{"id":27552,"date":"2023-06-26T08:07:53","date_gmt":"2023-06-26T12:07:53","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ifintechworld.com\/markets\/which-is-a-better-beverage-pick-pepsico-stock-or-kdp\/"},"modified":"2023-06-26T08:07:55","modified_gmt":"2023-06-26T12:07:55","slug":"which-is-a-better-beverage-pick-pepsico-stock-or-kdp","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ifintechworld.com\/?p=27552","title":{"rendered":"Which Is A Better Beverage Pick \u2013 PepsiCo Stock Or KDP?"},"content":{"rendered":"<div>\n<p>We believe that <strong data-ga-track=\"ExternalLink:https:\/\/www.trefis.com\/data\/companies\/PEP\/\">PepsiCo stock <\/strong> (NYSE: PEP) and its industry peer <strong data-ga-track=\"ExternalLink:https:\/\/www.trefis.com\/data\/companies\/KDP\/\">Keurig Dr Pepper stock<\/strong><strong> <\/strong>(NYSE: KDP) may offer little returns in the next three years. PEP is trading at <strong>2.9x<\/strong> trailing revenues compared to <strong>3.1x<\/strong> for KDP. Investors have assigned a marginally higher multiple to Keurig Dr Pepper stock due to its slightly better profitability, as discussed below.<\/p>\n<p>If we look at stock returns, PepsiCo<fbs-ticker data-name=\"PEP\" data-href=\"https:\/\/www.forbes.com\/companies\/pepsico\" data-type=\"stock\"><br \/>\n  PEP<br \/>\n <\/fbs-ticker>, with 3% returns this year, has fared better than Keurig Dr Pepper, down 11%, and both have underperformed the broader S&amp;P 500 index, up 14%. There is more to the comparison, and in the sections below, we discuss the potential returns for PEP and KDP. We compare a slew of factors, such as historical revenue growth, returns, and valuation, in an interactive dashboard analysis of <strong data-ga-track=\"ExternalLink:https:\/\/www.trefis.com\/data\/companies\/PEP\/no-login-required\/hFWzxo3B\/PepsiCo-vs-Keurig-Dr-Pepper-Both-Seem-Similar-Bets?fromforbesandarticle=trefis230626\">PepsiCo vs. Keurig Dr Pepper<\/strong>: <strong>Which Stock Is A Better Bet?<\/strong> Parts of the analysis are summarized below.<\/p>\n<p><strong>1. PepsiCo\u2019s Revenue Growth Is Better<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>PepsiCo\u2019s revenue growth has been better, with an <strong>8.8%<\/strong> average annual growth rate in the last three years, compared to <strong>8.2%<\/strong> for Keurig Dr Pepper.<\/li>\n<li>Strong pricing trends have led PepsiCo\u2019s revenue growth over the recent quarters.<\/li>\n<li>After Covid-19 induced lockdowns, the recovery has been swift for the beverage giant, with more people venturing out to travel and dine.<\/li>\n<li>Keurig Dr Pepper did not see any significant impact of the pandemic on its sales, as at-home demand for K-Cups increased due to a sudden surge in at-home consumption.<\/li>\n<li>Keurig Dr Pepper has the edge over other beverage companies, including Coca-Cola<fbs-ticker data-name=\"KO\" data-href=\"https:\/\/www.forbes.com\/companies\/coca-cola\" data-type=\"stock\"><br \/>\n   KO<br \/>\n  <\/fbs-ticker> and PepsiCo, as its coffee segment continues to grow, with people moving away from carbonated drinks and replacing them with beverages like coffee.<\/li>\n<li>Our <strong data-ga-track=\"ExternalLink:https:\/\/www.trefis.com\/data\/companies\/PEP\/no-login-required\/3ygKl1L6\/PepsiCo-PEP-Revenue-Comparison?fromforbesandarticle=trefis230626\">PepsiCo Revenue Comparison<\/strong> and <strong data-ga-track=\"ExternalLink:https:\/\/www.trefis.com\/data\/companies\/KDP\/no-login-required\/ncdGm77A\/Keurig-Dr-Pepper-KDP-Revenue-Comparison?fromforbesandarticle=trefis230626\">Keurig Dr Pepper Revenue Comparison<\/strong> dashboards provide more insight into the companies\u2019 sales.<\/li>\n<li>Looking at the last twelve month period, Keurig Dr Pepper\u2019s <strong>11.5%<\/strong> sales growth is better than <strong>8.9%<\/strong> for PepsiCo.<\/li>\n<li>A challenging macroeconomic environment and a strengthening dollar will likely weigh on PepsiCo\u2019s top-line growth rate in the near term. For Keurig Dr Pepper, Coffee Systems sales are expected to trend higher with the production ramp-up.<\/li>\n<li>Looking forward, both companies are expected to see similar revenue growth in the next three years. The table below summarizes our revenue expectations for the two companies over the next three years. It points to a CAGR of <strong>2.8%<\/strong> for PepsiCo and <strong>1.6%<\/strong> for Keurig Dr Pepper, based on Trefis Machine Learning analysis.<\/li>\n<li>Note that we have different methodologies for companies that are negatively impacted by Covid and those that are not impacted or positively impacted by Covid while forecasting future revenues. For companies negatively affected by Covid, we consider the quarterly revenue recovery trajectory to forecast recovery to the pre-Covid revenue run rate. Beyond the recovery point, we apply the average annual growth observed three years before Covid to simulate a return to normal conditions. For companies registering positive revenue growth during Covid, we consider yearly average growth before Covid with a certain weight to growth during Covid and the last twelve months.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><fbs-ad position=\"inread\" progressive=\"\" ad-id=\"article-0-inread\" aria-hidden=\"true\" role=\"presentation\"><\/fbs-ad><\/p>\n<p><strong>2. Keurig Dr Pepper Is More Profitable<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>PepsiCo\u2019s reported operating margin slid from <strong>15.3%<\/strong> in 2019 to <strong>13.5% <\/strong>in 2022, while that for Keurig Dr Pepper fell from <strong>21.3%<\/strong> to <strong>17.3%<\/strong> over the same period.<\/li>\n<li>Looking at the last twelve month period, Keurig Dr Pepper\u2019s operating margin of <strong>10.6% <\/strong>is slightly better than <strong>10.1% <\/strong>for PepsiCo.<\/li>\n<li>Our <strong data-ga-track=\"ExternalLink:https:\/\/www.trefis.com\/data\/companies\/PEP\/no-login-required\/AoU2mrlA\/PepsiCo-PEP-Operating-Income-Comparison?fromforbesandarticle=trefis230626\">PepsiCo Operating Income Comparison<\/strong><strong> <\/strong>and <strong data-ga-track=\"ExternalLink:https:\/\/www.trefis.com\/data\/companies\/KDP\/no-login-required\/AYEFp0dB\/Keurig-Dr-Pepper-KDP-Operating-Income-Comparison?fromforbesandarticle=trefis230626\">Keurig Dr Pepper Operating Income Comparison<\/strong><strong> <\/strong>dashboards have more details.<\/li>\n<li>Looking at financial risk, PepsiCo fares better, with its <strong>16%<\/strong> debt as a percentage of equity lower than <strong>27%<\/strong> for Keurig Dr Pepper, and its <strong>5%<\/strong> cash as a percentage of assets is also higher than <strong>&lt;1%<\/strong> for the latter, implying that PEP has a better debt position and more cash cushion.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><strong>3. The Net of It All<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>We see that PepsiCo has demonstrated better revenue growth and financial position. On the other hand, Keurig Dr Pepper is more profitable.<\/li>\n<li>Now, looking at prospects, using P\/S as a base, due to high fluctuations in P\/E and P\/EBIT, we believe both will offer little returns in the next three years and can be avoided for better picks in the broader markets. Our <strong data-ga-track=\"ExternalLink:https:\/\/www.trefis.com\/data\/companies\/PEP\/no-login-required\/sdzKNsHS\/Better-Bet-Than-PEP-Stock-index-Peers?fromforbesandarticle=trefis230626\">Better Bet Than PEP Stock<\/strong><strong> <\/strong>dashboard offers superior choices over PEP in the S&amp;P500, including UNH, and V, among others.<\/li>\n<li>If we compare the current valuation multiples to the historical averages, KDP fares better. PepsiCo\u2019s stock trades at <strong>2.9x<\/strong> trailing revenues compared to its last three-year average of <strong>3.2x<\/strong>, and Keurig Dr Pepper stock trades at <strong>3.1x<\/strong> trailing revenues vs. the last three-year average of <strong>4.1x<\/strong>.<\/li>\n<li>Our <strong data-ga-track=\"ExternalLink:https:\/\/www.trefis.com\/data\/companies\/PEP\/no-login-required\/D0HRhz4k\/PepsiCo-PEP-Valuation-Ratios-Comparison?fromforbesandarticle=trefis230626\">PepsiCo Valuation Ratios Comparison<\/strong> and <strong data-ga-track=\"ExternalLink:https:\/\/www.trefis.com\/data\/companies\/KDP\/no-login-required\/JGUDKPM4\/Keurig-Dr-Pepper-KDP-Valuation-Ratios-Comparison?fromforbesandarticle=trefis230626\">Keurig Dr Pepper Valuation Ratios Comparison<\/strong> have more details.<\/li>\n<li>The table below summarizes our revenue and return expectations for both companies over the next three years and points to an expected return of <strong>6%<\/strong> for PepsiCo over this period vs. an <strong>8%<\/strong> expected return for Keurig Dr Pepper stock, based on Trefis Machine Learning analysis \u2013 <strong data-ga-track=\"ExternalLink:https:\/\/www.trefis.com\/data\/companies\/PEP\/no-login-required\/hFWzxo3B\/PepsiCo-vs-Keurig-Dr-Pepper-Both-Seem-Similar-Bets?fromforbesandarticle=trefis230626\">PepsiCo-vs. Keurig Dr Pepper<\/strong>\u2013 which also provides more details on how we arrive at these numbers.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>While PEP and KDP stock may offer little returns in the next three years, it is helpful to see how <strong data-ga-track=\"ExternalLink:https:\/\/www.trefis.com\/data\/companies\/pep\/topic\/peer-comparisons\">PepsiCo\u2019s Peers<\/strong> fare on metrics that matter. You will find other valuable comparisons for companies across industries at <strong data-ga-track=\"ExternalLink:https:\/\/www.trefis.com\/data\/topic\/peer-comparisons\">Peer Comparisons<\/strong><strong>.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>With higher inflation and the Fed raising interest rates, among other factors, PEP stock has seen just a 3% rise this year. Can it drop from here? See how low PepsiCo stock can go by comparing its decline in previous market crashes. Here is a performance summary of all stocks in previous market crashes.<\/p>\n<p>What if you\u2019re looking for a more balanced portfolio instead? Here\u2019s a <strong data-ga-track=\"ExternalLink:https:\/\/www.trefis.com\/data\/companies\/PORTFOLIOS\/no-login-required\/RsQ6oXgC\/High-Quality-Portfolio-30-Stocks-with-189-Return-Since-2016-vs-88-for-S-P-500?fromforbesandarticle=trefis230626\">high-quality portfolio<\/strong> that\u2019s beaten the market consistently since 2016.<\/p>\n<p>Invest with <strong>Trefis <\/strong><strong data-ga-track=\"ExternalLink:https:\/\/dashboards.trefis.com\/data\/companies\/PORTFOLIOS\/no-login-required\/M7MacZNG?fromforbes\">Market Beating Portfolios<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>See all <strong>Trefis <\/strong><strong data-ga-track=\"ExternalLink:https:\/\/dashboards.trefis.com\/data\/price-estimates?fromforbes\">Price Estimates<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p>Read the full article <a href=\"https:\/\/www.forbes.com\/sites\/greatspeculations\/2023\/06\/26\/which-is-a-better-beverage-pick--pepsico-stock-or-kdp\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">here<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>We believe that PepsiCo stock (NYSE: PEP) and its industry peer Keurig Dr Pepper stock (NYSE: KDP) may offer little returns in the next three years. PEP is trading at 2.9x trailing revenues compared to 3.1x for KDP. Investors have assigned a marginally higher multiple to Keurig Dr Pepper stock due to its slightly better [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":27553,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[241],"tags":[83],"class_list":["post-27552","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-markets","tag-featured"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v20.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Which Is A Better Beverage Pick \u2013 PepsiCo Stock Or KDP? | iFintechWorld<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"We believe that PepsiCo stock (NYSE: PEP) and its industry peer Keurig Dr Pepper stock (NYSE: KDP) may offer little returns in the next three years. 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