{"id":65125,"date":"2023-09-25T08:06:53","date_gmt":"2023-09-25T12:06:53","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ifintechworld.com\/markets\/should-you-pick-union-pacific-stock-over-mcdonalds\/"},"modified":"2023-09-25T08:06:55","modified_gmt":"2023-09-25T12:06:55","slug":"should-you-pick-union-pacific-stock-over-mcdonalds","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ifintechworld.com\/?p=65125","title":{"rendered":"Should You Pick Union Pacific Stock Over McDonald\u2019s?"},"content":{"rendered":"<div>\n<p>Given its better prospects, we believe <strong data-ga-track=\"ExternalLink:https:\/\/www.trefis.com\/data\/companies\/UNP\/\">Union Pacific stock<\/strong> (NYSE: UNP) is a better pick than <strong data-ga-track=\"ExternalLink:https:\/\/www.trefis.com\/data\/companies\/MCD\/\">McDonald\u2019s stock<\/strong> (NYSE: MCD). Although these companies are from different sectors, we compare them because they have a similar operating income of around $10 billion. The decision to invest often comes down to finding the best stocks within the parameters of certain characteristics that suit an investment style. The size of profits can matter, as larger profits can imply greater market power. Since these stocks are from different sectors, comparing P\/S against one another may not be helpful. We compare their current multiples with the historical ones in the sections below to better gauge their valuations.<\/p>\n<p>Interestingly, UNP has had a Sharpe Ratio of <strong>0.5<\/strong> since early 2017, while the figure stood at <strong>0.6<\/strong> for MCD and <strong>0.6 <\/strong>for the S&amp;P500 index over the same period. This compares with the <strong>Sharpe of 1.3<\/strong> for the Trefis Reinforced Value portfolio. Sharpe is a measure of return per unit of risk, and high-performance portfolios can provide the best of both worlds.<\/p>\n<p>Looking at stock returns, both UNP and MCD have underperformed vis-\u00e0-vis broader markets. While UNP is up 2% this year, MCD is up 3%, and the S&amp;P500 index is up 13%. There is more to the comparison, and in the sections below, we discuss why we believe that UNP will offer better returns over MCD in the next three years. We compare a slew of factors, such as historical revenue growth, returns, and valuation, in an interactive dashboard analysis of <strong data-ga-track=\"ExternalLink:https:\/\/www.trefis.com\/data\/companies\/UNP\/no-login-required\/Hu3MKFj9\/Union-Pacific-vs-McDonald-s-With-Return-Forecast-Of-9-2-Union-Pacific-Is-A-Better-Bet?fromforbesandarticle=trefis230925\">Union Pacific vs. McDonald\u2019s<\/strong>: <strong>Which Stock Is A Better Bet?<\/strong> Parts of the analysis are summarized below.<\/p>\n<p><strong>1. Union Pacific\u2019s<br \/>\n  <fbs-ticker data-name=\"UNP\" data-href=\"https:\/\/www.forbes.com\/companies\/union-pacific\" data-type=\"stock\"><br \/>\n   UNP<br \/>\n  <\/fbs-ticker> Revenue Growth Is Better <\/strong><\/p>\n<p><fbs-ad position=\"inread\" progressive=\"\" ad-id=\"article-0-inread\" aria-hidden=\"true\" role=\"presentation\"><\/fbs-ad><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Union Pacific\u2019s revenue growth has been better, with a <strong>5.1%<\/strong> average annual growth rate in the last three years, compared to <strong>3.5%<\/strong> for McDonald\u2019s.<\/li>\n<li>Union Pacific\u2019s revenue growth over the recent years has been driven by a strong recovery in demand after the pandemic-induced lockdowns.<\/li>\n<li>Furthermore, the company realized substantial pricing gains, passing on the higher costs and higher fuel prices to the customers.<\/li>\n<li>For perspective, the company\u2019s average revenue per carload grew 17% between 2019 and 2022, while its total carload volume was down 2%.<\/li>\n<li>For McDonald\u2019s, successful menu and marketing campaigns, clubbed with continued digital and delivery growth, have bolstered its sales in the recent past.<\/li>\n<li>McDonald\u2019s has also benefited from its customer loyalty program &#8211; MyMcDonald\u2019s Rewards &#8211; going strong since it relaunched in 2021.<\/li>\n<li>However, currency headwinds have weighed on the overall top-line expansion of McDonald\u2019s in 2022.<\/li>\n<li>Looking at the last twelve months, Union Pacific, with <strong>5.7% <\/strong>sales growth, fares better than McDonald\u2019s, which saw its revenue rise by <strong>2.5%<\/strong>.<\/li>\n<li>Our <strong data-ga-track=\"ExternalLink:https:\/\/www.trefis.com\/data\/companies\/UNP\/no-login-required\/89zpFxVE\/Union-Pacific-UNP-Revenue-Comparison?fromforbesandarticle=trefis230925\">Union Pacific Revenue Comparison<\/strong> and <strong data-ga-track=\"ExternalLink:https:\/\/www.trefis.com\/data\/companies\/MCD\/no-login-required\/ZHHezX3e\/McDonald-s-MCD-Revenue-Comparison?fromforbesandarticle=trefis230925\">McDonald\u2019s Revenue Comparison<\/strong> dashboards provide more insight into the companies\u2019 sales.<\/li>\n<li>Looking forward, Union Pacific\u2019s revenue growth over the next three years is expected to be slightly better than McDonald\u2019s, based on Trefis Machine Learning analysis.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><strong>2. McDonald\u2019s Is More Profitable And Comes With Lower Financial Risk<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Union Pacific\u2019s operating margin has improved slightly from <strong>39.4%<\/strong> in 2019 to <strong>39.9%<\/strong> in 2022, while McDonald\u2019s operating margin declined from <strong>42.8%<\/strong> to <strong>39.0%<\/strong> over this period, partly due to higher labor inflation.<\/li>\n<li>Looking at the last twelve-month period, McDonald\u2019s operating margin of <strong>46.5% <\/strong>fares better than<strong> 38.5% <\/strong>for Union Pacific.<\/li>\n<li>McDonald\u2019s operating margin is expected to be weighed down in the near term due to commodity, utility, and labor inflation.<\/li>\n<li>Our <strong data-ga-track=\"ExternalLink:https:\/\/www.trefis.com\/data\/companies\/UNP\/no-login-required\/8ApeoIEa\/Union-Pacific-UNP-Operating-Income-Comparison?fromforbesandarticle=trefis230925\">Union Pacific\u2019s Operating Income Comparison<\/strong><strong> <\/strong>and <strong data-ga-track=\"ExternalLink:https:\/\/www.trefis.com\/data\/companies\/MCD\/no-login-required\/kcwC9kOg\/McDonald-s-MCD-Operating-Income-Comparison?fromforbesandarticle=trefis230925\">McDonald\u2019s Operating Income Comparison<\/strong> dashboards have more details.<\/li>\n<li>Looking at financial risk, McDonald\u2019s fares better. Its <strong>18%<\/strong> debt as a percentage of equity is lower than <strong>26%<\/strong> for Union Pacific, while its <strong>3% <\/strong>cash as a percentage of assets is higher than <strong>1%<\/strong> for the latter, implying that McDonald\u2019s has a better debt position and has more cash cushion.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><strong>3. The Net of It All<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>We see that Union Pacific has shown better revenue growth. On the other hand, McDonald\u2019s is more profitable and has a better financial position. This also explains its higher valuation multiple of 8.2x revenues compared to 5.2x for Union Pacific.<\/li>\n<li>Now, looking at prospects, using P\/S as a base, due to high fluctuations in P\/E and P\/EBIT, we believe Union Pacific will offer better returns over McDonald\u2019s in the next three years.<\/li>\n<li>Even if we compare the current valuation multiples to the historical averages, UNP fares better. Union Pacific\u2019s stock is trading at <strong>5.2x<\/strong> revenues, below its last five-year average of <strong>5.8x<\/strong>. In comparison, McDonald\u2019s stock trades at <strong>8.4x<\/strong> revenues, higher than its last five-year average of <strong>7.7x<\/strong>.<\/li>\n<li>Our <strong data-ga-track=\"ExternalLink:https:\/\/www.trefis.com\/data\/companies\/UNP\/no-login-required\/ZLyCoODN\/Union-Pacific-UNP-Valuation-Ratios-Comparison?fromforbesandarticle=trefis230925\">Union Pacific Valuation Ratios Comparison<\/strong> and <strong data-ga-track=\"ExternalLink:https:\/\/www.trefis.com\/data\/companies\/MCD\/no-login-required\/5V477GBK\/McDonald-s-MCD-Valuation-Ratios-Comparison?fromforbesandarticle=trefis230925\">McDonald\u2019s Valuation Ratios Comparison<\/strong> have more details.<\/li>\n<li>The table below summarizes our revenue and return expectations for both companies over the next three years and points to an expected return of <strong>9%<\/strong> for UNP over this period vs. a <strong>-1%<\/strong> expected return for MCD, based on Trefis Machine Learning analysis \u2013 <strong data-ga-track=\"ExternalLink:https:\/\/www.trefis.com\/data\/companies\/UNP\/no-login-required\/Hu3MKFj9\/Union-Pacific-vs-McDonald-s-With-Return-Forecast-Of-9-2-Union-Pacific-Is-A-Better-Bet?fromforbesandarticle=trefis230925\">Union Pacific vs. McDonald\u2019s<\/strong> \u2013 which also provides more details on how we arrive at these numbers.<\/li>\n<li>While we believe Union Pacific stock is a better pick over McDonald\u2019s, we acknowledge that 9% returns for UNP isn\u2019t great. There are better opportunities over UNP stock. Our <strong data-ga-track=\"ExternalLink:https:\/\/www.trefis.com\/data\/companies\/UNP\/no-login-required\/Wxd5gVDG\/Better-Bet-Than-UNP-Stock-index-Peers?fromforbesandarticle=trefis230925\">Better Bets Than UNP Stock<\/strong> dashboard details S&amp;P500 stocks that can offer better returns in the next three years.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>While UNP may outperform MCD in the next three years, it is helpful to see how <strong data-ga-track=\"ExternalLink:https:\/\/www.trefis.com\/data\/companies\/UNP\/topic\/peer-comparisons\">Union Pacific\u2019s Peers<\/strong> fare on metrics that matter. You will find other valuable comparisons for companies across industries at <strong data-ga-track=\"ExternalLink:https:\/\/www.trefis.com\/data\/topic\/peer-comparisons\">Peer Comparisons<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p>Invest with <strong>Trefis <\/strong><strong data-ga-track=\"ExternalLink:https:\/\/dashboards.trefis.com\/data\/companies\/PORTFOLIOS\/no-login-required\/M7MacZNG?fromforbes\">Market Beating Portfolios<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>See all <strong>Trefis <\/strong><strong data-ga-track=\"ExternalLink:https:\/\/dashboards.trefis.com\/data\/price-estimates?fromforbes\">Price Estimates<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p>Read the full article <a href=\"https:\/\/www.forbes.com\/sites\/greatspeculations\/2023\/09\/25\/should-you-pick-union-pacific-stock-over-mcdonalds\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">here<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Given its better prospects, we believe Union Pacific stock (NYSE: UNP) is a better pick than McDonald\u2019s stock (NYSE: MCD). Although these companies are from different sectors, we compare them because they have a similar operating income of around $10 billion. The decision to invest often comes down to finding the best stocks within the [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":37679,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[241],"tags":[83],"class_list":["post-65125","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-markets","tag-featured"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v20.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Should You Pick Union Pacific Stock Over McDonald\u2019s? | iFintechWorld<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Given its better prospects, we believe Union Pacific stock (NYSE: UNP) is a better pick than McDonald\u2019s stock (NYSE: MCD). 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