{"id":35571,"date":"2023-07-14T08:18:19","date_gmt":"2023-07-14T12:18:19","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ifintechworld.com\/markets\/u-s-stocks-just-reached-another-market-milestone-heres-how-the-sp-500-could-climb-even-higher\/"},"modified":"2023-07-14T08:18:20","modified_gmt":"2023-07-14T12:18:20","slug":"u-s-stocks-just-reached-another-market-milestone-heres-how-the-sp-500-could-climb-even-higher","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ifintechworld.com\/?p=35571","title":{"rendered":"U.S. stocks just reached another market milestone. Here\u2019s how the S&#038;P 500 could climb even higher."},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"js-article__body\" itemprop=\"articleBody\" data-sbid=\"WP-MKTW-0002273239\" role=\"document\">\n<p>The S&amp;P 500 index reached 4,500 on Thursday for the first time in more than 15 months. It\u2019s the latest milestone that has Wall Street\u2019s equity bulls taking a victory lap. <\/p>\n<p>Ed Yardeni, founder and president of Yardeni Research, correctly anticipated that the S&amp;P 500\u2019s closing low from Oct. 12 would mark a durable bottom. <\/p>\n<div class=\"paywall\">\n<p>He reaffirmed his year-end target of 4,600 during an email exchange with MarketWatch on Thursday. But if the market gets there early, he could raise his target even higher, a prospect he also discussed during an appearance on Bloomberg TV.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cMy year-end target has been 4,600 since the start of this year. If it gets there ahead of schedule, I will probably raise my target to 4800 for the end of this year,\u201d he said. <\/p>\n<p>Right now, it looks like the market will indeed reach his target in the not-too-distant future, according to Julius de Kempenaer, the senior technical analyst at StockCharts.com. He told MarketWatch that he doesn\u2019t expect the market to face much resistance until 4,600. <\/p>\n<p>Why is he so optimistic?  De Kempenaer pointed to signs that the rally in U.S. stocks has broadened dramatically over the past month as cyclical areas of the market, like industrials, materials, consumer discretionary, financials and small-cap stocks have joined megacap technology names in powering the rally. <\/p>\n<p>As a result, the number of S&amp;P 500<br \/>\n        SPX,<br \/>\n        <bg-quote field=\"percentchange\" format=\"0,000.00%\" channel=\"\/zigman2\/quotes\/210599714\/realtime\" class=\"positive\">+0.85%<\/bg-quote><br \/>\n       stocks trading above their 50-day moving average, a closely watched momentum gauge frequently used by technical analysts, has risen to 83.2% as of Wednesday\u2019s close. That\u2019s up from a low of 16.4% on March 10, according to StockCharts data.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThere was a long period of people saying that this was a very fragile market. But that has stopped,\u201d Kempenaer said during a phone interview with MarketWatch. <\/p>\n<p>\u201cThe fact that this is happening while the Fed is still raising rates makes it even more impressive,\u201d he added.<\/p>\n<p>Here are a few other notable factoids that illustrate just how far the market has come from the doldrums of last fall. <\/p>\n<ul class=\"articleList\">\n<li>\n      The S&amp;P 500 has risen 26% off its closing low on October 4 last year of 3,577.03, according to FactSet data. <\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n      The index closed at 4,357.86 on March 16, 2022, the day the Fed announced its first interest rate hike of the cycle. Stocks are now trading more than 3% above that level. <\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n      On Jan. 4, 2022 year the S&amp;P 500 hit an all-time intraday high of 4,818.62. The index is now within 7.2% of this level. <\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>To be sure, the technical setup isn\u2019t the only factor working in the market\u2019s favor. The fundamental outlook for the U.S. economy has improved following the release of Wednesday\u2019s CPI report, which showed inflation in June slowed to its weakest level since August 2021, taking economists by surprise. <\/p>\n<p>Consumer prices increased by 0.2% in June, less than the 0.3% increase that economists polled by The Wall Street Journal had expected. <\/p>\n<p>Neil Dutta, head of economic at Renaissance Macro, summed up the reaction by declaring that the U.S. economy has entered \u201cgoldilocks\u201d territory. The term was closely associated with the decade-long bull run that followed the financial crisis in 2008. It signifies an economic equilibrium where growth is robust and inflation subdued. <\/p>\n<p>\u201cInflation is poised to moderate over the summer as the Fed dials back its tightening campaign in response. This is a positive combination for risk assets,\u201d Dutta said in research shared with MarketWatch on Thursday. <\/p>\n<p>Of course, it\u2019s possible something could go wrong to derail the rally. Stocks have risen rapidly since the S&amp;P 500 finally saw a sustainable break above 4,200 back in May. Last week\u2019s pullback, the second losing week for the S&amp;P 500 in three, gave investors a taste of what a pullback might look like when ADP private payrolls data showed nearly half a million jobs were created in June. <\/p>\n<p>The data sent Treasury yields surging, which sparked a selloff in U.S. stocks. <\/p>\n<p>The following day, the June nonfarm payrolls report from the Department of Labor showed that number was way off. But hotter than expected wage growth of 0.4% helped cement expectations that the Fed would need to push rates higher, and keep them elevated for longer, to tame inflation. <\/p>\n<p>That notion has passed seemingly as quickly as it arrived. Still,  de Kempenaer believes another leg higher in long-duration Treasury yields, like the 10-year note<br \/>\n        TMUBMUSD10Y,<br \/>\n        <bg-quote field=\"percentchange\" format=\"0,000.000%\" channel=\"\" class=\"\">3.778%<\/bg-quote><br \/>\n      and 30-year bond<br \/>\n        TMUBMUSD30Y,<br \/>\n        <bg-quote field=\"percentchange\" format=\"0,000.000%\" channel=\"\" class=\"\">3.897%<\/bg-quote><span>,<\/span><br \/>\n       could create problems for stocks.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cIf you look at the ratio of stocks vs. bonds, stocks are just ripping. But the stock market needs the bond market to be able to continue its rally,\u201d he said. <\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p>Read the full article <a href=\"https:\/\/www.marketwatch.com\/story\/u-s-stocks-just-reached-another-market-milestone-heres-how-the-s-p-500-could-climb-even-higher-dc758004?mod=markets\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">here<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The S&amp;P 500 index reached 4,500 on Thursday for the first time in more than 15 months. It\u2019s the latest milestone that has Wall Street\u2019s equity bulls taking a victory lap. Ed Yardeni, founder and president of Yardeni Research, correctly anticipated that the S&amp;P 500\u2019s closing low from Oct. 12 would mark a durable bottom. [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":35572,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"gallery","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[241],"tags":[83],"class_list":["post-35571","post","type-post","status-publish","format-gallery","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-markets","tag-featured","post_format-post-format-gallery"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v20.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>U.S. stocks just reached another market milestone. Here\u2019s how the S&amp;P 500 could climb even higher. | iFintechWorld<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"The S&amp;P 500 index reached 4,500 on Thursday for the first time in more than 15 months. 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