{"id":47917,"date":"2023-08-13T10:18:11","date_gmt":"2023-08-13T14:18:11","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ifintechworld.com\/markets\/this-5-stock-value-portfolio-yields-4x-the-market\/"},"modified":"2023-08-13T10:18:14","modified_gmt":"2023-08-13T14:18:14","slug":"this-5-stock-value-portfolio-yields-4x-the-market","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ifintechworld.com\/?p=47917","title":{"rendered":"This 5-Stock Value Portfolio Yields 4X The Market"},"content":{"rendered":"<div>\n<p>Let\u2019s talk about the cheapest dividend payers in the world. With respect to <em>cold hard cash flow<\/em>.<\/p>\n<p>We contrarians are too savvy for P\/E ratios. We know that earnings are <em>accounting<\/em> creations. \u201cProfits\u201d are all <em data-ga-track=\"ExternalLink:https:\/\/contrarianoutlook.com\/fugayzi-or-legit-turn-this-timid-2-5-yield-into-elite-8-4-dividend\/\">fugayzi<\/em>.<\/p>\n<p>Free cash flow (FCF), on the other hand, is what it is. The cash a company brings in, minus capital expenditures. This cash can be reinvested in the business or, better yet, paid out to income investors like us.<\/p>\n<p>We like companies that dish dividends because their businesses are running on relative autopilot. They needn\u2019t plow every dollar they raise back in. Which is great\u2014<em>more yield for us<\/em>.<\/p>\n<p>Here are five cheap dividend payers (with respect to FCF!) yielding an average of 6%.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Coterra Energy (CTRA)<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Dividend Yield: <\/strong>6.0%<\/p>\n<p><fbs-ad position=\"inread\" progressive=\"\" ad-id=\"article-0-inread\" aria-hidden=\"true\" role=\"presentation\"><\/fbs-ad><\/p>\n<p><strong>Forward P\/FCF:<\/strong> 6.1<\/p>\n<p><strong>Coterra Energy (CTRA) <\/strong>is perpetually cheap.<\/p>\n<p>This oil, natural gas and natural gas liquids (NGLs) company has popped up on my radar again and again and again and again in recent months. It sprang to life just a couple years ago, in 2021, when Cabot Oil &amp; Gas and Cimarex Energy merged to form it. It\u2019s a major player in Texas\u2019 and New Mexico\u2019s Delaware Basin, also boasting acreage in the Marcellus and Anadarko basins.<\/p>\n<p>Energy has given us little to celebrate in 2023, woefully underperforming the rest of the market with virtually flat performance. But Coterra has shown signs of life of late, with a beat-and-raise quarter justifying its recent run. Among other things? Oil, nat-gas, and NGL production were all better than expected, leading it to raise its full-year guidance.<\/p>\n<p>I\u2019m not surprised. I\u2019ve previously said that Coterra is a strong operator in the space that\u2019s more talented than most at wringing money out of each drop of oil, and its results continue to reiterate that.<\/p>\n<p>However, I\u2019ve also mentioned previously that Coterra is a difficult holding for long-term income because of its <strong data-ga-track=\"ExternalLink:https:\/\/contrarianoutlook.com\/this-11-dividend-stock-has-11-upside-too\/\">fixed-and-variable<\/strong> dividend\u2014it pays out a base dividend (that increased from 15 cents quarterly to 20 cents this year), then variable dividends as cash flows allow. However, CTRA made a slight adjustment to its policy this year\u2014one that prioritizes share buybacks over variable dividends. Specifically:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>\n <em>\u201cDue to market conditions and the value proposition of our shares, in 2023 we are realigning our strategy to focus on buybacks ahead of variable dividends. Our 2023 capital return priorities include paying our increased base dividend first, share repurchases second, and variable dividends third.\u201d<\/em>\n<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>So unless something changes drastically, that 6% yield\u2014based off of Coterra\u2019s trailing 12-month yield, which I use for fixed-and-variable stocks\u2014is likely to drop to about 3% if CTRA continues only paying its base rate.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Ford (F)<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Dividend Yield: <\/strong>4.7%<\/p>\n<p><strong>Forward P\/FCF:<\/strong> 4.0<\/p>\n<p><strong>Ford (F)<\/strong> is one of the most recognizable automotive names on the planet. Its flagship F-series pickup trucks have been America\u2019s top-selling vehicle for roughly four decades, though in recent years, it has been trying (and in several ways, succeeding) to carve out a place for itself among the top electric-vehicle makers.<\/p>\n<p>Ford has roughly doubled the industrial sector\u2019s returns in 2023, with some of that driven by optimism over its adoption of <strong>Tesla\u2019s (TSLA)<\/strong> charging network. This effectively gives Ford drivers access to some 12,000 superchargers\u2014a move that should improve satisfaction among current Ford EV owners and spur new-EV sales.<\/p>\n<p>Despite a 20%-plus gain in 2023, Ford trades at a very tame 4 times cash-flow estimates and offers a decent yield of nearly 5%.<\/p>\n<p>Zooming out a bit, it\u2019s clear investors aren\u2019t as excited about Ford as its year-to-date returns might suggest. Ford remains stuck in a range it has largely maintained since 2021.<\/p>\n<p>While Ford has assembled a competitive lineup of EVs, including the F-150 Lightning and Mustang Mach-E, it has recently dropped from the country\u2019s No. 2 EV maker by market share to No. 5. It\u2019s also behind the likes of Tesla from a technological standpoint\u2014for now, it\u2019s largely developing EV derivatives of vehicles based on existing internal combustion engine vehicle architectures.<\/p>\n<p>I\u2019ll also note that July\u2014when a 2023 dividend increase likely would have been announced\u2014came and went without any fanfare. Ford kept the payout level, which isn\u2019t necessarily cause for concern, but it won\u2019t excite income investors, either.<\/p>\n<p><strong>VF Corp. (VFC)<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Dividend Yield: <\/strong>6.1%<\/p>\n<p><strong>Forward P\/FCF:<\/strong> 4.6<\/p>\n<p><strong>VF Corp. (VFC)<\/strong> is a collection of apparel brands mostly focused on the great outdoors, including Vans, The North Face and Timberland. It also used to include Wrangler and Lee jeans until 2019, when it spun off those brands via <strong>Kontoor Brands (KTB)<\/strong>. And earlier this year, VFC said it would sell off Eastpak, JanSport and Kipling.<\/p>\n<p>VFC was, for a long time, a stronghold of dividend stability in the notoriously fickle fashion industry. Its payout technically dropped in 2019, but that was only a reflection of the Kontoor divestiture. However, a genuine hammer-drop came this year, when VFC announced a 41% cut to its dividend (to 30 cents per share), all but guaranteeing that, come 2024, it will officially be dropped from the ranks of the Dividend Aristocrats.<\/p>\n<p>The dividend cut is part of a multiyear turnaround plan meant to reverse the company\u2019s financial fortunes. That plan also includes bailing on the aforementioned brands, selling off various assets (including its international headquarters), and cost-cutting meant to save $225 million annually by the end of 2024.<\/p>\n<p>I mentioned earlier this year that one of its directors <strong data-ga-track=\"ExternalLink:https:\/\/contrarianoutlook.com\/why-elizabeth-and-brian-believe-in-their-own-15-8-dividend\/\">made a significant insider buy in Q1<\/strong>. Unfortunately for Director Juliana L. Chugg, it appears (for now) she bought too early.<\/p>\n<p>VFC remains dirt-cheap based on cash flow, at 4.6 times estimates, though I will point out it\u2019s still somewhat overbought based on PEG (1.4). A 6%-plus dividend could tempt some investors to stay and wait for light at the end of the tunnel.<\/p>\n<p>The apparel company could very well be an eventual turnaround play, but for right now, it\u2019s still showing major signs of struggle. It downgraded full-year revenue guidance from flat\/slightly up to flat\/slightly down. Successes in brands such as North Face (+12% YoY in the most recent quarter) are being offset by big declines in others such as Vans (-22%) and Dickies (-19%).<\/p>\n<p><strong>UGI Corp. (UGI)<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Dividend Yield: <\/strong>6.3%<\/p>\n<p><strong>Forward P\/FCF:<\/strong> 4.5<\/p>\n<p>Utility mainstay <strong>UGI Corp. (UGI)<\/strong> is <em>not<\/em> a dividend concern. It has paid dividends without interruption for 139 years, and it has raised them annually for 36, making it a Mid-Cap Aristocrat.<\/p>\n<p>UGI is pretty interesting, as far as utility stocks go. Its core utility operations include UGI, which serves 675,000 gas customers in eastern and central Pennsylvania (and a few hundred gas customers in Maryland) and 62,500 electric customers in northeastern Pennsylvania; and Mountaineer Gas Company, which distributes natural gas to roughly 214,000 customers in West Virginia.<\/p>\n<p>But UGI\u2019s business also includes:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Retail energy marketing<\/li>\n<li>Electricity generation<\/li>\n<li>HVAC<\/li>\n<li>Liquefied petroleum gas distribution in Europe<\/li>\n<li>Amerigas\u2014America\u2019s largest retail propane distribution operation, which UGI acquired outright in 2019<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Despite being a utility (normally a recipe for stability) and offering a more diversified business portfolio than most of its sectormates, UGI has been simply dreadful in recent years, losing roughly half its value since 2019.<\/p>\n<p>You can\u2019t pin all of UGI\u2019s troubles on any one factor, but the war in Ukraine was a big one. Astronomic rises in energy prices in Europe shellacked UGI\u2019s cash flows last year, and the continent continues to hamper UGI this year. In May, UGI cut guidance for adjusted diluted EPS from a range of $2.85-$3.15 per share to a range of $2.75-$2.90 per share, blaming lower volumes \u201cresulting from significant energy conservation in Europe,\u201d as well as delivery challenges thanks to a driver shortage at AmeriGas Propane.<\/p>\n<p>UGI is dirt-cheap, trading well below 5 times cash-flow estimates, and at a PEG of 0.8 that also indicates it\u2019s oversold. Meanwhile, its 6%-plus dividend is well covered and boasts one of the most sterling payment track records on the public markets.<\/p>\n<p><em>When<\/em> this utility\u2019s fortunes will improve is an open question\u2014there\u2019s nothing that screams a turnaround is right around the bend. But it\u2019s hard to find fixer-uppers with more historical resilience than UGI.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Gap (GPS)<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Dividend Yield: <\/strong>5.7%<\/p>\n<p><strong>Forward P\/FCF:<\/strong> 5.0<\/p>\n<p>Speaking of fickle, <strong>Gap (GPS)<\/strong> is another cheap stock with a well-above-average yield, doling out nearly 6% right now. Shares trade at just five times cash-flow estimates, and why shouldn\u2019t they? The last time GPS traded at current levels was during the COVID bear market. And before that? 2009.<\/p>\n<p>Gap\u2019s four main brands are its namesake Gap, Banana Republic, Old Navy, and Athleta\u2014an athleisure brand competing with <strong>Lululemon (LULU)<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p>Gap is in the midst of an aggressive cost-cutting push, knocking out 500 corporate positions and renegotiating its marketing terms. Still, a few woes are countering these efforts, including a massive inventory imbalance\u2014heavy on fleece and athletic wear, but light on going-out and back-to-office clothing\u2014that forced it to discount heavily. A shaky economy has also pared back spending by low-income customers.<\/p>\n<p>And remember: Gap was forced to suspend its dividend in 2020; it returned in 2021, but at roughly half the amount.<\/p>\n<p>If there\u2019s any good news, it\u2019s that Gap has finally ended a year-plus CEO search, with <strong>Mattel (MAT)<\/strong> President and Chief Operating Officer (and Gap director) Richard Dickson taking over effective Aug. 22. Dickson\u2019s background includes revitalizing the Barbie franchise during the 2000s\u2014a feat he hopes to match at Gap.<\/p>\n<p>It\u2019s a promising turn of events, but it takes an iron stomach to jump into a stock in and around a management change.<\/p>\n<p><em>Brett Owens is chief investment strategist for <\/em><em data-ga-track=\"ExternalLink:https:\/\/contrarianoutlook.com\/free-monthly-dividend-report-offers\/forbessig?source=MNTHLYFSIGCOREG=&amp;utm_source=forbes&amp;utm_medium=cpc&amp;utm_campaign=signature\">Contrarian Outlook<\/em><em>. For more great income ideas, get your free copy his latest special report: <\/em>Your Early Retirement Portfolio: Huge Dividends\u2014Every Month\u2014Forever.<\/p>\n<p><em>Disclosure: none<\/em><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p>Read the full article <a href=\"https:\/\/www.forbes.com\/sites\/brettowens\/2023\/08\/13\/this-5-stock-value-portfolio-yields-4x-the-market\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">here<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Let\u2019s talk about the cheapest dividend payers in the world. With respect to cold hard cash flow. We contrarians are too savvy for P\/E ratios. We know that earnings are accounting creations. \u201cProfits\u201d are all fugayzi. Free cash flow (FCF), on the other hand, is what it is. The cash a company brings in, minus [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":47918,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[241],"tags":[83],"class_list":["post-47917","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-markets","tag-featured"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v20.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>This 5-Stock Value Portfolio Yields 4X The Market | iFintechWorld<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Let\u2019s talk about the cheapest dividend payers in the world. With respect to cold hard cash flow. We contrarians are too savvy for P\/E ratios. 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With respect to cold hard cash flow. We contrarians are too savvy for P\/E ratios. 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