{"id":39401,"date":"2023-07-23T09:04:21","date_gmt":"2023-07-23T13:04:21","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ifintechworld.com\/news\/cousins-properties-reit-enjoy-this-fat-stable-sunbelt-yield-nysecuz\/"},"modified":"2023-07-23T09:04:25","modified_gmt":"2023-07-23T13:04:25","slug":"cousins-properties-reit-enjoy-this-fat-stable-sunbelt-yield-nysecuz","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ifintechworld.com\/?p=39401","title":{"rendered":"Cousins Properties REIT: Enjoy This Fat, Stable Sunbelt Yield (NYSE:CUZ)"},"content":{"rendered":"<div data-test-id=\"content-container\">\n<p><figure class=\"getty-figure\" data-type=\"getty-image\"><picture>  <\/picture><figcaption> <\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/p>\n<p>Office REITs remain beaten down, due to the WFH (work-from-home) trend, which is here to stay. Of the 18 REIT sectors, only Cell Towers and Cannabis REITs have fared worse than the (-8.74)% total return posted by Office REITs YTD (year-to-date), while the average equity REIT has returned<span class=\"paywall-full-content invisible\"> 3.87%. Meanwhile, the NASDAQ and the S&amp;P indexes have raced ahead at double digits, and even the Dow has returned 6.72% thus far.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible\">\n<figure class=\"regular-img-figure paywall-full-content invisible\" contenteditable=\"false\"><picture> <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/ifintechworld.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/50785209-16898703617205.png\" alt=\"list of 18 REIT sectors, showing data as described in text, with Data Center, Single Family, and Timber REITs leading the way\" contenteditable=\"false\" loading=\"lazy\"> <\/picture><figcaption>\n<p class=\"item-caption\"><span>Hoya Capital<\/span><\/p>\n<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible\">There are a few bright spots in the Office REIT sector, however. Sunbelt and secondary market office leasing rates have recovered to 75% of pre-pandemic levels. As office properties continue to be repurposed or abandoned, the supply\/demand imbalance will continue to improve overall. While urban markets with long commute times will continue to suffer, Hoya Capital believes that Sunbelt and secondary-focused REITs have bottomed.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">This article examines growth, balance sheet, dividend, and valuation metrics for one such company.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">Meet the company<\/h2>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">\n<figure class=\"regular-img-figure paywall-full-content invisible\" contenteditable=\"false\"><picture> <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/ifintechworld.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/50785209-16898710840572906.png\" alt=\"company logo\" contenteditable=\"false\" loading=\"lazy\"> <\/picture><figcaption>\n<p class=\"item-caption\"><span>Cousins Properties<\/span><\/p>\n<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">Founded in 1958 and headquartered in Atlanta, Cousins Properties (<span class=\"ticker-hover-wrapper\">NYSE:CUZ<\/span>) went public in 1962, and converted to a REIT in 1987. The company owns just under 19 msf (million square feet) of amenity-rich office space in 8 secondary markets, all in the Sunbelt, with the strongest concentrations in Atlanta and Austin, which account for two-thirds of the company&#8217;s NOI (net operating income).<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">The buildings average just 19 years of age, and nearly half (41%) have been delivered or redeveloped since 2015. Every asset in the portfolio is rated Class A, and CUZ enjoys a 90.8% occupancy rate as of June 2023.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">\n<figure class=\"regular-img-figure paywall-full-content invisible\" contenteditable=\"false\"><span><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/ifintechworld.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/50785209-16898714344414575.png\" alt=\"map of the U.S., showing all properties south of the Mason-Dixon line, as described in text\" contenteditable=\"false\" loading=\"lazy\"><\/span><figcaption>\n<p class=\"item-caption\"><span>Company investor presentation<\/span><\/p>\n<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">The glut of office space has caused a flight to quality, and CUZ is a prime beneficiary, with asking rents 9% above pre-pandemic levels, and 23% above the Class A average in its markets.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">\n<figure class=\"regular-img-figure paywall-full-content invisible\" contenteditable=\"false\"><span><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/ifintechworld.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/50785209-16898750201097078.png\" alt=\"bar chart, depicting data as described in text.\" contenteditable=\"false\" loading=\"lazy\"><\/span><figcaption>\n<p class=\"item-caption\"><span>Company investor presentation<\/span><\/p>\n<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">CUZ has 1.3 msf of new development in the pipeline, and a land bank that can support an additional 5.1 msf.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">Growth metrics<\/h2>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">Here are the 3-year growth figures for FFO (funds from operations), and TCFO (total cash from operations).<\/p>\n<p> <span class=\"table-responsive paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\"><span class=\"table-scroll-wrapper\"><span data-intersection-boundary=\"start\"><\/span><\/p>\n<table>\n<tr class=\"bg-g\">\n<td><strong>Metric<\/strong><\/td>\n<td><strong>2019<\/strong><\/td>\n<td><strong>2020<\/strong><\/td>\n<td><strong>2021<\/strong><\/td>\n<td><strong>2022<\/strong><\/td>\n<td><strong>3-year CAGR<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr class=\"bg-gn\">\n<td>FFO (millions)<\/td>\n<td>$329<\/td>\n<td>$413<\/td>\n<td>$409<\/td>\n<td>$409<\/td>\n<td>&#8212;<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr class=\"bg-gn\">\n<td>FFO Growth %<\/td>\n<td>&#8212;<\/td>\n<td>25.5<\/td>\n<td>(-1.0)<\/td>\n<td>0.0<\/td>\n<td>7.5%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>FFO per share<\/td>\n<td>$2.53<\/td>\n<td>$2.78<\/td>\n<td>$2.75<\/td>\n<td>$2.72<\/td>\n<td>&#8212;<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>FFO per share growth %<\/td>\n<td>&#8212;<\/td>\n<td>9.9<\/td>\n<td>(-1.1)<\/td>\n<td>(-1.1)<\/td>\n<td>2.4%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr class=\"bg-y\">\n<td>TCFO (millions)<\/td>\n<td>$303<\/td>\n<td>$351<\/td>\n<td>$389<\/td>\n<td>$365<\/td>\n<td>&#8212;<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr class=\"bg-y\">\n<td>TCFO Growth %<\/td>\n<td>&#8212;<\/td>\n<td>15.8<\/td>\n<td>10.8<\/td>\n<td>(-6.2)<\/td>\n<td>6.4%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n<p> <span data-intersection-boundary=\"end\"><\/span><\/span><button class=\"table-enlarge-button\"><svg xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" viewbox=\"0 0 16 16\" class=\"table-enlarge-icon\"><path fill-rule=\"evenodd\" clip-rule=\"evenodd\" d=\"M16 11a5 5 0 0 1-5 5H5a5 5 0 0 1-5-5V5a5 5 0 0 1 5-5h6a5 5 0 0 1 5 5v6zm-4.5-2.5h2v-6h-6v2h4v4zm-9-1h2v4h4v2h-6v-6z\"><\/path><\/svg>Click to enlarge<\/button><\/span> <\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\"><em>Source: TD Ameritrade, Hoya Capital Income Builder, and author calculations<\/em><\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">CUZ grew its FFO and cash flow throughout the pandemic, but took a small step back over the last 12 to 18 months. The healthy 3-year growth rates seen above are almost all due to the company&#8217;s performance in 2020. FFO per share growth for CUZ is markedly slower than its FFO growth overall, indicating that share issuance has played an outsized role in the company&#8217;s expansion.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">Meanwhile, here is how the stock price has done over the past 3 twelve-month periods, compared to the REIT average as represented by the Vanguard Real Estate ETF (VNQ).<\/p>\n<p> <span class=\"table-responsive paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\"><span class=\"table-scroll-wrapper\"><span data-intersection-boundary=\"start\"><\/span><\/p>\n<table>\n<tr class=\"bg-g\">\n<td><strong>Metric<\/strong><\/td>\n<td><strong>2020<\/strong><\/td>\n<td><strong>2021<\/strong><\/td>\n<td><strong>2022<\/strong><\/td>\n<td><strong>2023<\/strong><\/td>\n<td><strong>3-yr CAGR<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr class=\"bg-r\">\n<td>CUZ share price, July 19<\/td>\n<td>$29.61<\/td>\n<td>$38.07<\/td>\n<td>$29.97<\/td>\n<td>$24.52<\/td>\n<td>&#8212;<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr class=\"bg-r\">\n<td>CUZ share price Gain %<\/td>\n<td>&#8212;<\/td>\n<td>28.6<\/td>\n<td>(-21.3)<\/td>\n<td>(-18.2)<\/td>\n<td>(-6.09)%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr class=\"bg-b\">\n<td>VNQ share price, July 19<\/td>\n<td>$78.67<\/td>\n<td>$103.39<\/td>\n<td>$93.50<\/td>\n<td>$86.06<\/td>\n<td>&#8212;<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr class=\"bg-b\">\n<td>VNQ share price Gain %<\/td>\n<td>&#8212;<\/td>\n<td>31.4<\/td>\n<td>(-9.5)<\/td>\n<td>(-8.0)<\/td>\n<td>3.04%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n<p> <span data-intersection-boundary=\"end\"><\/span><\/span><button class=\"table-enlarge-button\"><svg xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" viewbox=\"0 0 16 16\" class=\"table-enlarge-icon\"><path fill-rule=\"evenodd\" clip-rule=\"evenodd\" d=\"M16 11a5 5 0 0 1-5 5H5a5 5 0 0 1-5-5V5a5 5 0 0 1 5-5h6a5 5 0 0 1 5 5v6zm-4.5-2.5h2v-6h-6v2h4v4zm-9-1h2v4h4v2h-6v-6z\"><\/path><\/svg>Click to enlarge<\/button><\/span> <\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\"><em>Source: MarketWatch.com and author calculations<\/em><\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">CUZ shares have lagged the VNQ in each of the past three twelve-month periods, resulting in a 3-year CAGR of (-6.1)%, compared to a gain of 3.04% for the VNQ. Like all office REITs bought in 2020, it has been a disappointing investment.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">Meanwhile, Cousins is optimally sized at a market cap of $3.72 billion.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">Balance sheet metrics<\/h2>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">Here are the key balance sheet metrics. Cousins&#8217; liquidity is superb, and its Debt\/EBITDA of 5.1 is also stellar.<\/p>\n<p> <span class=\"table-responsive paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\"><span class=\"table-scroll-wrapper\"><span data-intersection-boundary=\"start\"><\/span><\/p>\n<table>\n<tr class=\"bg-g\">\n<td><strong>Company<\/strong><\/td>\n<td><strong>Liquidity Ratio<\/strong><\/td>\n<td><strong>Debt Ratio<\/strong><\/td>\n<td><strong>Debt\/EBITDA<\/strong><\/td>\n<td><strong>Bond Rating<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"bg-y\">CUZ<\/td>\n<td class=\"bg-gn\">2.59<\/td>\n<td class=\"bg-y\">38%<\/td>\n<td class=\"bg-gn\">5.1<\/td>\n<td class=\"bg-y\">&#8212;<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n<p> <span data-intersection-boundary=\"end\"><\/span><\/span><button class=\"table-enlarge-button\"><svg xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" viewbox=\"0 0 16 16\" class=\"table-enlarge-icon\"><path fill-rule=\"evenodd\" clip-rule=\"evenodd\" d=\"M16 11a5 5 0 0 1-5 5H5a5 5 0 0 1-5-5V5a5 5 0 0 1 5-5h6a5 5 0 0 1 5 5v6zm-4.5-2.5h2v-6h-6v2h4v4zm-9-1h2v4h4v2h-6v-6z\"><\/path><\/svg>Click to enlarge<\/button><\/span> <\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\"><em>Source: Hoya Capital Income Builder, TD Ameritrade, and author calculations<\/em><\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">Less than 3% of Cousins&#8217; debt matures in the next two years. Just over three-quarters of the debt (78.3%) is unsecured.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">\n<figure class=\"regular-img-figure paywall-full-content invisible\" contenteditable=\"false\"><span><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/ifintechworld.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/50785209-1689875615904856.png\" alt=\"table of figures, showing debts, interest rates, and due dates as described in text\" contenteditable=\"false\" loading=\"lazy\"><\/span><figcaption>\n<p class=\"item-caption\"><span>Company 10-Q for Q1<\/span><\/p>\n<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">The weighted average maturity is 3.8 years, but the weighted average interest rate is high, at 4.75%. Of the total debt, 8.4% is held at variable rates.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">Dividend metrics<\/h2>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">Unlike the vast majority of Office REITs, CUZ never cut its dividend during the pandemic or since. Its current Yield of 5.39% is considerably fatter than the average REIT, and even with slow dividend growth of 2.2%, its Dividend Score of 5.75 is very near the REIT average. The payout is too safe, if anything, rated by Seeking Alpha Premium at A-.<\/p>\n<p> <span class=\"table-responsive paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\"><span class=\"table-scroll-wrapper\"><span data-intersection-boundary=\"start\"><\/span><\/p>\n<table>\n<tr class=\"bg-g\">\n<td><strong>Company<\/strong><\/td>\n<td><strong>Div. Yield<\/strong><\/td>\n<td><strong>3-yr Div. Growth<\/strong><\/td>\n<td><strong>Div. Score<\/strong><\/td>\n<td><strong>Payout<\/strong><\/td>\n<td><strong>Div. Safety<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"bg-y\">CUZ<\/td>\n<td class=\"bg-y\">5.39%<\/td>\n<td class=\"bg-y\">2.2%<\/td>\n<td class=\"bg-y\">5.75<\/td>\n<td class=\"bg-y\">50%<\/td>\n<td class=\"bg-gn\">A-<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n<p> <span data-intersection-boundary=\"end\"><\/span><\/span><button class=\"table-enlarge-button\"><svg xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" viewbox=\"0 0 16 16\" class=\"table-enlarge-icon\"><path fill-rule=\"evenodd\" clip-rule=\"evenodd\" d=\"M16 11a5 5 0 0 1-5 5H5a5 5 0 0 1-5-5V5a5 5 0 0 1 5-5h6a5 5 0 0 1 5 5v6zm-4.5-2.5h2v-6h-6v2h4v4zm-9-1h2v4h4v2h-6v-6z\"><\/path><\/svg>Click to enlarge<\/button><\/span> <\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\"><em>Source: Hoya Capital Income Builder, TD Ameritrade, Seeking Alpha Premium<\/em><\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">Dividend Score projects the Yield three years from now, on shares bought today, assuming the Dividend Growth rate remains unchanged.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">Valuation metrics<\/h2>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">CUZ sells at an FFO multiple (9.2) that is barely more than half that of the average REIT, and at a 15% discount to its NAV, according to Hoya Capital Income Builder.<\/p>\n<p> <span class=\"table-responsive paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\"><span class=\"table-scroll-wrapper\"><span data-intersection-boundary=\"start\"><\/span><\/p>\n<table>\n<tr class=\"bg-g\">\n<td><strong>Company<\/strong><\/td>\n<td><strong>Div. Score<\/strong><\/td>\n<td><strong>Price\/FFO &#8217;23<\/strong><\/td>\n<td><strong>Premium to NAV<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"bg-y\">CUZ<\/td>\n<td class=\"bg-y\">5.75<\/td>\n<td class=\"bg-gn\">9.2<\/td>\n<td class=\"bg-y\">(-15.2)%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n<p> <span data-intersection-boundary=\"end\"><\/span><\/span><button class=\"table-enlarge-button\"><svg xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" viewbox=\"0 0 16 16\" class=\"table-enlarge-icon\"><path fill-rule=\"evenodd\" clip-rule=\"evenodd\" d=\"M16 11a5 5 0 0 1-5 5H5a5 5 0 0 1-5-5V5a5 5 0 0 1 5-5h6a5 5 0 0 1 5 5v6zm-4.5-2.5h2v-6h-6v2h4v4zm-9-1h2v4h4v2h-6v-6z\"><\/path><\/svg>Click to enlarge<\/button><\/span> <\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\"><em>Source: Hoya Capital Income Builder, TD Ameritrade, and author calculations<\/em><\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">From a value investor&#8217;s perspective, these are good numbers. From a growth investor&#8217;s point of view, these are warning signs.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">What could go wrong?<\/h2>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">Because CUZ operates in fewer than 10 markets, local changes in supply, demand, laws, or demographics can make a big difference. This is particularly true in Atlanta and Austin, which together comprise more than 67% of the company&#8217;s assets. In its 10-K, the company lists political instability, social unrest, and climate change as risk factors. All three are only getting worse. The WFH trend is a headwind that won&#8217;t go away any time soon, and the supply\/demand imbalance in office properties may linger for quite some time. The company also owns 2.2 msf of rentable space in buildings that sit on land they don&#8217;t own, so they are obligated to pay ground leases.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">Investor&#8217;s bottom line<\/h2>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">Cousins is definitely not a growth investor&#8217;s play. However, from a value investor&#8217;s point of view, it is attractive. The dividend is higher and safer than average, and it is trading at a favorable FFO multiple and a solid discount to NAV. Add in recent positive earnings revisions, and this could be a good time to nibble. I rate this company a cautious Buy, with a small allocation. Be prepared for volatility. That is just part of the ride for this company.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">The Street, Zacks, and Ford Equity Research rate CUZ a Hold, while TipRanks thinks the company will outperform. Hoya Capital views it as nearly 20% undervalued.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">The Seeking Alpha Quant ratings system tags CUZ as a Strong Buy.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">\n<figure class=\"regular-img-figure paywall-full-content invisible\" contenteditable=\"false\"><picture> <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/ifintechworld.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/50785209-1689887736787289.png\" alt=\"Factor grades for CUZ: Valuation B-, Growth C-, Profitability B-, Momentum B-, Revisions A+\" contenteditable=\"false\" loading=\"lazy\"> <\/picture><figcaption>\n<p class=\"item-caption\"><span>Seeking Alpha Premium<\/span><\/p>\n<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">Six of the 11 Wall Street analysts covering CUZ rate it a Buy or Strong Buy, with an average price target of $25.67, implying 8.1% upside.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">As always, however, the opinion that matters most is yours.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p>Read the full article <a href=\"https:\/\/seekingalpha.com\/article\/4618745-cousins-properties-reit-enjoy-this-fat-stable-sunbelt-yield?source=feed_all_articles\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">here<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Office REITs remain beaten down, due to the WFH (work-from-home) trend, which is here to stay. Of the 18 REIT sectors, only Cell Towers and Cannabis REITs have fared worse than the (-8.74)% total return posted by Office REITs YTD (year-to-date), while the average equity REIT has returned 3.87%. Meanwhile, the NASDAQ and the S&amp;P [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":39402,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"gallery","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[236],"tags":[83],"class_list":["post-39401","post","type-post","status-publish","format-gallery","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news","tag-featured","post_format-post-format-gallery"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v20.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Cousins Properties REIT: Enjoy This Fat, Stable Sunbelt Yield (NYSE:CUZ) | iFintechWorld<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Office REITs remain beaten down, due to the WFH (work-from-home) trend, which is here to stay. 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