{"id":56186,"date":"2023-09-02T14:26:18","date_gmt":"2023-09-02T18:26:18","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ifintechworld.com\/news\/american-hotel-income-properties-10-7-yield-from-us-lodging-otcmktsahotf\/"},"modified":"2023-09-02T14:26:23","modified_gmt":"2023-09-02T18:26:23","slug":"american-hotel-income-properties-10-7-yield-from-us-lodging-otcmktsahotf","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ifintechworld.com\/?p=56186","title":{"rendered":"American Hotel Income Properties: 10.7% Yield From US Lodging (OTCMKTS:AHOTF)"},"content":{"rendered":"<div data-test-id=\"content-container\">\n<p><figure class=\"getty-figure\" data-type=\"getty-image\"><picture>  <\/picture><figcaption> <\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/p>\n<p>Steadily growing business travel demand helped the US hotel REIT sector turn in stronger operating results for the second quarter. Buoyed by strong occupancy and room rate, the sector\u2019s same store revenue per available room (RevPAR) grew 3.8% compared to a very strong<span class=\"paywall-full-content invisible\"> 2Q22.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible\">\n<figure class=\"regular-img-figure paywall-full-content invisible\" contenteditable=\"false\"><picture> <span><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/ifintechworld.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/1024916-1693605136202347.png\" alt=\"A graph of blue and orange lines Description automatically generated\" contenteditable=\"false\" loading=\"lazy\"><\/span> <\/picture><figcaption>\n<p class=\"item-caption\"><span>S&amp;P Global Market Intelligence<\/span><\/p>\n<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible\">Surpassing pre-pandemic RevPAR metrics, however, hasn\u2019t convinced investors that the sector is opportunistic, and shares are still significantly discounted from their closing 2019 levels. Share price performance over the last twelve months demonstrates no love lost on the lodging sector.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible\">Sector Spotlight: Hotel REITs \u2013 1 year share price performance<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible\">\n<figure class=\"regular-img-figure paywall-full-content invisible\" contenteditable=\"false\"><picture> <span><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/ifintechworld.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/1024916-16936051374886353.png\" alt=\"A graph of a number of people Description automatically generated with medium confidence\" contenteditable=\"false\" loading=\"lazy\"><\/span> <\/picture><figcaption>\n<p class=\"item-caption\"><span>S&amp;P Global\/ 2MCAC as of 08\/23\/2023<\/span><\/p>\n<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible\">Source: S&amp;P Global Capital IQ\/2MC as of 08\/23\/2023<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible\">With the whole sector trading at a consensus estimated 7.8x forward FFO and a double-digit discount to Net Asset Value, we today make the argument<span class=\"paywall-full-content no-summary-bullets invisible\"> that American Hotel Income Properties (<\/span>OTC:AHOTF<span class=\"paywall-full-content no-summary-bullets invisible\">) is among the most undervalued of the lot.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\"><strong>Cheaper<\/strong><\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">The arrival of COVID shut down the world, but almost no industry was as mortally wounded as lodging. Like every hotel REIT suddenly desperate to conserve cash, AHOTF immediately moved to a suspension of its dividend. The shares crashed.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">\n<figure class=\"regular-img-figure paywall-full-content invisible\" contenteditable=\"false\"><picture> <span><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/ifintechworld.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/1024916-16936051363562813.png\" alt=\"A graph showing a line of orange lines Description automatically generated with medium confidence\" contenteditable=\"false\" loading=\"lazy\"><\/span> <\/picture><figcaption>\n<p class=\"item-caption\"><span>Seeking Alpha<\/span><\/p>\n<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">Source: Seeking Alpha<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">Surprisingly, as operations recovered and American Hotel reinstated a dividend on February 15, 2022, investors seemed to take no notice. The new $0.18\/share dividend, payable in monthly distributions, provided an attractive 5.14% yield as measured against the $3.50 share price of 02\/15\/22, but the shares have continued to slide. At today\u2019s price of $1.64, the dividend produces a stunning 10.97% yield; almost 3x the sector average.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">In its most recent investor presentation, management points out that, not only is the dividend sustainable, it equates to a sub 50% payout ratio.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">\n<figure class=\"regular-img-figure paywall-full-content invisible\" contenteditable=\"false\"><picture> <span><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/ifintechworld.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/1024916-16936051387159796.png\" alt=\"A screenshot of a computer Description automatically generated\" contenteditable=\"false\" loading=\"lazy\"><\/span> <\/picture><figcaption>\n<p class=\"item-caption\"><span>AHOTF<\/span><\/p>\n<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">Source: AHOTF<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">On a value consideration, they note that shares change hands at a huge discount to analyst consensus NAV of C$3.60 ($2.65 USD). For today\u2019s $1.64 share, you pay less than 62% of NAV.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">On an earnings consideration, the related consensus indicates the shares are currently trading at 4.08x forecast FFO vs. the sector average of 7.4x.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">\n<figure class=\"regular-img-figure paywall-full-content invisible\" contenteditable=\"false\"><picture> <span><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/ifintechworld.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/1024916-16936051370059154.png\" alt=\"A screenshot of a computer Description automatically generated\" contenteditable=\"false\" loading=\"lazy\"><\/span> <\/picture><figcaption>\n<p class=\"item-caption\"><span>S&amp;<\/span><\/p>\n<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">Source: S&amp;P Global Capital IQ<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">These basic metrics of yield, discount to NAV, and P\/FFO make a reasonably convincing argument that AHOTF shares might be cheaper than those of its peers. It\u2019s less clear as to why.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\"><strong>The Differences<\/strong><\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">AHOTF is better known, and more widely held, as American Hotel Income Properties REIT LP, which trades on the Toronto Stock Exchange under the ticker (HOT.UN).<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">\n<figure class=\"regular-img-figure paywall-full-content invisible\" contenteditable=\"false\"><picture> <span><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/ifintechworld.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/1024916-1693605136958061.png\" alt=\"A screenshot of a computer Description automatically generated\" contenteditable=\"false\" loading=\"lazy\"><\/span> <\/picture><figcaption>\n<p class=\"item-caption\"><span>S&amp;P Global<\/span><\/p>\n<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">The company is headquarted in Vancouver, British Columbia, but its properties are all in the United States.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">\n<figure class=\"regular-img-figure paywall-full-content invisible\" contenteditable=\"false\"><picture> <span><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/ifintechworld.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/1024916-16936051396718042.png\" alt=\"A map of the united states Description automatically generated\" contenteditable=\"false\" loading=\"lazy\"><\/span> <\/picture><figcaption>\n<p class=\"item-caption\"><span>AHOTF<\/span><\/p>\n<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">Source:HOT.UN<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">Unlike most established REITs, AHOTF\/HOT.UN shares are predominantly held by individuals, not institutions. And most of those individuals are Canadian, eh. Our experience with other Canada based REITs with US property portfolios (think BSR Real Estate Investment (OTCPK:BSRTF), Slate Grocery (OTC:SRRTF), or Flagship Communities (OTCPK:MHCUF)) is that they trade at premiums when Canadians are enthused about investing in US real estate and at discounts when they are not. At present, we are not seeing much enthusiasm.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">\n<figure class=\"regular-img-figure paywall-full-content invisible\" contenteditable=\"false\"><picture> <span><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/ifintechworld.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/1024916-16936051389294596.png\" alt=\"A screenshot of a computer Description automatically generated\" contenteditable=\"false\" loading=\"lazy\"><\/span> <\/picture><figcaption>\n<p class=\"item-caption\"><span>S&amp;P Global Capital IQ<\/span><\/p>\n<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">Source: S&amp;P Global Capital IQ<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">Another difference is the dividend. While AHOTF reports financial results and pays dividends in US dollars, shareholder returns are reported on a K-1 and not your custodian\u2019s consolidated 1099. Though many investors disdain K-1s and avoid them, the reporting affords highly tax efficient treatment of the dividends.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\"><strong>The Similarities<\/strong><\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">Though AHOTF is a Canadian domiciled enterprise, it reports all of its financial results and pays its dividends in US dollars. The similarities to other US hotel REITs don\u2019t stop there.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">AHOTF has more than 7,900 guest rooms in 70 properties scattered across 47 US cities.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">\n<figure class=\"regular-img-figure paywall-full-content invisible\" contenteditable=\"false\"><picture> <span><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/ifintechworld.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/1024916-16936051383616989.png\" alt=\"A group of blue labels with white text Description automatically generated\" contenteditable=\"false\" loading=\"lazy\"><\/span> <\/picture><figcaption>\n<p class=\"item-caption\"><span>AHOTF<\/span><\/p>\n<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">Its hotels are flagged by Marriott, Hilton, and IHG. These are brands you will see in other hotel REITs like Apple Hospitality (APLE), Chatham Lodging (CLDT), RLJ Lodging (RLJ), and Summit Hotel Properties (INN).<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">\n<figure class=\"regular-img-figure paywall-full-content invisible\" contenteditable=\"false\"><picture> <span><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/ifintechworld.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/1024916-1693605139375835.png\" alt=\"A pie chart with numbers and text Description automatically generated\" contenteditable=\"false\" loading=\"lazy\"><\/span> <\/picture><figcaption>\n<p class=\"item-caption\"><span>AHOTF<\/span><\/p>\n<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">AHOTF\u2019s mix of extended stay, limited service, and full service hotels are very similar to those in other REIT portfolios. While AHOTF\u2019s discounted share price might be explained by the differences noted above, the discounts are amplified by risks (perceived and real) of investment in the hotel industry.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\"><strong>Hotels are the most beleaguered sector in commercial real estate<\/strong><\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">The pandemic, government relief programs, high inflation, and higher interest rates have been hard on all business. For the lodging industry, it has been even more difficult.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">When COVID shut down all business, it shut off revenues to hotels like turning off a spigot. Though they had no revenues, they still faced operating costs and debt service expenses (like most hotel REITs, AHOTF carries significant debt). Thus, the dividend suspensions and, in many cases, requests for debt forbearance.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">When hotels finally reopened, operators experienced supply chain bottlenecks, labor shortages, and inflated wages just like all other businesses. Maybe just more so.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">Though leisure travel has robustly resumed, business travel has had a slower recovery. For the 2<sup>nd<\/sup> quarter, the whole sector reported improvements in weekday occupancy (business travel), but it still lags 2019 levels.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">Higher interest rates negatively impact all real estate and lodging is no exception. As loans have come due, we have seen some REITs elect to turn properties back to their lender, most notably Ashford Hospitality (AHT) and Park Hotels (PK). AHOTF has paid down some indebtedness and hopes to continue to with surplus cashflows, but it remains highly leveraged.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">While expenses have inflated across all real estate operations, property and business insurance rates are rising fast. Two AHOTF hotels were damaged in late 2022 extreme weather events. The hotels are now coming back into service, but in their 2Q earnings release, management revealed new related costs:<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">\u201cAs a result of the claims noted above, higher replacement costs and generally higher premiums, AHIP completed its property insurance renewal effective June 1, 2023, with a significant increase in premiums compared to the expiring policy. On an annualized basis, the increase from the prior year is approximately $3.5 million, which will be recognized in earnings over a twelve-month period.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">Rising insurance costs are not unique to AHOTF or the hotel sector, insurance rates are rising ubiquitously. Hotel REITs have been so badly beaten, it might just be harder to woo back investors.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\"><strong>Risk and Reward<\/strong><\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">We approach investing in hotel REITs with great trepidation. The industry is vulnerable to every bad economic trend, from competition to inflation to recession.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">AHOTF\u2019s high dividend and discounted share price are compelling. We are long.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">Editor&#8217;s Note: This article discusses one or more securities that do not trade on a major U.S. exchange. Please be aware of the risks associated with these stocks.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p>Read the full article <a href=\"https:\/\/seekingalpha.com\/article\/4632761-american-hotel-income-properties-10-7-percent-yield-from-us-lodging-with-a-canadian-discount?source=feed_all_articles\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">here<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Steadily growing business travel demand helped the US hotel REIT sector turn in stronger operating results for the second quarter. Buoyed by strong occupancy and room rate, the sector\u2019s same store revenue per available room (RevPAR) grew 3.8% compared to a very strong 2Q22. S&amp;P Global Market Intelligence Surpassing pre-pandemic RevPAR metrics, however, hasn\u2019t convinced [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":56187,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"gallery","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[236],"tags":[83],"class_list":["post-56186","post","type-post","status-publish","format-gallery","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news","tag-featured","post_format-post-format-gallery"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v20.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>American Hotel Income Properties: 10.7% Yield From US Lodging (OTCMKTS:AHOTF) | iFintechWorld<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Steadily growing business travel demand helped the US hotel REIT sector turn in stronger operating results for the second quarter. 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