{"id":20132,"date":"2023-06-08T16:47:19","date_gmt":"2023-06-08T20:47:19","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ifintechworld.com\/markets\/crypto\/bitcoin-now-undervalued-vs-sp-500-according-to-this-metric\/"},"modified":"2023-06-08T16:47:21","modified_gmt":"2023-06-08T20:47:21","slug":"bitcoin-now-undervalued-vs-sp-500-according-to-this-metric","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ifintechworld.com\/?p=20132","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin Now Undervalued vs S&#038;P 500, According to This Metric"},"content":{"rendered":"<div>\n<p>Bitcoin (BTC) is now undervalued versus the S&amp;P 500.<\/p>\n<p>That\u2019s according to a metric that runs an Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) regression of the relationship between bitcoin and S&amp;P 500 over the last 200 days to estimate of fair value for the Bitcoin price based on the current S&amp;P 500 price.<\/p>\n<p>This methodology (an OLS regression of the Bitcoin and S&amp;P 500 prices over the last 200 days) comes up with a fair value of 27,550 for BTC.<\/p>\n<p>At its current price almost exactly $1,000 lower in the mid-$26,000s, bitcoin is currently undervalued versus this estimate of fair value by around 3.7%.<\/p>\n<p>That\u2019s the biggest undervaluation bitcoin has seen versus its 200-day OLS regression-derived fair value to the S&amp;P 500 since mid-February.<\/p>\n<p>Bitcoin and US stocks, particularly growth stocks, have historically had a close trading correlation, with analysts viewing both as speculative risk assets that are sensitive to shifts in interest rates.<\/p>\n<p>US equity markets have been led higher in recent weeks by a surge in big tech stocks amid swelling optimism about the possibility that fast-evolving artificial intelligence (AI) technology will deliver a substantial boost to productivity and profits.<\/p>\n<p>Thanks to the historic correlation between bitcoin and stocks, the more the latter rallies while the former stagnates, the more scope there is for a \u201ccatch-up\u201d rally in bitcoin.<\/p>\n<p>Bitcoin was last changing hands close to 15% lower versus yearly highs hit in the $31,000s in April, while the S&amp;P 500 was on Thursday probing yearly highs just under 4,300.<\/p>\n<h2><strong>Weakening Correlation Limits Prospect of Bitcoin Catch-up Rally<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>However, the argument for a bitcoin catch-up rally to the surging equity market isn\u2019t quite as strong as it was a few months ago.<\/p>\n<p>That\u2019s because, while the correlation between the S&amp;P 500 and bitcoin price is still positive, it has weakened substantially over the last 12 months.<\/p>\n<p>This time last year, the 60-day Pearson correlation between Bitcoin and the S&amp;P 500 was above 0.6, as per data presented by CoinMetrics.io.<\/p>\n<p>Meanwhile, as of the 6<sup>th<\/sup> of June, it was only around 0.14.<\/p>\n<p>Much of the weakening in the two asset classes\u2019 correlation happened in March, when a mini-bank crisis rocked sentiment in the equity sector, but injected a dose of safe-haven demand into bitcoin.<\/p>\n<p>March\u2019s price action was a sign that investors were finally starting to view bitcoin how its long-time proponents have always wanted it to be viewed \u2013 as a decentralized and secure alternative to the current fiat-based monetary system.<\/p>\n<p>Indeed, while bitcoin\u2019s correlation to the S&amp;P 500 has been weakening as of late as investors treat the asset more like a hard-money safe-haven like gold, bitcoin\u2019s correlation to gold has been on the rise.<\/p>\n<p>Bitcoin\u2019s 60-day Pearson correlation to Paxful\u2019s tokenized version of gold (PAXG), which tracks the spot gold price closely, was last around 0.22, having recent hit highs for the year above 0.3.<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<p>Read the full article <a href=\"https:\/\/cryptonews.com\/news\/bitcoin-now-undervalued-vs-sp-500-according-metric.htm\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">here<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Bitcoin (BTC) is now undervalued versus the S&amp;P 500. That\u2019s according to a metric that runs an Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) regression of the relationship between bitcoin and S&amp;P 500 over the last 200 days to estimate of fair value for the Bitcoin price based on the current S&amp;P 500 price. This methodology (an OLS [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":20133,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[243],"tags":[83],"class_list":["post-20132","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-crypto","tag-featured"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v20.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Bitcoin Now Undervalued vs S&amp;P 500, According to This Metric | iFintechWorld<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Bitcoin (BTC) is now undervalued versus the S&amp;P 500.That\u2019s according to a metric that runs an Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) regression of the\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/ifintechworld.com\/?p=20132\" 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