{"id":4116,"date":"2023-05-04T10:42:16","date_gmt":"2023-05-04T14:42:16","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ifintechworld.com\/markets\/powell-says-banking-system-sound-and-resilient-try-telling-that-to-pacwest-investors\/"},"modified":"2023-05-04T10:42:17","modified_gmt":"2023-05-04T14:42:17","slug":"powell-says-banking-system-sound-and-resilient-try-telling-that-to-pacwest-investors","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ifintechworld.com\/?p=4116","title":{"rendered":"Powell Says Banking System \u2018Sound and Resilient.\u2019 Try Telling That to PacWest Investors."},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"js-article__body\" itemprop=\"articleBody\" data-sbid=\"SB52805959006245833717104589598732209055604\">\n<p>Just hours after Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell reassured the public that the U.S. banking system remains \u201csound and resilient,\u201d another regional bank\u2014PacWest Bancorp\u2014was hurtling toward danger.<\/p>\n<p>Shares in the Beverly Hills-based bank plunged as the company confirmed it was evaluating all options and was in discussions with partners and investors.<\/p>\n<div class=\"paywall\">\n<p>It\u2019s been a tumultuous time for regional banks, what will it take for the phrase \u201csound and resilient\u201d to be taken out of circulation once and for all?<\/p>\n<p>The Fed is aware of, and monitoring, the potential economic consequences of the bank turmoil but the growing number of bank collapses doesn\u2019t seem to be enough for it to change course. Powell closed the door on rate cuts anytime soon, although a pause is now largely expected in June.<\/p>\n<p>The central bank\u2019s monetary policy committee acknowledged that tighter credit conditions, as a result of the recent banking stress, are likely to hit households and businesses\u2014weighing on economic activity, hiring, and inflation.<\/p>\n<p>Perversely, that impact would actually help the Fed in its mission to bring down inflation. But the severity of the slowdown is still very much in the balance.<\/p>\n<p>Powell thinks avoiding a recession is more likely than the prospect of one. Markets seem to disagree somewhat\u2014pricing in a rate cut as early as September, according to CME\u2019s FedWatch tool. That suggests expectations for a sharper downturn than the one predicted by the Fed.<\/p>\n<p>Another key takeaway from the Fed\u2019s meeting is the central bank is adopting a more data-dependent approach to whether further hikes are needed. <\/p>\n<p>Friday\u2019s jobs data take on greater importance now as investors look for more evidence that a pause is coming\u2014and that a recession can be avoided.<\/p>\n<p>\u2014<em>Callum Keown<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>*** Join Barron\u2019s deputy editor Alex Eule and senior technology writer Tae Kim today at noon when they discuss the outlook for tech companies and individual stocks. Sign up here.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>Try your hand at this morning\u2019s Barron\u2019s crossword puzzle and sudoku games. For all games, including a digital jigsaw based on the week\u2019s cover story, click here.<\/em><\/p>\n<h4>***<\/h4>\n<h6>Powell Hints Fed Might Be Nearly Done With Current Hikes<\/h6>\n<p>After Federal Reserve members unanimously voted to lift the bank\u2019s benchmark interest rate by another quarter percentage-point, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell indicated they might be nearing a pause on further increases. It all depends on incoming data.<\/p>\n<ul class=\"articleList\">\n<li>\n      \u201cIt\u2019s possible that this time really is different,\u201d Powell said. The Fed has raised rates a total of five percentage points since March 2022, the fastest pace of increases <strong>since the 1980s<\/strong>. But Powell noted the unemployment rate is 3.5%, lower than it was one year ago.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n      Wednesday\u2019s decision brought the fed-funds rate to 5.0% to 5.25%, the highest since autumn 2007. Fed officials would need to see data that points to <strong>stronger-than-expected<\/strong> growth, hiring, and inflation to raise rates again, The Wall Street Journal reported. The central bank\u2019s next monetary policy meeting is June 13-14.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n      The statement indicated the Fed believes it can continue its fight against inflation <strong>despite concerns about the banking system<\/strong>. Officials called the U.S. banking system \u201csound and resilient,\u201d saying it is too early to know how much a potential lending pullback would affect the economy and inflation.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n      Officials also <strong>removed a reference<\/strong> to \u201cadditional policy firming\u201d in the future to get the annual inflation rate down to the bank\u2019s 2% target. The Fed will continue selling Treasury- and mortgage-backed securities holdings as it works to shrink its multi-trillion-dollar balance sheet.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><strong>What\u2019s Next:<\/strong> Powell warned about assuming the Fed can protect the economy from damage if the federal debt ceiling isn\u2019t lifted. The Senate Budget Committee scheduled a hearing for Thursday to discuss a GOP plan to cut spending in exchange for raising or suspending the limit.<\/p>\n<p>\u2014<em>Nicholas Jasinski and Janet H. Cho<\/em><em><\/em><\/p>\n<h4>***<\/h4>\n<h6>Bank Moves to Calm Jitters, Says Deposits Are Rising<\/h6>\n<p>\n        PacWest Bancorp<br \/>\n       issued a statement aimed at reassuring markets about its health, saying deposits were rising. This followed the stock price of the Los Angeles-area lender sinking 55% in after-hours trading Wednesday.<\/p>\n<ul class=\"articleList\">\n<li>\n      The news hit just two days after<br \/>\n        JPMorgan Chase<br \/>\n       took over First Republic Bancorp after a <strong>tense weekend<\/strong> during which the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. analyzed bids.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n      On Wednesday evening, the regional bank said deposits were rising. \u201cThe bank has not experienced out-of-the-ordinary deposit flows following the sale of First Republic Bank and other news,\u201d It said.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n      PacWest stock has been volatile since the March 8 failure of Silicon Valley Bank triggered a <strong>deposit run on some regional banks<\/strong>. Less than two weeks ago, PacWest reported noncash impairment charges that left a loss of $10.22 a share. Cash earnings were 66 cents a share.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n      After substantial outflows of deposits, the bank planned to shrink its balance sheet by <strong>selling more than $3 billion<\/strong> of its loans. Bloomberg reported that the bank wasn\u2019t having success marketing its loan portfolio.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><strong>What\u2019s Next:<\/strong> PacWest shares are down 72% so far this year, bringing its market value to around $772 million. The stock fell 40% in Thursday\u2019s premarket. Advisors including Piper Sandler and Stephens are helping PacWest evaluate longer-term plans for the business, CNBC reported. <\/p>\n<p>\u2014<em>Liz Moyer<\/em><em> and Rupert Steiner<\/em><\/p>\n<h4>***<\/h4>\n<h6>\n        Shell<br \/>\n       Beats Estimates With Profit of Nearly $10 Billion<\/h6>\n<p>Shares of oil giant Shell were rising Thursday after the company reported first-quarter earnings that exceeded expectations and announced a new $4 billion buyback.<\/p>\n<ul class=\"articleList\">\n<li>\n      The London-based major reported that earnings in the first three months of the year were $9.7 billion. That\u2019s slightly lower than the fourth quarter, but <strong>substantially higher<\/strong> than the FactSet consensus of $8 billion. It also said it would complete a $4 billion buyback program over the coming three months.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n      On Tuesday, rival BP also beat expectations, but shares fell as the company <strong>disappointed investors<\/strong> by slowing its buyback program.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n      Shell, BP, and U.S. peers Exxon Mobil and Chevron all <strong>posted record profits<\/strong> in 2022, when oil prices spiked on the back of Russia\u2019s invasion of Ukraine.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><strong>What\u2019s Next:<\/strong> Oil prices are now more than 30% lower than this time a year ago. That suggests earnings are unlikely to be quite as high this year even if they\u2019re still good by historical standards.<\/p>\n<p>\u2014<em><\/em><em>Brian Swint<\/em><\/p>\n<h4>***<\/h4>\n<h6>GSK Gets RSV Vaccine Nod, Lilly Highlights Alzheimer Drug<\/h6>\n<p>\n        GSK<br \/>\n       said the Food and Drug Administration approved its respiratory syncytial virus vaccine for adults aged 60 and older, the first treatment of its kind for the common and contagious illness. Rival<br \/>\n        Pfizer<br \/>\n       is awaiting approval for its RSV shot, which could happen in weeks, and vaccines for the same condition are in development at<br \/>\n        Moderna<br \/>\n       and<br \/>\n        Bavarian Nordic<span>.<\/span>\n       <\/p>\n<ul class=\"articleList\">\n<li>\n      GSK will make doses available before the 2023-24 RSV season in the winter months. The cost <strong>hasn\u2019t yet been disclosed<\/strong> but it could be from $65 to $185 a dose, The Wall Street Journal reported. Advisors to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention are meeting about the drug in June.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n        Eli Lilly<br \/>\n       said its Alzheimer\u2019s drug donanemab <strong>significantly slowed <\/strong>cognitive decline by 35%, but three trial participants died after developing a condition associated with the treatment. Efficacy results seem likely to ensure the FDA will approve the drug.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n      Safety data raise questions about <strong>whether Medicare will pay<\/strong> for the medicine, how eager doctors will be to prescribe it, and whether a rival treatment from<br \/>\n        Biogen<br \/>\n       and Eisai might seem more attractive to patients. Biogen and<br \/>\n        Eisai<br \/>\n       are waiting for an FDA decision on full approval.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n      Elsewhere in the sector,<br \/>\n        ImmunoGen<span>\u2019s<\/span><br \/>\n       shares <strong>soared 136%<\/strong> after it reported \u201csignificant and clinically meaningful\u201d survival results in a phase 3 trial of its drug Elahere among ovarian cancer patients. Elahere reduced the risk of death by 33% among patients with platinum-resistant ovarian cancer.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><strong>What\u2019s Next:<\/strong> ImmunoGen said it plans to submit a marketing authorization application in Europe and a supplemental Biologics License Application in the U.S. in the second half of 2023 for a conversion to a regular approval of the drug.<\/p>\n<p>\u2014<em>Janet H. Cho and Josh Nathan-Kazis<\/em><em><\/em><em><\/em><\/p>\n<h4>***<\/h4>\n<h6>Apple Shareholders Await Earnings, News on This Year\u2019s Payout<\/h6>\n<p>\n        Apple<br \/>\n       will report the last of the Big Tech earnings today after the market closes, with expectations for another year-over-year sales decline for the March quarter. But it is also expected to deliver a massive number for share buybacks and dividends.<\/p>\n<ul class=\"articleList\">\n<li>\n      Apple <strong>usually updates<\/strong> its dividend and buyback policies in conjunction with its March quarter report. It added $90 billion to its buyback program in 2022 while increasing its quarterly dividend by 5%. Morgan Stanley\u2019s Erik Woodring told MarketWatch the best bet is Apple makes the same move this year.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n      It\u2019s another way of demonstrating <strong>how much cash it generates<\/strong> each year. It has a balance of $165 billion in cash and marketable securities, though that doesn\u2019t take into account debt. Net the debt, cash is around $54 billion.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n      Rival<br \/>\n        Alphabet<br \/>\n       just authorized a <strong>$70 billion buyback<\/strong>, an increase from 2022\u2019s authorization for $50 billion. Apple is said to be working toward a \u201cnet cash neutral\u201d position where its cash is equal to its debt. That\u2019s when it could slow the pace of buybacks.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n      Wedbush analyst Dan Ives said an uptick in <strong>demand in China<\/strong> will help drive upside for iPhone sales. He said App Store activity could help Apple\u2019s services revenue and allow the iPhone maker to at least meet expectations.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><strong>What\u2019s Next:<\/strong> Though Apple hasn\u2019t formally offered guidance since the Covid-19 pandemic started three years ago, the consensus among analysts polled by FactSet calls for earnings of $1.43 a share. Analysts expect sales to fall 4.5% to $92.91 billion.<\/p>\n<p>\u2014<em>Liz Moyer and Connor Smith<\/em><em><\/em><\/p>\n<h4>***<\/h4>\n<p><em>\u2014Newsletter edited by Liz Moyer, Patrick O\u2019Donnell, Rupert Steiner<\/em><\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p>Read the full article <a href=\"https:\/\/www.marketwatch.com\/articles\/what-to-know-today-e840727?mod=markets\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">here<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Just hours after Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell reassured the public that the U.S. banking system remains \u201csound and resilient,\u201d another regional bank\u2014PacWest Bancorp\u2014was hurtling toward danger. Shares in the Beverly Hills-based bank plunged as the company confirmed it was evaluating all options and was in discussions with partners and investors. It\u2019s been a tumultuous [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":4117,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"gallery","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[241],"tags":[83],"class_list":["post-4116","post","type-post","status-publish","format-gallery","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-markets","tag-featured","post_format-post-format-gallery"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v20.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Powell Says Banking System \u2018Sound and Resilient.\u2019 Try Telling That to PacWest Investors. | iFintechWorld<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Just hours after Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell reassured the public that the U.S. banking system remains \u201csound and resilient,\u201d another regional\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, 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