{"id":58532,"date":"2023-09-08T11:49:54","date_gmt":"2023-09-08T15:49:54","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ifintechworld.com\/investing\/disney-stock-falls-to-a-nearly-10-year-low-why-its-still-a-buy\/"},"modified":"2023-09-08T11:49:58","modified_gmt":"2023-09-08T15:49:58","slug":"disney-stock-falls-to-a-nearly-10-year-low-why-its-still-a-buy","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ifintechworld.com\/?p=58532","title":{"rendered":"Disney Stock Falls to a Nearly 10-Year Low. Why It\u2019s Still a Buy."},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"js-article__body\" itemprop=\"articleBody\" data-sbid=\"SB52382716648750433643204590198753072555276\">\n<div data-layout=\"wrap\n              \" data-layout-mobile=\"\" class=\"\n        media-object\n        type-InsetMediaIllustration\n          wrap\n  article__inset\n        article__inset--type-InsetMediaIllustration\n          article__inset--wrap\n    article__inset--lead\n  \"><\/p>\n<p>        <!-- eventually when we know what this card will be we can change it and leave this one --><\/p>\n<figure class=\"\n        media-object-image\n        enlarge-image\n        img-wrap\n        article__inset__image\n      \" itemscope=\"\" itemtype=\"http:\/\/schema.org\/ImageObject\"><\/p>\n<div style=\"padding-bottom:74.96087636932708%;\" data-subtype=\"photo\" class=\"image-container  responsive-media article__inset__image__image\"><\/div>\n<\/figure><\/div>\n<p>\n        Charter Communications<br \/>\n       wants Walt<br \/>\n        Disney<br \/>\n       to rethink the cable bundle. Disney is perfectly happy with how things are currently, thank you very much. An unstoppable force has met an immovable object\u2014and Disney stock is paying the price. Not much has changed for our stock pick, however. Disney stock still looks too beaten up to ignore.<\/p>\n<div class=\"paywall\">\n<p>The Disney-Charter feud is a proxy battle in an industrywide debate over the future of television\u2014specifically, what the pay-TV bundle looks like in the streaming age. Disney (ticker: DIS) wants to maintain the status quo, as it should. ESPN costs around $10 a month for every subscriber who pays for a TV package including the channel, whether they watch it or not, and often comes bundled with numerous other Disney channels. Advertising revenue is on top of that. It\u2019s an enviable model, and one whose profits have yet to be replicated in streaming.<\/p>\n<p>That deal expired on Aug. 31, however, and Charter (CHTR) proposed a new structure to Disney. The cable provider wants greater flexibility to offer \u201cskinnier\u201d cable bundles with fewer channels to its Spectrum customers, likely at a lower cost. And it asked Disney to package ad-supported versions of its streaming services\u2014Disney+, Hulu, ESPN+, and a future, larger ESPN direct-to-consumer service\u2014with Spectrum cable-TV subscriptions at no additional cost. Disney declined, and for good reason. <\/p>\n<p>\u201cThe result would lead to a significant decline in highly profitable linear subscribers that would be only partially recouped by likely fewer and less profitable DTC subs,\u201d writes BofA Securities analyst Jessica Reif Ehrlich.<\/p>\n<p>Now the two companies are playing the blame game, even as viewers go without ESPN, ABC, Disney Channel, National Geographic, and FX\u2014meaning no college or Monday Night NFL football, U.S. Open tennis, <em>Good Morning America<\/em>, and <em>Dancing With the Stars<\/em>. \u201cWe offered Disney a fair deal, and yet they continue to demand an excessive increase,\u201d Charter contends. Disney, for its part, points the finger the other way. \u201cWe have been unable to reach a market-based agreement with Charter Communications to continue carrying our stations and networks,\u201d it responds.<\/p>\n<p>Disney has a lot to lose. According to Charter, annual programming payments to Disney total about $2.2 billion, or nearly 8% of the $28.3 billion in revenue that Disney\u2019s linear networks segment brought in during its last fiscal year, which ended in September. That\u2019s before advertising revenue. No wonder Disney stock has dropped 4.6% in September, to $79.83, its lowest since May 2014. The stock has dropped 7% since <em>Barron\u2019s<\/em> recommended it on July 28.<\/p>\n<p>Disney\u2019s shift away from linear TV was always part of our thinking, even if Charter may force it to accelerate its pace. The number of U.S. households with a pay-TV subscription has declined by roughly a quarter over the past decade, to around 75 million earlier this year, according to MoffettNathanson. Fewer subscribers prompt price increases to make up for lost revenue, increasing the incentive to cancel. Ongoing declines prompt companies to move their best content to streaming, making the product less competitive and spurring more cord-cutting. <\/p>\n<p>That\u2019s painful for Disney, which is using cable profits to fund its transition to streaming, and would prefer to continue milking the TV cash cow as long as possible. Charter isn\u2019t willing to play ball. \u201cWe\u2019re on the edge of a precipice,\u201d Charter CEO Christopher Winfrey told analysts on a Sept. 1 call. \u201cWe\u2019re either moving forward in the new collaborative video model or we\u2019re moving on. This is not a typical carriage dispute.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Ultimately, though, it will end like one. Most disputes between media companies and TV providers have been resolved in a matter of weeks. Winfrey said that his company would continue to negotiate during the channel blackout, and Disney has no choice but to talk. At some point, they will find common ground. <\/p>\n<p>Meanwhile, our argument stands. Disney stock is cheap relative to earnings and the sum of its parts, and it has a path to earnings growth from a steady narrowing of streaming losses and cost cutting elsewhere. Disney also has options, including asset sales and reinstating its dividend.<\/p>\n<p>The Charter dispute is another negative headline in a long saga for Disney. There remain more positive catalysts ahead.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Write to <\/strong>Nicholas Jasinski at nicholas.jasinski@barrons.com<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p>Read the full article <a href=\"https:\/\/www.marketwatch.com\/articles\/disney-stock-price-buy-charter-dispute-d0d23938?mod=investing\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">here<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Charter Communications wants Walt Disney to rethink the cable bundle. Disney is perfectly happy with how things are currently, thank you very much. An unstoppable force has met an immovable object\u2014and Disney stock is paying the price. Not much has changed for our stock pick, however. Disney stock still looks too beaten up to ignore. [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":58533,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"video","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[239],"tags":[83],"class_list":["post-58532","post","type-post","status-publish","format-video","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-investing","tag-featured","post_format-post-format-video"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v20.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Disney Stock Falls to a Nearly 10-Year Low. Why It\u2019s Still a Buy. | iFintechWorld<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Charter Communications wants Walt Disney to rethink the cable bundle. Disney is perfectly happy with how things are currently, thank you very much. 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