{"id":68301,"date":"2023-10-03T15:12:28","date_gmt":"2023-10-03T19:12:28","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ifintechworld.com\/investing\/ai-fever-and-elevated-demand-raise-the-bar-for-nvidia-margin-expectations\/"},"modified":"2023-10-03T15:12:30","modified_gmt":"2023-10-03T19:12:30","slug":"ai-fever-and-elevated-demand-raise-the-bar-for-nvidia-margin-expectations","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ifintechworld.com\/?p=68301","title":{"rendered":"AI fever and elevated demand raise the bar for Nvidia margin expectations"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Nvidia Corp.\u2019s stock made it to the conviction list of one Wall Street firm on Monday, while an analyst at another forecast that the chip maker could drop its next-generation architecture early.   <\/p>\n<div>\n<p>The stock led gainers on the PHLX Semiconductor index<br \/>\n        SOX<span>,<\/span><br \/>\n       which rose 0.4% on Monday. Meanwhile, the S&amp;P 500 index<br \/>\n        SPX<br \/>\n       was virtually flat, and the Nasdaq Composite Index<br \/>\n        COMP<br \/>\n       finished up  0.7%.<\/p>\n<p>Goldman added Nvidia to its conviction list,  referring to the company as the main \u201cshovel supplier\u201d in the AI \u201cgold rush,\u201d a position the company has cultivated over the years. Goldman said the rest of Wall Street is underestimating the potential gross-margin uplift from an improving mix \u2014 that is, faster growth in data center, as well as operating-expense leverage inherent in Nvidia\u2019s GPU platform-based business model.<\/p>\n<p><strong>From the archives (November 2021):<\/strong> Nvidia seeks to lead gold rush into the metaverse with new AI tools<\/p>\n<p>Recently,\u00a0Nvidia\u2019s data-center sales topped Wall Street expectations by more than $2 billion,\u00a0while the company\u2019s revenue forecast for the third quarter was more than $3 billion higher than expected. The company also reported adjusted gross margins of 71.2% \u2014 compared with 45.9% a year earlier \u2014 and forecast margins of 71% to 73% for the current quarter.<\/p>\n<p>In comparison, Advanced Micro Devices Inc.<br \/>\n        AMD,<br \/>\n        <bg-quote field=\"percentchange\" format=\"0,000.00%\" channel=\"\/zigman2\/quotes\/208144392\/composite\" class=\"negative\">-3.75%<\/bg-quote><span>,<\/span><br \/>\n       widely expected to be the second-best-positioned to capture AI chip sales, forecasts margins of about 51% for the current quarter, while Intel Corp.<br \/>\n        INTC,<br \/>\n        <bg-quote field=\"percentchange\" format=\"0,000.00%\" channel=\"\/zigman2\/quotes\/203649727\/composite\" class=\"positive\">+0.18%<\/bg-quote><br \/>\n       expects about 43%. In the October-ending quarter last year, AMD reported adjusted third-quarter margins of 50%, and Intel reported 45.9%.<\/p>\n<p>In mid-September, Intel announced the rollout of its AI chips, while AMD rolled theirs out over the summer and appealed to open-source users. The most recent earnings report from Nvidia was epic in proportion, as the AI products that the GPU maker launched in March began showing up in results, fueling a more-than $2 billion data-center sales beat, and a third-quarter revenue forecast that topped expectations at the time by more than $3 billion.<\/p>\n<p>AMD is expecting a full rollout of its AI chips following a fourth-quarter ramp-up,  <\/p>\n<p>Improved margins, Goldman\u2019s Toshiya Hari noted, should further drive buybacks from the company\u2019s recently announced $25 billion authorization. With Nvidia\u2019s third-quarter earnings report expected in November, Hari said investors should watch for industry commentary that supports the sustainability of AI spending from cloud data-center operators like Amazon.com Inc.<br \/>\n        AMZN,<br \/>\n        <bg-quote field=\"percentchange\" format=\"0,000.00%\" channel=\"\/zigman2\/quotes\/210331248\/composite\" class=\"negative\">-3.77%<\/bg-quote><span>,<\/span><br \/>\n       Microsoft Corp.<br \/>\n        MSFT,<br \/>\n        <bg-quote field=\"percentchange\" format=\"0,000.00%\" channel=\"\/zigman2\/quotes\/207732364\/composite\" class=\"negative\">-2.94%<\/bg-quote><br \/>\n       and Alphabet Inc.\u2019s<br \/>\n        GOOG,<br \/>\n        <bg-quote field=\"percentchange\" format=\"0,000.00%\" channel=\"\/zigman2\/quotes\/205453964\/composite\" class=\"negative\">-1.42%<\/bg-quote><\/p>\n<p>        GOOGL,<br \/>\n        <bg-quote field=\"percentchange\" format=\"0,000.00%\" channel=\"\/zigman2\/quotes\/202490156\/lastsale\" class=\"negative\">-1.39%<\/bg-quote><br \/>\n       Google. Hari has Nvidia at a buy rating with a $605 price target.<\/p>\n<p>On its October conviction list, Goldman also added Okta Inc.<br \/>\n        OKTA,<br \/>\n        <bg-quote field=\"percentchange\" format=\"0,000.00%\" channel=\"\/zigman2\/quotes\/210420951\/composite\" class=\"negative\">-2.27%<\/bg-quote><br \/>\n       and Quanterix Inc.<br \/>\n        QTRX,<br \/>\n        <bg-quote field=\"percentchange\" format=\"0,000.00%\" channel=\"\/zigman2\/quotes\/208703756\/composite\" class=\"positive\">+0.79%<\/bg-quote><span>,<\/span><br \/>\n       while removing Salesforce Inc.<br \/>\n        CRM,<br \/>\n        <bg-quote field=\"percentchange\" format=\"0,000.00%\" channel=\"\/zigman2\/quotes\/200515854\/composite\" class=\"negative\">-2.49%<\/bg-quote><br \/>\n       and Johnson Controls Inc.<br \/>\n        JCI,<br \/>\n        <bg-quote field=\"percentchange\" format=\"0,000.00%\" channel=\"\/zigman2\/quotes\/203776087\/composite\" class=\"negative\">-0.83%<\/bg-quote><span>.<\/span>\n      <\/p>\n<p><strong>Need to Know: <\/strong>Magnificent Seven tech stocks haven\u2019t been this cheap in six years, Goldman Sachs strategists say<\/p>\n<p>Late Friday, Citi Research analyst Atif Malik, who has a buy rating and a $630 price target on Nvidia, said AI spending could even prompt Nvidia to release its next-generation chip architecture early. <\/p>\n<p>Nvidia\u2019s next-gen architecture is reportedly code-named \u201cBlackwell,\u201d after mathematician David Blackwell, in the company\u2019s tradition of naming architectures after computing pioneers, and would power the company\u2019s B100 AI GPU. Recently, Nvidia unveiled the schedule for its GTC conference in March. <\/p>\n<p>Typically,\u00a0Nvidia launches its next-gen AI GPU every two years, in the second half of the year. <\/p>\n<p>\u201cPer our estimations, B100 GPU could be an even bigger AI game-changer than H100 at its launch, from a technology standpoint, and set for a rapid adoption which subsequently will drive up Nvidia\u2019s ASPs, sales and margins,\u201d Malik said. <\/p>\n<p>A little over a year ago, Nvidia launched its Ada Lovelace\u2013architecture chips. <\/p>\n<p>\u201c[As] demand for its AI GPUs continues to ramp and competitors\u2019 next-gen products start trickling in,\u00a0Nvidia may launch its B100 GPU earlier, potentially in [the first half of calendar 2024],\u201d Malik said.<\/p>\n<p>To date in 2023, Nvidia shares have soared 206%, while the S&amp;P 500 index<br \/>\n        SPX,<br \/>\n        <bg-quote field=\"percentchange\" format=\"0,000.00%\" channel=\"\/zigman2\/quotes\/210599714\/realtime\" class=\"negative\">-1.54%<\/bg-quote><br \/>\n       has gained 11.7%, and the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite<br \/>\n        COMP<br \/>\n       has risen 27.2%. Additionally, AMD shares are up 59.4% year to date, Intel stock is up 34.2%, and the SOX chip index has advanced 36.2%.<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<p>Read the full article <a href=\"https:\/\/www.marketwatch.com\/story\/ai-fever-and-elevated-demand-raise-the-bar-for-nvidia-margin-expectations-e7e00c0c?mod=investing\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">here<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Nvidia Corp.\u2019s stock made it to the conviction list of one Wall Street firm on Monday, while an analyst at another forecast that the chip maker could drop its next-generation architecture early. The stock led gainers on the PHLX Semiconductor index SOX, which rose 0.4% on Monday. Meanwhile, the S&amp;P 500 index SPX was virtually [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":68302,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"video","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[239],"tags":[83],"class_list":["post-68301","post","type-post","status-publish","format-video","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-investing","tag-featured","post_format-post-format-video"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v20.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>AI fever and elevated demand raise the bar for Nvidia margin expectations | iFintechWorld<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Nvidia Corp.\u2019s stock made it to the conviction list of one Wall Street firm on Monday, while an analyst at another forecast that the chip maker could drop\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" 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