{"id":28245,"date":"2023-06-27T14:33:30","date_gmt":"2023-06-27T18:33:30","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ifintechworld.com\/markets\/a-summer-battle-of-the-stock-bulls-and-bears-is-brewing-heres-how-you-play-both-sides-of-that\/"},"modified":"2023-06-27T14:33:31","modified_gmt":"2023-06-27T18:33:31","slug":"a-summer-battle-of-the-stock-bulls-and-bears-is-brewing-heres-how-you-play-both-sides-of-that","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ifintechworld.com\/?p=28245","title":{"rendered":"A summer battle of the stock bulls and bears is brewing. Here\u2019s how you play both sides of that."},"content":{"rendered":"

The quarter is winding down and with it, a bit of steam for the stock market as some say investors are finally facing up to fading hopes for Fed rate cuts in 2023. The S&P 500
\n SPX,
\n +1.21%<\/bg-quote>
\n and Nasdaq Composite
\n COMP,
\n +1.73%<\/bg-quote>
\n have each logged five losing sessions out of the last six.<\/p>\n

Within those three months came one important move for the S&P. The index finally broke past the big resistance level of 4,200 in June, setting the \u201cpressure point\u201d for bulls and bears and creating some uncertainty for investors, noted a team at Evercore ISI led by Julian Emanuel.<\/p>\n

\n

But they urge investors to \u201cembrace the uncertainty,\u201d in our call of the day<\/strong>, and explain how to manage both sides of how stocks might proceed this summer. <\/p>\n

\u201cThe breakout above 4,200 caused a flood of funds to move into stocks, simultaneous to huge covering of record S&P 500 short futures positions; all these \u2018new longs\u2019 will be \u2018underwater\u2019 at 4,200,\u201d said Emanuel and the team, offering up the following chart: <\/p>\n

<\/p>\n
<\/p>\n<\/figure><\/div>\n

\u201cConversely, the U-turn at 4,450 on exhausted exuberance reminds us that momentum market pullbacks [such as seen in 2021 and 1999] are common and volatile. Yet a move back to 4,450 will rekindle a \u2018chase\u2019 redolent of the 127% rise in NDX [the Nasdaq 100] following the 14.1% fall in 1999,\u201d said the strategists. <\/p>\n

<\/p>\n
<\/p>\n<\/figure><\/div>\n

In short, yet another battle of the bears and the bulls may be ready to play out this summer. Naturally, not all investors are ready to choose sides, so here\u2019s the advice from Evercore, who offer one options strategy known as the strangle. <\/p>\n

That option involves investors holding call and put options, with different strike prices but the same expiration dates and underlying assets. (More on strangles here).<\/p>\n

As a reminder calls are options contracts, often used for bullish bets, that give the holder the right, but not the obligation, to buy the underlying security at a set price by a certain time. Puts work the opposite way, with the holder getting the option to sell. Emanuel and co. say investors who have a firm view could also bet one way or another. <\/p>\n

\u201cWith optionality remaining near its cheapest levels (VIX 14!
\n VIX,
\n -4.00%<\/bg-quote>
\n ) since the pandemic, we recommend buying the SPX Aug 4,450C\/4,200P \u201cstrangle\u201d (Buy call and put; upside hedgers can buy the call alone; downside hedgers the put) to capitalize on the idea that uncertainty should be embraced this summer, because anything can happen,\u201d said Emanuel and the team. <\/p>\n

Also check out what Evercore had to say recently about potential triggers for a selloff. <\/p>\n

Read: <\/strong>The stock market is headed for a big first-half gain. What history says that means for the rest of 2023.<\/p>\n

The markets<\/h2>\n
<\/p>\n
<\/p>\n<\/figure><\/div>\n

Stocks
\n DJIA,
\n +0.74%<\/bg-quote><\/p>\n

SPX,
\n +1.21%<\/bg-quote><\/p>\n

COMP,
\n +1.73%<\/bg-quote>
\n have opened higher after strong durable goods data, with bond yields
\n TMUBMUSD02Y,
\n 4.765%<\/bg-quote><\/p>\n

TMUBMUSD10Y,
\n 3.761%<\/bg-quote>
\n nudging higher after optimistic comments from China\u2019s premier about the nation\u2019s economy, and the dollar
\n DXY,
\n -0.19%<\/bg-quote>
\n down 0.3%. Oil prices
\n CL.1,
\n -2.09%<\/bg-quote>
\n pared an earlier stronger drop. The Hang Seng
\n HSI,
\n +1.88%<\/bg-quote>
\n climbed 1.9% on a mixed day for Asia. <\/p>\n

For more market updates plus actionable trade ideas for stocks, options and crypto,\u00a0subscribe to\u00a0MarketDiem by Investor\u2019s Business Daily.<\/strong><\/p>\n

The buzz<\/h2>\n

Durable goods orders rose the third-straight month and a stronger-than-expected, 1.7 for May, The S&P Case-Shiller home price index indicated rising home prices in April. Elsewhere, consumer confidence rose to the highest since Jan. 2022, while new home sales jumped to a level not seen since Feb. 2022. <\/p>\n

Walgreens Boots Alliance
\n WBA,
\n -9.20%<\/bg-quote>
\n stock is down 6% and headed towards an 11-year low after the drug store chain reported a profit miss and slashed its full-year outlook. General Mills GIS and Micron Technology MU due Wednesday and McCormick MKC and Nike NKE on Thursday (see preview).<\/p>\n

Plus: <\/strong>Does Nike have too many sneakers? Thursday\u2019s results could tell us whether shoes will get cheaper.<\/p>\n

Snowflake\u00a0shares\u00a0
\n SNOW,
\n +4.76%<\/bg-quote>
\n are up nearly 3%\u00a0after the software maker announced AI-related partnerships with Nvidia and Microsoft.<\/p>\n

Another way to play AI stocks:<\/strong> These companies, including Nvidia, have been the most efficient chip makers<\/p>\n

Lordstown Motors shares
\n RIDE,
\n -21.19%<\/bg-quote>
\n dived as the electric vehicle maker filed for bankruptcy protection.<\/p>\n

The International Monetary Fund says corporate profits, not labor costs, are driving inflation higher in the euro area.<\/p>\n

Best of the web<\/h2>\n

Blame rising home prices for the Great Resignation, new research suggests<\/p>\n

The equivalent of 11 football pitches of primary rainforest were destroyed every minute last year.\u00a0<\/p>\n

Pickleball injuries cost Americans nearly $400 million in 2023, with seniors hit hardest.<\/p>\n

The strange life and stranger murder of a rare violin collector<\/p>\n

The chart<\/h2>\n

The below Jefferies chart, using a compilation of data, shows how those with student loans spend nearly one-third of their discretionary dollars at Amazon
\n AMZN,
\n +1.96%<\/bg-quote>
\n and Walmart
\n WMT,
\n -0.13%<\/bg-quote>.<\/span>
\n \u201cThe impending resumption of student loan payments could be a headwind to consumer spending ahead,\u201d said a team of analysts led by Corey Tarlowe.<\/p>\n

<\/p>\n
<\/p>\n<\/figure><\/div>\n

Read:<\/strong> Student-loan payments are coming back \u2014 and these are the stocks most at risk<\/p>\n

And:<\/strong> With debt-ceiling deal, student-loan borrowers will start resuming payments in 3 months \u2014 here\u2019s how to prepare<\/p>\n

Top tickers<\/h2>\n

These were the top-searched tickers on MarketWatch as of 6 a.m.:<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
\n Ticker<\/p>\n<\/td>\n\n Security name<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\n TSLA,
\n +3.04%<\/bg-quote>\n <\/td>\n		\n Tesla<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\n GME,
\n +1.60%<\/bg-quote>\n <\/td>\n		\n GameStop<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\n NVDA,
\n +2.64%<\/bg-quote>\n <\/td>\n		\n Nvidia<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\n MANU,
\n +7.83%<\/bg-quote>\n <\/td>\n		\n Manchester United<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\n MULN,
\n -19.97%<\/bg-quote>\n <\/td>\n		\n Mullen Automotive<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\n NIO,
\n +9.90%<\/bg-quote>\n <\/td>\n		\n Nio<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\n AMC,
\n +0.62%<\/bg-quote>\n <\/td>\n		\n AMC Entertainment<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\n AAPL,
\n +1.58%<\/bg-quote>\n <\/td>\n		\n Apple<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\n LCID,
\n +9.28%<\/bg-quote>\n <\/td>\n		\n Lucid<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\n AMZN,
\n +1.96%<\/bg-quote>\n <\/td>\n		\n Amazon<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n

Random reads<\/h2>\n

While Barbie heads off to the real world, you can go stay in her DreamHouse.<\/p>\n

Scooter has been crowned the world\u2019s ugliest dog.<\/p>\n

The new TikTok trend is pretending to pass out after drinking a purple McDonald\u2019s shake.<\/p>\n

Need to Know starts early and is updated until the opening bell, but\u00a0sign up here\u00a0to get it delivered once to your email box. The emailed version will be sent out at about 7:30 a.m. Eastern.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Listen to the\u00a0Best New Ideas in Money podcast\u00a0with MarketWatch reporter Charles Passy and economist Stephanie Kelton.<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n

Read the full article here<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

The quarter is winding down and with it, a bit of steam for the stock market as some say investors are finally facing up to fading hopes for Fed rate cuts in 2023. The S&P 500 SPX, +1.21% and Nasdaq Composite COMP, +1.73% have each logged five losing sessions out of the last six. Within […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":28246,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"gallery","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[241],"tags":[83],"class_list":["post-28245","post","type-post","status-publish","format-gallery","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-markets","tag-featured","post_format-post-format-gallery"],"yoast_head":"\nA summer battle of the stock bulls and bears is brewing. 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