{"id":84238,"date":"2023-11-14T02:09:47","date_gmt":"2023-11-14T07:09:47","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ifintechworld.com\/news\/unlocking-vietnams-economic-potential-seeking-alpha\/"},"modified":"2023-11-14T02:09:49","modified_gmt":"2023-11-14T07:09:49","slug":"unlocking-vietnams-economic-potential-seeking-alpha","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ifintechworld.com\/?p=84238","title":{"rendered":"Unlocking Vietnam\u2019s Economic Potential | Seeking Alpha"},"content":{"rendered":"<div data-test-id=\"content-container\">\n<p><figure class=\"getty-figure\" data-type=\"getty-image\"><picture>  <\/picture><figcaption> <\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/p>\n<p><em>Vietnam is becoming an increasingly attractive investment destination thanks to its sturdy GDP growth, strides in its high-tech manufacturing capabilities, and strong US ties.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>Vietnam&#8217;s resilience shines as its GDP steadily grows despite global<span class=\"paywall-full-content invisible\"> challenges. The nation is drawing foreign investment and making strides in high-tech manufacturing, particularly semiconductors, positioning itself in the global supply chain.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible\">With a booming rare earths industry and strong US ties, Vietnam is set to play a pivotal role in various sectors. This blog explores what makes Vietnam an attractive investment destination.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"paywall-full-content invisible\">Economic Resilience<\/h2>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible\">Vietnam\u2019s GDP grew by 8.0% in 2022 as the country\u2019s economy benefited from exports of goods during the COVID-19 pandemic. This year Vietnam\u2019s economy has stabilized at a GDP growth of 5.3% year-over-year (YoY) in 3Q 2023.<sup>1<\/sup><\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible\">The country\u2019s economy has been fairly resilient despite<span class=\"paywall-full-content no-summary-bullets invisible\"> headwinds from higher commodity prices resulting from the Russia-Ukraine war and a slowdown in China, which happens to be one of Vietnam\u2019s largest trading partner.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2 class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">Climbing the Value Chain Ladder<\/h2>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">Vietnam&#8217;s trade faced some headwinds this year due to reduced demand from major trade partners. Exports fell 10% YoY<sup>2<\/sup> in the first eight months of 2023 and finally turned positive in September.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">Vietnam\u2019s manufacturing sector&#8217;s contribution to the economy is growing, but the value it adds has remained relatively flat, despite declining by 0.37% in 2023 compared to 2022.<sup>3<\/sup><\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">This means that although Vietnam is producing more, it&#8217;s not capturing more of the value within its borders. This is partly due to fragmented supply chains, revealing Vietnam&#8217;s import-dependent status.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">Vietnam\u2019s government is keenly aware of this challenge and is actively trying to lure foreign investments in high-tech manufacturing particularly in the semiconductor sector.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">The country has signed multiple Free Trade Agreements (FTAs) to encourage foreign cooperation with its local industries. Policy makers are also offering supportive measures such as tax incentives, preferential loan rates, waived import duties and preferential land use fees for high tech factories.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">Strong government support appears to be yielding some early results. The country has achieved impressive growth in electronics exports, notably to the United States. From virtually zero, Vietnam now accounts for around 10% of all U.S. electronics imports.<sup>4<\/sup><\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\"><strong>Sharp rise in electronic, computer, and phone manufacturing has driven Vietnam\u2019s export growth<\/strong><\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/ifintechworld.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/11\/3818_vietnman-november-2023_chart-1_2023.11_v1_blog.svg.svg+xml\" alt=\"A look at FDI in Vietnam over the years\" loading=\"lazy\"><\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">Source: JP Morgan Research<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">Strong Foreign Investment in Vietnam Continues<\/h2>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">Despite facing a challenging environment characterized by sluggish growth and lackluster export performance throughout the year, Vietnam has managed to attract $15.9 billion in Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) YTD.<sup>5<\/sup><\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">The manufacturing sector maintained its position as the primary attraction for FDI, with investments exceeding $14 billion YTD, reflecting a substantial gain of 15.5% YoY.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">This achievement is significant given the prevailing uncertainty, inflationary pressures, and waning confidence in the global economic landscape. Key Apple suppliers such as Foxconn Technology Group (OTCPK:FXCOF), GoerTek Inc., Luxshare Precision Industry Co., and Pegatron Corp. have set up factories in Vietnam; bringing electronics industry share of total exports to 32% in 2022.<sup>6<\/sup><\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">Vitenam: Foreign Direct Investment (Realized Capital) Flows<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/ifintechworld.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/11\/3818_vietnman-november-2023_chart-2_2023.11_v1_blog.svg.svg+xml\" alt=\"A sharp rise in electronic, computer, and phone manufacturing has driven Vietnam's export growth\" loading=\"lazy\"><\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">Disbursed foreign direct investment flows into Vietnam. Graphics by UOB<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">Strategic Materials, Semiconductors and Friend-shoring<\/h2>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">Vietnam has the world\u2019s second largest reserves of rare earths, estimated at 22 million tonnes second only to China.<sup>7<\/sup> Its rare earths industry is booming with 2022 production of 4,300 tonnes up about 11 times relative to its 2021 production of only 400 tonnes.<sup>7<\/sup> The country aims to raise its rare earths production to 2.02 million tonnes a year by 2030.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">Foreign companies including Korean and Chinese magnet firms, which include an Apple (AAPL) supplier are set to open factories in Vietnam to diversify supply chains away from China.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">China currently holds a dominant position in the production of magnets and the essential rare earth metals used in their manufacturing. These magnets are crucial components in various products, including electric vehicles, wind turbines, weapons, and smartphones, making this sector of significant strategic importance.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">Vietnam has begun developing a processing industry in this field and has the potential to emerge as a substantial competitor in the rare earth metals and magnets sector.<sup>8<\/sup><\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">Vietnam has emerged as a beneficiary of U.S.-China decoupling and the U.S. is Vietnam\u2019s largest trading partner accounting for 33% of its exports.<sup>9<\/sup> The U.S. recently signed the U.S.-Vietnam Comprehensive Economic Partnership agreement to enhance cooperation between the two countries in a wide range of industries.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">One specific partnership to note is the U.S.-Vietnam pledge to actively support the rapid development of Vietnam&#8217;s semiconductor ecosystem. The U.S. is committing seed funding of $2 million to kickstart the semiconductor workforce development initiatives in Vietnam.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">Semiconductors are a critical component in various technologies, and this collaboration aims to improve Vietnam&#8217;s position in the global supply chain for semiconductors, indicating the significant role Vietnam is poised to play in the industry&#8217;s growth.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">A bilateral Memorandum of Understanding was also agreed to secure critical mineral supply chains, including technical cooperation to help develop Vietnam&#8217;s rare earths industry.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">Vietnam\u2019s government has been courting key players in internal circuit design and semiconductor industries in order to encourage more investment into the country.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">These firms include industry leaders such as Nvidia (NVDA), Synopsys (SNPS), Qualcomm (QCOM), Marvell (MRVL), and Cadence Design Systems (CDNS). These are all positive developments for Vietnam and speak to the country\u2019s future technological potential.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">In conclusion, Vietnam stands at the threshold of an exciting economic transformation. The nation has demonstrated impressive resilience, attracting foreign investments and fostering growth in high-value sectors.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">With substantial rare earth reserves and a growing semiconductor sector, Vietnam is poised to become a vital player in global supply chains. The strong partnership between the U.S. and Vietnam further solidifies the nation&#8217;s position in the global economic landscape.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">Investors looking for growth opportunities should keep an eye on Vietnam as it climbs the value chain and expands its presence in strategic sectors, making it a compelling investment destination.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">Broad-based indices have also aptly captured the dynamic changes in Vietnam\u2019s economy. The average weight of materials sector in the MarketVector Vietnam-based indices increased over 70%, while the average weight of industrials sectors increased 20% since the index\u2019s inception in August, 2009.<sup>10<\/sup><\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">The current geopolitical environment could boost growth in Vietnamese companies operating in materials, industrials, and information technology sectors. These favorable trends shaping the Vietnamese economy could likely benefit investors with exposure to Vietnamese equities.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">How to Invest<\/h2>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\"><strong>VanEck Vietnam ETF (<\/strong><strong>VNM)<\/strong> provides access to the growth story of Vietnam and could be an appealing investment for investors seeking growth exposure outside of traditional emerging markets. VNM, the largest and most liquid<sup>11<\/sup> U.S. &#8211; listed Vietnam ETF provides investors one trade access to the Vietnamese market. <\/p>\n<h2 class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">Disclosures<\/h2>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\"><sup>1<\/sup> <strong>Vietnam estimates Q3 GDP growth of 5.33% y\/y<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\"><sup>2<\/sup> <strong>Vietnam August exports slide, but factory output improves<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\"><sup>3<\/sup> <strong>Boosting Vietnam&#8217;s manufacturing sector: From low cost to high productivity<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\"><sup>4<\/sup> JP Morgan Research.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\"><sup>5<\/sup> Data as of 9\/30\/2023, Source: VNEXPRESS International.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\"><sup>6<\/sup> <strong>Vietnam, Poland, Mexico, Morocco Benefit From US-China Tensions &#8211; Bloomberg<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\"><sup>7<\/sup> Vietnam aims to raise raw rare earths output to 2 million tonnes a year by 2030 | Reuters.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\"><sup>8<\/sup> Exclusive: Rare earths magnet firms turn to Vietnam in China hedge | Reuters.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\"><sup>9<\/sup> Data as of 12\/31\/2022 Macrotrends | The Long Term Perspective on Markets.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\"><sup>10<\/sup> Factset data as of 10\/31\/2023, representing Vietnam incorporated companies only.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\"><sup>11<\/sup> Factset data as of 10\/31\/2023.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">This is not an offer to buy or sell, or a recommendation to buy or sell any of the securities, financial instruments or digital assets mentioned herein. The information presented does not involve the rendering of personalized investment, financial, legal, tax advice, or any call to action. Certain statements contained herein may constitute projections, forecasts and other forward-looking statements, which do not reflect actual results, are for illustrative purposes only, are valid as of the date of this communication, and are subject to change without notice. Actual future performance of any assets or industries mentioned are unknown. Information provided by third party sources are believed to be reliable and have not been independently verified for accuracy or completeness and cannot be guaranteed. VanEck does not guarantee the accuracy of third party data. The information herein represents the opinion of the author(s), but not necessarily those of VanEck or its other employees.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">An investment in the Fund may be subject to risks which include, but are not limited to, special risk considerations of investing in Vietnamese issuers, foreign securities, emerging and frontier market issuers, foreign currency, depositary receipts, real estate sector, consumer staples sector, financials sector, basic materials sector, small- and medium-capitalization companies, cash transactions, equity securities, market, operational, index tracking, authorized participant concentration, no guarantee of active trading market, trading issues, passive management, fund shares trading, premium\/discount risk and liquidity of fund shares, issuer-specific changes, non-diversified and index-related concentration risks, all of which may adversely affect the Fund. Emerging and frontier market issuers and foreign securities may be subject to securities markets, political and economic, investment and repatriation restrictions, different rules and regulations, less publicly available financial information, foreign currency and exchange rates, operational and settlement, and corporate and securities laws risks. Small- and medium-capitalization companies may be subject to elevated risks.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\"><strong>Investing involves substantial risk and high volatility, including possible loss of principal. An investor should consider the investment objective, risks, charges and expenses of the Fund carefully before investing. To obtain a prospectus and summary prospectus, which contains this and other information, call 800.826.2333 or visit vaneck.com. Please read the prospectus and summary prospectus carefully before investing.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">\u00a9 Van Eck Securities Corporation, Distributor, a wholly owned subsidiary of Van Eck Associates Corporation.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\"><em>Original Post<\/em><\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\"><strong>Editor&#8217;s Note:<\/strong> The summary bullets for this article were chosen by Seeking Alpha editors.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p>Read the full article <a href=\"https:\/\/seekingalpha.com\/article\/4651450-unlocking-vietnam-economic-potential?source=feed_all_articles\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">here<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Vietnam is becoming an increasingly attractive investment destination thanks to its sturdy GDP growth, strides in its high-tech manufacturing capabilities, and strong US ties. Vietnam&#8217;s resilience shines as its GDP steadily grows despite global challenges. The nation is drawing foreign investment and making strides in high-tech manufacturing, particularly semiconductors, positioning itself in the global supply [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":84239,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"gallery","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[236],"tags":[83],"class_list":["post-84238","post","type-post","status-publish","format-gallery","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news","tag-featured","post_format-post-format-gallery"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v20.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Unlocking Vietnam\u2019s Economic Potential | Seeking Alpha | iFintechWorld<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Vietnam is becoming an increasingly attractive investment destination thanks to its sturdy GDP growth, strides in its high-tech manufacturing\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, 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