise value) and investment in focus categories. Notably, the gross merchandise value improved 2% y-o-y in the quarter. On the expense front, the operating expenses as a % of revenues witnessed a favorable drop. Further, the income from equity investments grew from -$593 million to $1.2 billion. Overall, it resulted in a net income of $1.3 billion as compared to the net loss of $69 million in the year-ago period.<\/p>\n<p>The revenues grew 4% y-o-y to $7.55 billion in the first nine months of FY2023, primarily because of a higher take rate. However, the website traffic suffered over the same period due to tough macroeconomic conditions. Further, the GMV was reduced by 1% y-o-y. On the cost front, the operating expenses as a % of revenues increased from 66% to 72%. That said, the negative impact was more than offset by a sizable jump in gain on equity investments from -$4.1 billion to $1.2 billion. Altogether, the net income improved from -$1.9 billion to $2 billion.<\/p>\n<p><fbs-ad position=\"inread\" progressive=\"\" ad-id=\"article-0-inread\" aria-hidden=\"true\" role=\"presentation\"><\/fbs-ad><\/p>\n<p>Moving forward,<strong> <\/strong><strong data-ga-track=\"ExternalLink:https:\/\/www.trefis.com\/data\/companies\/EBAY\/no-login-required\/2W7AdUw4\/eBay-Revenues-How-Does-EBAY-Make-Money-?fromforbesandarticle=trefis231114\">eBay\u2019s revenues<\/strong> are estimated to touch $10.06 billion in FY2023. Further, the firm\u2019s revenue per share is likely to increase from $17.55 to $19.80 in the year. This coupled with a P\/S multiple of 2.3x will lead to a valuation of $46.<\/p>\n<p>Invest with <strong>Trefis <\/strong><strong data-ga-track=\"ExternalLink:https:\/\/dashboards.trefis.com\/data\/companies\/PORTFOLIOS\/no-login-required\/M7MacZNG?fromforbes\">Market Beating Portfolios<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>See all <strong>Trefis <\/strong><strong data-ga-track=\"ExternalLink:https:\/\/dashboards.trefis.com\/data\/price-estimates?fromforbes\">Price Estimates<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p>Read the full article <a href=\"https:\/\/www.forbes.com\/sites\/greatspeculations\/2023\/11\/14\/down-4-ytd-what-should-you-expect-from-ebay-stock\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">here<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>eBay\u2019s stock (NASDAQ NDAQ : EBAY) has lost roughly 4% YTD, as compared to the 14% rise in the S&amp;P500 index. However, at its current price of $40, the stock is trading 13% below its fair value of $46 \u2013 Trefis\u2019 estimate for eBay\u2019s valuation. Amid the current financial backdrop, EBAY stock has seen a [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":84334,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[241],"tags":[83],"class_list":["post-84333","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-markets","tag-featured"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v20.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Down 4% YTD, What Should You Expect From EBay Stock? | iFintechWorld<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"eBay\u2019s stock (NASDAQ NDAQ : EBAY) has lost roughly 4% YTD, as compared to the 14% rise in the S&amp;P500 index. 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