{"id":34278,"date":"2023-07-11T15:23:50","date_gmt":"2023-07-11T19:23:50","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ifintechworld.com\/markets\/why-amazon-prime-day-wont-move-its-stock-price\/"},"modified":"2023-07-11T15:23:52","modified_gmt":"2023-07-11T19:23:52","slug":"why-amazon-prime-day-wont-move-its-stock-price","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ifintechworld.com\/?p=34278","title":{"rendered":"Why Amazon Prime Day Won\u2019t Move Its Stock Price"},"content":{"rendered":"<div>\n<p>Amazon CEO Andy Jassy \u2014 who took over from Jeff Bezos on July 5, 2021 \u2014 has earned a gentleman\u2019s C for his performance so far.<\/p>\n<p>Amazon\u2019s revenue growth rate has slowed and its stock price has fallen over the last two years. Nevertheless, the online shopping giant\u2019s stock has beaten the S&amp;P 500 so far in 2023 \u2014 up 51% \u2014 and cost cuts have boosted its profits.<\/p>\n<p>Can Amazon\u2019s Prime Day 2023 \u2014 a buzzy buying binge aimed at getting people to buy online by giving discounts to Amazon Prime members \u2014 revive the growth of a groundbreaking company whose boffo founder retired two years ago?<\/p>\n<p>In a word: No. Amazon\u2019s Prime Day \u2014 a fast-fading revenue sugar high \u2014 has historically sent Amazon\u2019s stock ticking down, according to <em data-ga-track=\"ExternalLink:https:\/\/www.investopedia.com\/how-have-amazon-shares-performed-during-prime-day-7557517\">Investopedia<\/em>. I have contacted Amazon for comment and will update this post if I receive a response.<\/p>\n<p><fbs-ad position=\"inread\" progressive=\"\" ad-id=\"article-0-inread\" aria-hidden=\"true\" role=\"presentation\"><\/fbs-ad><\/p>\n<p>Until Jassy can spearhead a significant source of new growth for Amazon, investors should look elsewhere.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"subhead-embed color-accent bg-base font-accent font-size text-align\">When Is Amazon Prime Day 2023?<\/h2>\n<p>Amazon Prime Day \u2014 a holiday the company invented in 2015 to \u201cincrease sales during the slower summer months and to boost Prime memberships\u201d \u2014 is happening July 11 and is forecast to generate about $12.9 billion in revenue this year, according to the <em data-ga-track=\"ExternalLink:https:\/\/www.wsj.com\/articles\/amazons-prime-day-to-test-consumer-demand-cc976288?mod=hp_lead_pos5\">Wall Street Journal<\/em>.<\/p>\n<p>That figure represents a growth slowdown. <em>Insider Intelligence<\/em> estimates 2023\u2019s Amazon Prime Day to be 11% more than last year \u2014 way down from the roughly 60% growth it spurred in its early years \u2014 but a slight improvement over Amazon Prime Day\u2019s sub-10% growth in 2020 and 2021.<\/p>\n<p>Amazon has cut back on its investment from previous years and focuses more on discounts for its own products. Nevertheless, worldwide purchases have grown at a 36.5% average annual rate between 2015 and 2022 \u2014 when people bought 300 million items, according to <em data-ga-track=\"ExternalLink:https:\/\/www.fastcompany.com\/90919743\/amazon-prime-day-2023-will-be-all-about-personalization\">Fast Company<\/em>.<\/p>\n<p>Amazon Prime Day is forecast to boost Amazon Prime subscriptions. JPMorgan analyst Doug Anmuth estimates Amazon Prime memberships will approach 300 million members by the end of the year \u2014 about 100 more than the company had in 2021.<\/p>\n<p>Moreover, analysts will be looking for a revival in demand for computer and consumer-electronics which have fallen since peaking during the Covid-19 pandemic highs, noted the <em>Journal<\/em>.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"subhead-embed color-accent bg-base font-accent font-size text-align\">What\u2019s Special About Amazon Prime Day 2023?<\/h2>\n<p>This year, Amazon plans to minimize shopper confusion by personalizing the buying experience through machine learning and other tools. Carmen Nestares Pleguezuelo, head of Amazon\u2019s U.S. Prime memberships, said, \u201cThe breadth of this event has gotten tremendously big. Your Prime Day and my Prime Day are different. We\u2019re going to tailor Prime Day exclusively for [the customer],\u201d <em>Fast Company<\/em> reported.<\/p>\n<p>Here are highlights of how Amazon will personalize the shopping experience:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Personalized deal campaigns.<\/strong> Nestares Pleguezuelo said Amazon has created more than 40 personalized Prime Day deal campaigns such as \u201crecommended deals for you\u201d or \u201cinspired by your recent history.\u201d<\/li>\n<li><strong>Deals on wish list and items consumers bought before.<\/strong><\/li>\n<li><strong>Customization to each consumer. <\/strong>Amazon will use AI and deep learning to customize the shopper experience based on their shipping and browser histories and wish lists.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2 class=\"subhead-embed color-accent bg-base font-accent font-size text-align\">Jassy\u2019s Gentleman\u2019s C<\/h2>\n<p>Jassy has been more of a tweaker of the company he inherited rather than an innovator who made large investments that created large, new sources of revenue growth.<\/p>\n<p>He has spent the last two years presiding over slowing growth and \u2014 until 2023 \u2014 a declining stock price. Between 2011 and 2021, Amazon revenues grew at a nearly 27% average annual rate while its stock rose at a 40% average annual rate.<\/p>\n<p>Between 2021 and 2022, Amazon revenue increased a mere 9.4% \u2014 about the same rate it grew in the year ending March 2023. During Jassy\u2019s two-year reign over Amazon, its stock price has fallen at a 14.8% average annual rate. To be fair, in 2023, Amazon stock rose far more quickly than the NASDAQ\u2019s<fbs-ticker data-name=\"NDAQ\" data-href=\"https:\/\/www.forbes.com\/companies\/nasdaq\" data-type=\"stock\"><br \/>\n  NDAQ<br \/>\n <\/fbs-ticker>30% rise.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"subhead-embed color-accent bg-base font-accent font-size text-align\">How Does Prime Day Affect Amazon\u2019s Stock?<\/h2>\n<p>Prime Day is not likely to boost Amazon\u2019s stock. What would help Jassy do better than a C is accelerating Amazon\u2019s revenue growth \u2014 which would require the company to invent some new business to sprint past its moribund online retailing unit and its slowing AWS business.<\/p>\n<p>There is no good reason to make an investment decision on Amazon stock based on Prime Day. In the eight years since Prime Day began, Amazon\u2019s stock has fallen an average -0.34% on that day. \u201cOf the eight Prime Days so far, just three (2017, 2018, and 2021) have yielded positive returns for Amazon shares, while five (2015, 2016, 2019, 2020, and 2022) have yielded negative returns,\u201d <em>Investopedia <\/em>wrote.<\/p>\n<h3 class=\"subhead3-embed color-body bg-base font-accent font-size text-align\"><strong>Amazon Stock Price History on Prime Day<\/strong><\/h3>\n<p><em>Investopedia<\/em> provided the details below of Amazon\u2019s stock performance on the previous eight Prime Days.<\/p>\n<p><u>Prime Day 2022 <\/u><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Market open: $111.75<\/li>\n<li>Market close: $110.40<\/li>\n<li>Change: -1.21%<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><u>Prime Day 2021<\/u><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Close 6\/18: $174.35<\/li>\n<li>Close 6\/22: $175.27<\/li>\n<li>% Change: 0.53%<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><u>Prime Day 2020<\/u><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Close 10\/12: $172.15<\/li>\n<li>Close 10\/14: $168.19<\/li>\n<li>% Change: -2.30%<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><u>Prime Day 2019<\/u><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Close 7\/12: $100.55<\/li>\n<li>Close 7\/16: $100.50<\/li>\n<li>% Change: -0.05%<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><u>Prime Day 2018<\/u><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Close 7\/16: $91.12<\/li>\n<li>Close 7\/18: $92.15<\/li>\n<li>% Change: 1.13%<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><u>Prime Day 2017<\/u><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Close 7\/10: $49.82<\/li>\n<li>Close 7\/12: $50.33<\/li>\n<li>% Change: 1.02%<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><u>Prime Day 2016 <\/u><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Close 7\/11: $37.69<\/li>\n<li>Close 7\/12: $37.41<\/li>\n<li>% Change: -0.74%<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><u>Prime Day 2015<\/u><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Close 7\/14: $23.28<\/li>\n<li>Close 7\/15: $23.06<\/li>\n<li>% Change: -0.95%<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>A recent survey found shoppers intend to spend less in 2023 summer sales than in previous years. Their average $250 budget for this year is down 36% and 58% compared to what they spent in 2021 and 2020, respectively, according to <em>Investopedia.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>Those considering an investment in Amazon stock should ask whether the online retailer can resume the 27% average revenue growth rate it enjoyed under Bezos.<\/p>\n<p>For the moment, Amazon seems to be saddled with relatively slow-growing businesses which show no sign of accelerating. As the<em> Journal<\/em> reported, its $450 billion a year retail business has grown \u201cin low single-digit territory for most of the last two years since enjoying a strong early-pandemic bounce.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Meanwhile, Amazon\u2019s oft-touted AWS unit \u2014 a big contributor to its operating profit \u2014 is suffering from relatively slow growth. AWS grew a \u201crecord low of 16%\u201d in the first quarter and Amazon expects that to drop even lower in the second quarter.<\/p>\n<p>Will generative AI boost demand for AWS? Jassy is likely to announce in a November \u201cre:Invent\u201d conference a raft of AI related announcements \u2014 the likes of which sent Google<fbs-ticker data-name=\"GOOG\" data-href=\"https:\/\/www.forbes.com\/companies\/google\" data-type=\"stock\"><br \/>\n  GOOG<br \/>\n <\/fbs-ticker> stock up 15% when the search giant announced them at a May developer\u2019s conference, the <em>Journal<\/em> reported.<\/p>\n<p>Unless he comes up with a new invention that creates a fast-growing future, perhaps Jassy can keep Amazon stock rising by exceeding low expectations. For now, TipRanks reports 38 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for Amazon see the stock rising 11.2% over the next year.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p>Read the full article <a href=\"https:\/\/www.forbes.com\/sites\/petercohan\/2023\/07\/11\/why-amazon-prime-day-wont-move-its-stock-price\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">here<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Amazon CEO Andy Jassy \u2014 who took over from Jeff Bezos on July 5, 2021 \u2014 has earned a gentleman\u2019s C for his performance so far. Amazon\u2019s revenue growth rate has slowed and its stock price has fallen over the last two years. Nevertheless, the online shopping giant\u2019s stock has beaten the S&amp;P 500 so [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":34279,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[241],"tags":[83],"class_list":["post-34278","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-markets","tag-featured"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v20.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Why Amazon Prime Day Won\u2019t Move Its Stock Price | iFintechWorld<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Amazon CEO Andy Jassy \u2014 who took over from Jeff Bezos on July 5, 2021 \u2014 has earned a gentleman\u2019s C for his performance so far. 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