{"id":60344,"date":"2023-09-13T06:36:01","date_gmt":"2023-09-13T10:36:01","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ifintechworld.com\/markets\/which-is-a-better-pick-alaska-air-or-ual-stock\/"},"modified":"2023-09-13T06:36:04","modified_gmt":"2023-09-13T10:36:04","slug":"which-is-a-better-pick-alaska-air-or-ual-stock","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ifintechworld.com\/?p=60344","title":{"rendered":"Which Is A Better Pick \u2013 Alaska Air Or UAL Stock?"},"content":{"rendered":"<div>\n<p>Given its attractive valuation, we believe <strong data-ga-track=\"ExternalLink:https:\/\/www.trefis.com\/data\/companies\/ALK\">Alaska Air stock<\/strong> (NYSE: ALK) is a better pick than its peer <strong data-ga-track=\"ExternalLink:https:\/\/www.trefis.com\/data\/companies\/UAL\">United Airlines stock<\/strong> (NASDAQ<fbs-ticker data-name=\"NDAQ\" data-href=\"https:\/\/www.forbes.com\/companies\/nasdaq\" data-type=\"stock\"><br \/>\n  NDAQ<br \/>\n <\/fbs-ticker>: UAL). If we look at stock returns, United Airlines, with 26% returns this year, has fared much better than Alaska Air, down 6%, and the broader S&amp;P 500 index, up 17%. There is more to the comparison, and in the sections below, we discuss why we believe ALK will offer better returns than UAL in the next three years. We compare a slew of factors, such as historical revenue growth, returns, and valuation, in an interactive dashboard analysis of <strong data-ga-track=\"ExternalLink:https:\/\/www.trefis.com\/data\/companies\/ALK\/no-login-required\/NyngjuoT\/Alaska-Air-vs-United-Airlines-Holdings-With-Return-Forecast-Of-54-Alaska-Air-Is-A-Better-Bet?fromforbesandarticle=trefis230913\">Alaska Air vs. United Airlines<\/strong>: <strong>Which Stock Is A Better Bet?<\/strong> Parts of the analysis are summarized below.<\/p>\n<p>Interestingly, ALK has had a Sharpe Ratio of <strong>-0.1 <\/strong>while the figure stood at <strong>0.1<\/strong> for UAL, lower than <strong>0.6<\/strong> for the S&amp;P 500 Index over the same period. This compares with the <strong>Sharpe of 1.3<\/strong> for the Trefis Reinforced Value portfolio. Sharpe is a measure of return per unit of risk, and high-performance portfolios can provide the best of both worlds.<\/p>\n<p><strong>1. United Airlines\u2019 Revenue Growth Is Slightly Better<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>United Airlines\u2019 revenue growth has been slightly better, with a <strong>26%<\/strong> average annual growth rate in the last three years, compared to <strong>23%<\/strong> for Alaska Air.<\/li>\n<li>The rise in revenues for both airlines over the recent years can be attributed to a rebound in air travel demand, with passenger traffic and ticket yield rising meaningfully in the recent past.<\/li>\n<li>For perspective, Alaska Air\u2019s available seat miles declined 21% between 2019 and 2021 but surged 16% in 2022. Similarly, its passenger revenue per available seat mile fell 11% between 2019 and 2021 but rose 35% y-o-y in 2022.<\/li>\n<li>In comparison, United Airlines\u2019 ASM decreased 27% between 2019 and 2021 before rising 39% y-o-y in 2022. Its PRASM declined 19% and increased 43% over the same period, respectively.<\/li>\n<li>Looking at the last twelve months, United Airlines\u2019 43% sales growth has fared better than 26% for Alaska Air.<\/li>\n<li>Our <strong data-ga-track=\"ExternalLink:https:\/\/www.trefis.com\/data\/companies\/ALK\/no-login-required\/BsC1saTl\/Alaska-Air-ALK-Revenue-Comparison?fromforbesandarticle=trefis230913\">Alaska Air Revenue Comparison<\/strong> and <strong data-ga-track=\"ExternalLink:https:\/\/www.trefis.com\/data\/companies\/UAL\/no-login-required\/p22lpjwv\/United-Airlines-Holdings-UAL-Revenue-Comparison?fromforbesandarticle=trefis230913\">United Airlines Revenue Comparison<\/strong> dashboards provide more insight into the companies\u2019 sales.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><strong>2. United Airline Is More Profitable <\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Alaska Air\u2019s reported operating margin slid from <strong>12%<\/strong> in 2019 to <strong>-50% <\/strong>in 2020 before recovering to <strong>1%<\/strong> in 2022. In comparison, United Airlines\u2019 operating margin fell from <strong>9%<\/strong> in 2019 to <strong>-49%<\/strong> in 2020 but rose to <strong>2%<\/strong> in 2022.<\/li>\n<li>Looking at the last twelve-month period, United Airlines\u2019 operating margin of <strong>5% <\/strong>fares better than <strong>1% <\/strong>for Alaska Air.<\/li>\n<li>Alaska Air\u2019s margin metric is partly being weighed down by the costs associated with the retirement of its Airbus fleet. Looking forward, the company is likely to have a better margin profile with lower costs associated with pilot training.<\/li>\n<li>Our <strong data-ga-track=\"ExternalLink:https:\/\/www.trefis.com\/data\/companies\/ALK\/no-login-required\/bHMtdNa5\/Alaska-Air-ALK-Operating-Income-Comparison?fromforbesandarticle=trefis230913\">Alaska Air Operating Income Comparison<\/strong><strong> <\/strong>and <strong data-ga-track=\"ExternalLink:https:\/\/www.trefis.com\/data\/companies\/UAL\/no-login-required\/0zlvAULb\/United-Airlines-Holdings-UAL-Operating-Income-Comparison?fromforbesandarticle=trefis230913\">United Airlines Operating Income Comparison<\/strong><strong> <\/strong>dashboards have more details.<\/li>\n<li>Looking at financial risk, both are comparable. While Alaska Air\u2019s 122% debt as a percentage of equity is lower than 194% for United Airlines, its 16% cash as a percentage of assets is lower than 26% for the latter, implying that Alaska has a comparatively better debt position, but United Airlines has more cash cushion.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><fbs-ad position=\"inread\" progressive=\"\" ad-id=\"article-0-inread\" aria-hidden=\"true\" role=\"presentation\"><\/fbs-ad><\/p>\n<p><strong>3. The Net of It All<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>We see that United Airlines has seen superior revenue growth, is more profitable, and has more cash cushion. It is also trading at a slightly lower valuation multiple.<\/li>\n<li>However, looking at prospects, using P\/S as a base, due to high fluctuations in P\/E and P\/EBIT, we believe Alaska Air will likely offer better returns over the next three years.<\/li>\n<li>If we compare the current valuation multiples to the historical averages, ALK fares slightly better. Alaska Air stock trades at <strong>0.5x<\/strong> sales compared to its last five-year average of <strong>1.1x<\/strong>, and United Airlines stock trades at <strong>0.3x<\/strong> revenues vs. the last five-year average of <strong>0.6x<\/strong>.<\/li>\n<li>Our <strong data-ga-track=\"ExternalLink:https:\/\/www.trefis.com\/data\/companies\/ALK\/no-login-required\/Y1AxVMii\/Alaska-Air-ALK-Valuation-Ratios-Comparison?fromforbesandarticle=trefis230913\">Alaska Air Valuation Ratios Comparison<\/strong> and <strong data-ga-track=\"ExternalLink:https:\/\/www.trefis.com\/data\/companies\/UAL\/no-login-required\/rcfCafyk\/United-Airlines-Holdings-UAL-Valuation-Ratios-Comparison?fromforbesandarticle=trefis230913\">United Airlines Valuation Ratios Comparison<\/strong> have more details.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>While ALK may outperform UAL in the next three years, it is helpful to see how <strong data-ga-track=\"ExternalLink:https:\/\/www.trefis.com\/data\/companies\/ALK\/topic\/peer-comparisons\">Alaska Air\u2019s Peers<\/strong> fare on metrics that matter. You will find other valuable comparisons for companies across industries at <strong data-ga-track=\"ExternalLink:https:\/\/www.trefis.com\/data\/topic\/peer-comparisons\">Peer Comparisons<\/strong><strong>.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Invest with <strong>Trefis <\/strong><strong data-ga-track=\"ExternalLink:https:\/\/dashboards.trefis.com\/data\/companies\/PORTFOLIOS\/no-login-required\/M7MacZNG?fromforbes\">Market Beating Portfolios<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>See all <strong>Trefis <\/strong><strong data-ga-track=\"ExternalLink:https:\/\/dashboards.trefis.com\/data\/price-estimates?fromforbes\">Price Estimates<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p>Read the full article <a href=\"https:\/\/www.forbes.com\/sites\/greatspeculations\/2023\/09\/13\/which-is-a-better-pick--alaska-air-or-ual-stock\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">here<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Given its attractive valuation, we believe Alaska Air stock (NYSE: ALK) is a better pick than its peer United Airlines stock (NASDAQ NDAQ : UAL). If we look at stock returns, United Airlines, with 26% returns this year, has fared much better than Alaska Air, down 6%, and the broader S&amp;P 500 index, up 17%. [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":60345,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[241],"tags":[83],"class_list":["post-60344","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-markets","tag-featured"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v20.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Which Is A Better Pick \u2013 Alaska Air Or UAL Stock? | iFintechWorld<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Given its attractive valuation, we believe Alaska Air stock (NYSE: ALK) is a better pick than its peer United Airlines stock (NASDAQ NDAQ : UAL). 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