{"id":4647,"date":"2023-05-05T12:58:40","date_gmt":"2023-05-05T16:58:40","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ifintechworld.com\/markets\/u-s-jobs-report-defies-expectations-with-more-jobs-and-lower-unemployment-for-april\/"},"modified":"2023-05-05T12:58:41","modified_gmt":"2023-05-05T16:58:41","slug":"u-s-jobs-report-defies-expectations-with-more-jobs-and-lower-unemployment-for-april","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ifintechworld.com\/?p=4647","title":{"rendered":"U.S. Jobs Report Defies Expectations With More Jobs And Lower Unemployment For April"},"content":{"rendered":"<div>\n<h2 class=\"subhead-embed color-accent bg-base font-accent font-size text-align\">Key takeaways<\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li>253,000 new jobs were added to the U.S. economy in April, smashing forecasts of 180,000<\/li>\n<li>Wages were up 4.4% annually, accelerating from March figures<\/li>\n<li>It\u2019s a mixed picture for the Fed, who just raised interest rates for tenth time in a row<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>The U.S. jobs economy has continued to defy expectations and, at times, logic by adding far more jobs than expected. It\u2019s a sign of the economy\u2019s resilience, but wage acceleration is a concern for the Fed as it continues what\u2019s turning out to be a long battle against high inflation.<\/p>\n<p>Stocks were up and Treasury yields rose at the news, while the dollar strengthened. But now Wall Street is wondering if there\u2019s another rate rise on the cards if a too-hot jobs market is tampering with the Fed\u2019s carefully laid plans. We\u2019ve got the latest on what the data says and what it means.<\/p>\n<p><em>Even if strong wage growth keeps inflation sticky, you won\u2019t need to worry with Q.ai\u2019s <\/em><em data-ga-track=\"ExternalLink:https:\/\/learn.tryq.ai\/blog\/inflation-kit?utm_campaign=Forbes&amp;utm_medium=article&amp;utm_source=Forbes\">Inflation Protection Kit<\/em><em>. It\u2019s designed to find the best-performing companies beating inflation each week, with an AI algorithm scouring the data to find the good bets. It then adjusts the holdings as needed, helping you to keep one step ahead.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><fbs-ad position=\"inread\" progressive=\"\" ad-id=\"article-0-inread\" aria-hidden=\"true\" role=\"presentation\"><\/fbs-ad><\/p>\n<p><em>If you\u2019re inclined to invest in alternative assets for this tough economic period, look no further than Q.ai\u2019s <\/em><em data-ga-track=\"ExternalLink:https:\/\/learn.tryq.ai\/blog\/gold-rush-kit?utm_campaign=Forbes&amp;utm_medium=article&amp;utm_source=Forbes\">Gold Rush Kit<\/em><em>. The AI looks at the gold-mining companies which are expected to do the best in the coming week, and switches around holdings as needed. It works off a huge range of data, to help you invest without the upfront work.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em data-ga-track=\"ExternalLink:https:\/\/refer.tryq.ai\/Ao1KHHtAyzb\">Download Q.ai today<\/em><em> for access to AI-powered investment strategies.<\/em><\/p>\n<h2 class=\"subhead-embed color-accent bg-base font-accent font-size text-align\">What did the U.S. jobs report say?<\/h2>\n<p>The U.S. economy added 253,000 new jobs in April, according to the latest non-farm payrolls count data, which blew forecasted figures out of the water. Analysts had been predicting 180,000 new jobs last month, a sign that the economy is healthier than expected despite persistent interest rate rises.<\/p>\n<p>The unemployment rate also stayed static at 3.4% instead of the 3.6% predicted. That\u2019s actually a small drop from the 3.5% rate seen in March at a time when unemployment levels are at their lowest in decades. In more concerning news for those worried about inflation, wage growth grew by 4.4% annually, up from 4.2% seen in March. It was the same for hourly wages: they climbed 0.5% in April, ahead of March\u2019s 0.3% figure.<\/p>\n<p>Crucially, there was also a revised markdown for the number of jobs added in March and February. The two months were changed down by a combined 149,000 jobs, suggesting the jobs market isn\u2019t quite as hot as is initially being reported and jobs growth is declining, albeit slowly.<\/p>\n<p>Most of the jobs created were driven by the professional services, healthcare and leisure and hospitality industries. The only sector to see a notable drop was the temporary help services industry, which declined by 23,000 roles in April.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"subhead-embed color-accent bg-base font-accent font-size text-align\">How did the markets react?<\/h2>\n<p>The U.S. dollar climbed by 0.24%, but analysts predict that it will fall back to previous levels. Stocks also opened higher at the news: the S&amp;P 500 and Dow Jones were both up by 0.94%, while the Nasdaq rose 0.84%.<\/p>\n<p>Treasury yields also rose, with the two-year Treasury bills hitting 3.87% Friday morning, up from 3.73%. The ten-year Treasury yields, which is one of the more significant markers of the economy\u2019s health, rose to 3.44% from 3.35%. It\u2019s a sign investors believe we haven\u2019t seen the last of rate rises, but there\u2019s plenty of data between now and then to give a clearer picture.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"subhead-embed color-accent bg-base font-accent font-size text-align\">Is there any other data about jobs?<\/h2>\n<p>The ADP jobs report from earlier this week echoed a similar trend, though it differed in wage growth. Private payrolls hit 296,000 for April, surpassing the 133,000 prediction from Dow Jones.<\/p>\n<p>There were similar gains in the same industries &#8211; the hospitality and leisure, health services and construction all made employment gains &#8211; but the banking and manufacturing sectors both saw job losses. Annual wage growth slowed, hitting 6.7% increase annually compared to 6.9% in March and 7.2% in February.<\/p>\n<p>At first this seemed like good news: weakening wages but a strong jobs market gave the Fed some leeway in their predictions about avoiding a recession. But now the non-farm payroll data has been added into the mix? It\u2019s not looking so certain.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"subhead-embed color-accent bg-base font-accent font-size text-align\">What does this mean for a potential recession?<\/h2>\n<p>Just this week Jerome Powell said \u201cAvoiding a recession is, in my view, more likely than having a recession.\u201d He might have egg on his face after all.<\/p>\n<p>Usually, a strong jobs and labor market isn\u2019t a good thing when the economy suffers from high inflation. The wage growth, one of the key drivers of inflation, will be especially concerning to investors and the Fed alike, as it suggests the Fed won\u2019t be reaching its 2% target anytime soon.<\/p>\n<p>On the other hand, Fed chair Jerome Powell was also remarkably upbeat about the economy\u2019s health because of the jobs market. After the Fed\u2019s tenth interest rate hike in a row, he commented that the jobs market\u2019s resilience gave some hope mass unemployment wasn\u2019t in the near future. And we could also see April\u2019s job figures revised downwards, just like March and February have just seen, which would mean the figure today is a bit of a misnomer. But it\u2019s a lot of \u2018ifs\u2019 and \u2018buts\u2019 to work with.<\/p>\n<p>Once again, the Fed is treading a delicate path. It wants a cooler jobs market so wage growth isn\u2019t driving inflation, but it also doesn\u2019t want mass unemployment as part of a recession. So, the latest data paints a pretty mixed picture and doesn\u2019t altogether rule out further rate rises like Wall Street is hoping for.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"subhead-embed color-accent bg-base font-accent font-size text-align\">The bottom line<\/h2>\n<p>The jobs market is just doing its own thing right now. Even when interest rates are at their highest in decades, a banking crisis rages on, whispers of a recession have persisted, and yet unemployment remains historically low.<\/p>\n<p>It\u2019s a head-scratcher, for sure. But we know that the jobs data only forms part of the picture. We\u2019ll have to wait and see whether other areas of the economy are weakening and inflation is dropping to see if the jobs market is an outlier or if the economy is truly resilient. Our advice? Buckle up.<\/p>\n<p><em>Q.ai\u2019s <\/em><em data-ga-track=\"ExternalLink:https:\/\/learn.tryq.ai\/blog\/recession-resistance-kit?utm_campaign=Forbes&amp;utm_medium=article&amp;utm_source=Forbes\">Recession Resistance Kit<\/em><em> can help you turn the dreaded R-word from \u2018yikes\u2019 to \u2018yay\u2019. How? With a nifty AI that sifts through the data so you don\u2019t have to. It identifies the recession-proof companies performing well each week and fine-tunes the holdings to help you maximize your investment.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>Want to develop another income stream and help build wealth? Q.ai\u2019s <\/em><em data-ga-track=\"ExternalLink:https:\/\/learn.tryq.ai\/blog\/foundation-investment-kits?utm_campaign=Forbes&amp;utm_medium=article&amp;utm_source=Forbes\">Foundation Kits<\/em><em> are themed on topics like tech and global affairs, with different risk levels to suit newbies and seasoned pros alike. After scanning the data, the AI finds the standout investment choices across a range of asset classes each week, helping you stay ahead of the curve.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em data-ga-track=\"ExternalLink:https:\/\/refer.tryq.ai\/Mi1hULyAyzb\">Download Q.ai today<\/em><em> for access to AI-powered investment strategies.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p>Read the full article <a href=\"https:\/\/www.forbes.com\/sites\/qai\/2023\/05\/05\/us-jobs-report-defies-expectations-with-more-jobs-and-lower-unemployment-for-april\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">here<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Key takeaways 253,000 new jobs were added to the U.S. economy in April, smashing forecasts of 180,000 Wages were up 4.4% annually, accelerating from March figures It\u2019s a mixed picture for the Fed, who just raised interest rates for tenth time in a row The U.S. jobs economy has continued to defy expectations and, at [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":4648,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[241],"tags":[83],"class_list":["post-4647","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-markets","tag-featured"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v20.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>U.S. Jobs Report Defies Expectations With More Jobs And Lower Unemployment For April | iFintechWorld<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Key takeaways 253,000 new jobs were added to the U.S. economy in April, smashing forecasts of 180,000 Wages were up 4.4% annually, accelerating from March\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/ifintechworld.com\/?p=4647\" 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