{"id":50654,"date":"2023-08-20T01:39:24","date_gmt":"2023-08-20T05:39:24","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ifintechworld.com\/news\/bank-of-america-buy-before-it-goes-ex-dividend-nysebac\/"},"modified":"2023-08-20T01:39:27","modified_gmt":"2023-08-20T05:39:27","slug":"bank-of-america-buy-before-it-goes-ex-dividend-nysebac","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ifintechworld.com\/?p=50654","title":{"rendered":"Bank of America: Buy Before It Goes Ex-Dividend (NYSE:BAC)"},"content":{"rendered":"<div data-test-id=\"content-container\">\n<figure class=\"getty-figure\" data-type=\"getty-image\"><picture>  <\/picture><figcaption>\n<p class=\"item-caption\">Brian Moynihan<\/p>\n<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p><strong>Bank of America<\/strong> (<span class=\"ticker-hover-wrapper\">NYSE:BAC<\/span>) recently announced a 9% dividend hike. The holder of record date for the stock is September 1, and the ex-dividend date is August 31. If you wish to grab Bank of America\u2019s upcoming dividend, you\u2019ll<span class=\"paywall-full-content invisible\"> need to own the stock before August 31.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible\">This may be a good time to buy Bank of America ahead of its dividend payout. The company\u2019s stock got beaten down recently when treasury yields spiked (i.e. their prices declined), leading to concerns about banks\u2019 balance sheets. BAC has about $106 billion in unrealized securities losses, so this isn\u2019t an unreasonable concern to have in principle.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible\">However, the level of concern may be a little overblown. Bank of America does have a lot of unrealized losses, but its liquidity is quite good. Its highly liquid assets make up about 50% of its deposit<span class=\"paywall-full-content no-summary-bullets invisible\"> base, even when you adjust them down to fair value. So, the bank could survive having 50% of its depositors withdraw their money in a short span of time. Additionally, the bank\u2019s <\/span>liquidity coverage ratio<span class=\"paywall-full-content no-summary-bullets invisible\"> is 119%, which is above the 100% requirement.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">Given Bank of America\u2019s high liquidity, it is most likely not at risk of a failure. At the same time, the declining share price means that if you buy the stock today, you will enjoy a higher yield than you would have had you bought it at most points in the last few years. Therefore, BAC stock is a relatively appealing buy at today\u2019s prices.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">Bank of America &#8211; Dividend Safety<\/h2>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">Since we are primarily interested in Bank of America\u2019s dividend here, it makes sense to think about how safe the payout is. There are several metrics we can look at to gauge that. The first metric we can look at is the payout ratio (dividends paid divided by earnings). According to Seeking Alpha Quant, BAC\u2019s payout ratio is 25.3%, which is pretty low and sustainable. That\u2019s a good thing.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">However, bank earnings tend to vary a lot with the state of the economy. During the 2008\/2009 financial crisis, BAC\u2019s earnings declined 73%. Many other banks\u2019 earnings went negative in the same period. In order for BAC to continue paying its dividend at its current level, it will need to be strong enough to withstand a future recession. While few economists expect the next recession to be a severe one, most do expect there to be a recession in one form or another. So, it helps to look at BAC\u2019s overall financial strength.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">We can assess that using a framework known as CAMELS. CAMELS is an acronym that stands for:<\/p>\n<ul class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">\n<li>\n<p>Capital adequacy &#8211; measured by capital ratios.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<p>Asset quality.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<p>Management quality.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<p>Earnings.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<p>Liquidity &#8211; measured by liquidity coverage ratios.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<p>Sensitivity to market risk.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">Regulators impose various minimums to the ratios used in the CAMELS framework. By looking at all of them, we can determine whether Bank of America is robust enough to survive a downturn.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">Let\u2019s take a look at each of them.<\/p>\n<h3 class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">Capital adequacy<\/h3>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">A bank\u2019s capital ratios tell you how much high quality capital it has compared to assets. The most popular one is the CET1 ratio, which measures capital against risk weighted assets (the riskier the asset, the more heavily it is weighted). BAC\u2019s CET1 ratio in the second quarter was 11.6%, which is above the regulatory requirement.<\/p>\n<h3 class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">Asset quality<\/h3>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">Another important factor when analyzing banks is asset quality. This refers to the bank having a healthy mix of treasuries and other \u2018safe\u2019 assets on its balance sheet. While we\u2019d all like to see our banks earning enormous yields on mortgages, the fact is that they have to have liquid assets too. BAC scores pretty well on this front, with about equal amounts of money held in loans and in cash\/treasuries combined, as the chart below shows:<\/p>\n<figure class=\"regular-img-figure paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\" contenteditable=\"false\"><span><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/ifintechworld.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/saupload_9d57qZnQhZti8DnNTN5toJG04ZCfWbb6Tzcoo5Xrjy55oDlvtJxEtBD8UYMcOLlb45PcqLd81vaMFDw-4dFbtOTSpKA-qLzG0be_6jC-HxWEslDw2SpzOEH2KV4dm7v3krfq2XwqaJCtf_6z-kYzIiM_thumb1.png\" alt=\"Bank of America assets\" loading=\"lazy\"><\/span><figcaption>\n<p class=\"item-caption\">Bank of America assets <span>(Bank of America)<\/span><\/p>\n<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<h3 class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">Management skill<\/h3>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">Management skill is a complex factor. It consists of not only the CEO\u2019s abilities, but also factors like internal controls. Bank of America CEO Brian Moynihan has a good reputation, having earned praise from Warren Buffett, and an 89% approval rating from his employees. The company as a whole has won numerous awards for risk management and overall financial soundness. Overall, its management team appears to be skilled.<\/p>\n<h3 class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">Earnings<\/h3>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">Next up, we have earnings. Bank of America\u2019s most recent quarterly earnings release was a beat, with revenue of $10.5 billion up 15%, and earnings of $2.9 billion up 19%. The quarter saw a large increase in provisions for credit losses (\u201cPCL\u201d), yet nevertheless saw an appreciable increase in profit. That bodes well for the future. BAC had a 28% net margin in the quarter, implying that the bank\u2019s earnings are higher than its cost of capital. Overall, BAC\u2019s earnings appear to be both high quality and sustainable.<\/p>\n<h3 class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">Liquidity<\/h3>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">Bank of America\u2019s liquidity picture is quite good. Its highly liquid assets equal about 50% of deposits, even after you adjust them down to fair value. Its liquidity coverage ratio, 119%, is above the requirement (100%). Finally, the bank holds about $374 billion in cash, which is enough to survive a moderate-sized bank run.<\/p>\n<h3 class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">Sensitivity to Market Risk<\/h3>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">Last but not least, we have sensitivity to market risk, including interest rate risk. Bank of America is fairly sensitive to interest rates. Its revenue and earnings both increased significantly this year as a result of interest rates rising. The inverted yield curve has not put pressure on the bank\u2019s margins yet, but that could happen in the future, as more and more depositors flee to the relatively high yields available on treasuries today. Were that to happen, BAC would need to raise savings account and CD interest, which would reduce its margins.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">Taking into account all six of the CAMELS criteria, Bank of America looks likely to remain profitable and solvent for the foreseeable future. It is fairly sensitive to market risk, but it scores well on the other five criteria. For this reason I conclude that BAC\u2019s dividend is reasonably safe, and likely to continue being paid well beyond the scheduled September payment (the one that goes ex-dividend on August 31).<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">Valuation<\/h2>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">Having explored Bank of America\u2019s overall financial strength, we can now proceed to a valuation. According to Seeking Alpha Quant, BAC trades at:<\/p>\n<ul class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">\n<li>\n<p>8.4 times earnings.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<p>2.45 times sales.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<p>0.91 times book value.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<p>5.21 times operating cash flow.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<p>5.26 times free cash flow (this multiple calculated by the author).<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">All of these multiples are fairly low, suggesting that BAC is a cheap stock. However, the price\/book ratio is not as good as it appears at first glance. BAC currently has $254 billion in common equity. If you subtract $106 billion from that (the losses on long term securities), book value is reduced to $148 billion, or $18.32 per share. Using this alternative calculation of book value, the price\/book ratio is 1.58, which is actually rather high by bank standards. Overall, I would characterize Bank of America as \u201cmodestly\u201d valued, but not an outright bargain.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">Risks and Challenges<\/h2>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">As we\u2019ve seen, Bank of America is a strong bank with a modest valuation. It is earning far more than it needs to keep paying and raising its dividend. It looks like a pretty compelling picture so far, but there are many risks and challenges for investors to beware:<\/p>\n<ul class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">\n<li>\n<p>Yield curve inversion. Banks borrow on the short end of the yield curve and lend on the long end. Therefore, inverted yield curves tend to squeeze their margins. This hasn\u2019t happened to Bank of America yet this year, but some smaller banks collapsed earlier this year when their clients pulled out money to invest in treasuries. It\u2019s this kind of thing that forces banks to raise savings\/CD interest, which has the effect of reducing their margins.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<p>A future recession. Many economists believe there will be a recession next year. The consensus of an imminent recession is not as strong as it was earlier in the year, but there are still many experts who believe that one will occur shortly. If that scenario plays out then BAC\u2019s earnings will probably decline, as bank earnings usually do decline during recessions.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">Taking the risks and challenges above into account, Bank of America stock still looks like a decent buy to me. The two risks mentioned are potential, not actual; the yield curve is inverted but it isn\u2019t negatively impacting BAC\u2019s profitability right now, and the expected recession has yet to materialize. Bank of America therefore has high earnings power, and the ability to keep raising its dividend. Perhaps, then, it&#8217;s a good idea to buy the stock before it goes ex-dividend. The yield is already 3%, and is on the rise.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p>Read the full article <a href=\"https:\/\/seekingalpha.com\/article\/4629808-bank-of-america-buy-before-it-goes-ex-dividend?source=feed_all_articles\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">here<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Brian Moynihan Bank of America (NYSE:BAC) recently announced a 9% dividend hike. The holder of record date for the stock is September 1, and the ex-dividend date is August 31. If you wish to grab Bank of America\u2019s upcoming dividend, you\u2019ll need to own the stock before August 31. This may be a good time [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":50655,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"gallery","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[236],"tags":[83],"class_list":["post-50654","post","type-post","status-publish","format-gallery","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news","tag-featured","post_format-post-format-gallery"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v20.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Bank of America: Buy Before It Goes Ex-Dividend (NYSE:BAC) | iFintechWorld<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Brian Moynihan Bank of America (NYSE:BAC) recently announced a 9% dividend hike. 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