{"id":66885,"date":"2023-09-29T13:21:13","date_gmt":"2023-09-29T17:21:13","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ifintechworld.com\/news\/3-reasons-to-buy-the-dip-in-british-american-tobacco-nysebti\/"},"modified":"2023-09-29T13:21:23","modified_gmt":"2023-09-29T17:21:23","slug":"3-reasons-to-buy-the-dip-in-british-american-tobacco-nysebti","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ifintechworld.com\/?p=66885","title":{"rendered":"3 Reasons To Buy The Dip In British American Tobacco (NYSE:BTI)"},"content":{"rendered":"<div data-test-id=\"content-container\">\n<p><figure class=\"getty-figure\" data-type=\"getty-image\"><picture><\/picture><figcaption><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/p>\n<p>British American Tobacco (<span class=\"ticker-hover-wrapper\">NYSE:BTI<\/span>) has had a rough few quarters.<\/p>\n<p>Since the start of 2022, the multinational tobacco, vape, and nicotine product producer has seen its stock tumble more than 30%, from ~$47 per share 18 months ago, to just above $30<span class=\"paywall-full-content invisible\"> per share now:<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible\">\n<figure class=\"regular-img-figure paywall-full-content invisible\" contenteditable=\"false\"><picture><span><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/ifintechworld.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/51481993-16959791372398047.png\" alt=\"BTI\" contenteditable=\"false\" loading=\"lazy\"><\/span><\/picture><figcaption>\n<p class=\"item-caption\">TradingView<\/p>\n<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible\">In that time, there&#8217;s been countless digital ink spilled on the company and its murky prospects, including negative regulatory updates, new product analysis, and broader concerns about the combustibles market.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible\">However, zooming out, we think that BTI presents a strong opportunity for income investors right now, for 3 key reasons that are so simple as to be overlooked by a majority of market participants:<\/p>\n<ol class=\"paywall-full-content invisible\">\n<li>BTI sells an addictive product.<\/li>\n<li>The dividend is incredibly robust.<\/li>\n<li>The valuation is historically and relatively attractive.<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible\">Combined, we think that BTI&#8217;s value proposition to<span class=\"paywall-full-content no-summary-bullets invisible\"> income investors has never been stronger and that the stock is poised to continue paying strong dividends well into the future.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">Let&#8217;s dive in and examine each point in detail.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">BTI&#8217;s Addictive Product<\/h2>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">A compelling product is at the center of any good business, and there&#8217;s no better product than something that is 1.) consumable and 2.) addictive.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">That way, consumers keep coming back for more.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">The ideal product would also be an incredibly high margin so that each consumable is cheap to produce but sells for a considerable markup.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">Thankfully, BTI&#8217;s product portfolio hits all the aforementioned points, and consists of three main categories:<\/p>\n<ul class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">\n<li> <strong>Combustible products<\/strong>: These are traditional tobacco products that are burned, such as cigarettes, cigars, and roll-your-own tobacco. BTI&#8217;s combustible brands include Newport, Camel, Kent, Dunhill, and Lucky Strike.<\/li>\n<li> <strong>Reduced-risk products<\/strong>: These are tobacco and nicotine products that are designed to be less harmful than combustible products. BTI&#8217;s reduced-risk brands include Vuse (vaping products), glo (tobacco heating products), and Velo (modern oral products).<\/li>\n<li> <strong>Non-tobacco products<\/strong>: These are products that do not contain tobacco, but may contain nicotine. BTI&#8217;s non-tobacco brands include NyQuil and Nicorette.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">BTI&#8217;s addictive products drive solid business.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">First, nicotine is a highly addictive drug. Once a person becomes addicted to nicotine, they are very likely to continue using it.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">Second, BTI&#8217;s products are widely available and affordable.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">Third, BTI spends billions of dollars each year on marketing and advertising its products. This helps to create a positive image of smoking and nicotine use, and it encourages people to begin using.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">Added up, these key factors create an extremely inelastic product.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">What do we mean by inelastic? In short, inelastic means that demand doesn&#8217;t change much, even if prices change drastically. For example, caviar is elastic, but bread is inelastic.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">Thus, since nicotine use is an addictive lifestyle, consumers\/adherents are extremely price insensitive.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">Taken together, BTI&#8217;s products are high margin and addictive, and consumers are predictable and price insensitive.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">This dynamic leads to stable financial results, revenue power, and baked-in profitability.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">Some have worried about the decline of the combustible market, but nicotine behaviors aren&#8217;t changing, they&#8217;re simply shifting to vapes and other electronic products, to which BTI has considerable exposure.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">BTI&#8217;s Healthy Dividend<\/h2>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">As a result of BTI&#8217;s product portfolio, the company maintains significant pricing power and strong financial results.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">In the last twelve months, BTI produced ~$34 billion in revenue, which is stable and growing (the jump is from the Reynolds American deal in 2017):<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">\n<figure class=\"regular-img-figure paywall-full-content invisible\" contenteditable=\"false\"><picture><span><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/ifintechworld.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/51481993-16959825482026205.png\" alt=\"BTI\" contenteditable=\"false\" loading=\"lazy\"><\/span><\/picture><figcaption>\n<p class=\"item-caption\">TradingView<\/p>\n<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">This revenue growth has also led to significant free cash flow, and FCF margins of 28%:<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">\n<figure class=\"regular-img-figure paywall-full-content invisible\" contenteditable=\"false\"><picture><span><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/ifintechworld.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/51481993-16959826800639648.png\" alt=\"BTI\" contenteditable=\"false\" loading=\"lazy\"><\/span><\/picture><figcaption>\n<p class=\"item-caption\">TradingView<\/p>\n<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">As a result of this strong and growing cash flow, BTI pays a considerable dividend of ~70 cents per quarter *per share*, which calculates to an annualized dividend of about 9%:<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">\n<figure class=\"regular-img-figure paywall-full-content invisible\" contenteditable=\"false\"><picture><span><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/ifintechworld.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/51481993-16959827705275.png\" alt=\"BTI\" contenteditable=\"false\" loading=\"lazy\"><\/span><\/picture><figcaption>\n<p class=\"item-caption\">Seeking Alpha<\/p>\n<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">The yield is strong, but what about the safety?<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">Thankfully, BTI&#8217;s payout ratio is stable and safe, averaging an annual payout ratio of 74%:<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">\n<figure class=\"regular-img-figure paywall-full-content invisible\" contenteditable=\"false\"><picture><span><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/ifintechworld.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/51481993-16959828898501172.png\" alt=\"BTI\" contenteditable=\"false\" loading=\"lazy\"><\/span><\/picture><figcaption>\n<p class=\"item-caption\">TradingView<\/p>\n<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">While this is high, this is not a dividend growth play; if you&#8217;re buying this, you&#8217;re buying it for the yield.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">Given the proven demand for BTI&#8217;s product, we expect this yield will stay safe and consistent as the company continues to conduct business over time.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">BTI&#8217;s Attractive Valuation<\/h2>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">Finally, while the company continues to pump out cash, the stock has taken on a sort of &#8220;value trap&#8221; perception. Many view the company as such a case given the secular global decline in combustibles, which some view as the end of an era, and the beginning of the end for the company.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">However, given BTI&#8217;s wide portfolio of products, we think this fear is largely overblown.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">Thus, the company&#8217;s deeply discounted valuation looks highly attractive.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">On a historical basis, shares are trading in the proverbial gutter:<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">BTI&#8217;s sales multiple sits at a measly 1.85x, and the company&#8217;s FCF multiple sits at 7x:<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">\n<figure class=\"regular-img-figure paywall-full-content invisible\" contenteditable=\"false\"><picture><span><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/ifintechworld.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/51481993-16959832926668987.png\" alt=\"BTI\" contenteditable=\"false\" loading=\"lazy\"><\/span><\/picture><figcaption>\n<p class=\"item-caption\">TradingView<\/p>\n<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">Each of those valuations place the present &#8216;deal&#8217; firmly in the &#8216;historically attractive&#8217; camp, as you can see above as each multiple lands firmly in the red &#8220;attractive&#8221; area of the linear regression.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">The sales multiple in particular is really scraping the bottom of the standard derivative channel.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">The company looks cheap on a comparative basis as well:<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">\n<figure class=\"regular-img-figure paywall-full-content invisible\" contenteditable=\"false\"><picture><span><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/ifintechworld.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/51481993-16959792514760325.png\" alt=\"BTI\" contenteditable=\"false\" loading=\"lazy\"><\/span><\/picture><figcaption>\n<p class=\"item-caption\">Seeking Alpha<\/p>\n<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">Trading at only 6.3x TTM GAAP P\/E, BTI is consistently cheaper than other global peers across the board.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">To us, given our confidence in the company&#8217;s product portfolio, this makes the current price a steal and a great time to begin building a passive income stream.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">Summary<\/h2>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">All in all, BTI represents a great opportunity for income investors at the present price. Ignore the noise and buy the stock for the long term because of the three basic reasons we outlined:<\/p>\n<ul class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">\n<li>Addictive Product.<\/li>\n<li>Solid dividend.<\/li>\n<li>Attractive valuation.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">We&#8217;re confident that over time these key points will outweigh any negative narratives, and that long-term returns should be robust.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">Cheers!<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p>Read the full article <a href=\"https:\/\/seekingalpha.com\/article\/4638155-british-american-tobacco-3-reasons-to-buy-the-dip?source=feed_all_articles\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">here<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>British American Tobacco (NYSE:BTI) has had a rough few quarters. Since the start of 2022, the multinational tobacco, vape, and nicotine product producer has seen its stock tumble more than 30%, from ~$47 per share 18 months ago, to just above $30 per share now: TradingView In that time, there&#8217;s been countless digital ink spilled [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":66886,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"gallery","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[236],"tags":[83],"class_list":["post-66885","post","type-post","status-publish","format-gallery","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news","tag-featured","post_format-post-format-gallery"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v20.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>3 Reasons To Buy The Dip In British American Tobacco (NYSE:BTI) | iFintechWorld<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"British American Tobacco (NYSE:BTI) has had a rough few quarters. 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