{"id":18317,"date":"2023-06-05T08:28:30","date_gmt":"2023-06-05T12:28:30","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ifintechworld.com\/markets\/metlife-stock-has-a-44-upside-to-its-pre-inflation-peak\/"},"modified":"2023-06-05T08:28:32","modified_gmt":"2023-06-05T12:28:32","slug":"metlife-stock-has-a-44-upside-to-its-pre-inflation-peak","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ifintechworld.com\/?p=18317","title":{"rendered":"MetLife Stock Has A 44% Upside To Its Pre-Inflation Peak"},"content":{"rendered":"<div>\n<p>MetLife stock (NYSE: MET) currently trades around $50 per share, around 30% below (more than 44% upside) its level of approximately $72 on April 20, 2022 (pre-inflation shock high), and has the potential for sizable gains. MetLife<fbs-ticker data-name=\"MET\" data-href=\"https:\/\/www.forbes.com\/companies\/metlife\" data-type=\"stock\"><br \/>\n  MET<br \/>\n <\/fbs-ticker> saw its stock trading at around $63 at the end of June 2022, just before the Fed started increasing rates, and is still 20% below that level. In comparison, the S&amp;P 500 gained about 13% during this period. The stock price has suffered over recent months due to the fear of an economic crisis after the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank, coupled with lower-than-expected results in Q4 2022 and Q1 2023.<\/p>\n<p>Returning to the pre-inflation shock level means that MET stock will have to gain more than 44% from here. However, we do not believe that will materialize in a quarter or two because of investor concerns over a potential recession due to tough macroeconomic conditions. Notably, the pre-inflation shock high is slightly below <strong data-ga-track=\"ExternalLink:https:\/\/www.trefis.com\/data\/companies\/MET\/no-login-required\/RLU5Wttv\/MetLife-MET-Valuation-Is-MET-Stock-Expensive-Or-Cheap-?fromforbesandarticle=trefis230605\">MetLife\u2019s valuation<\/strong> estimate of $75 per share, which also suggests that the stock is undervalued.<\/p>\n<p>Our detailed analysis of  <strong data-ga-track=\"ExternalLink:https:\/\/www.trefis.com\/data\/companies\/MET\/no-login-required\/PKIVIw5l\/MetLife-During-2008-Recession-vs-2022-Inflation-Shock-MET-Stock-Has-46-Upside-If-It-Recovers-To-Pre-Inflation-Shock-Levels-?fromforbesandarticle=trefis230605\">MetLife\u2019s upside post-inflation shock<\/strong> captures trends in the company\u2019s stock during the turbulent market conditions seen over 2022 and compares these trends to the stock\u2019s performance during the 2008 recession.<\/p>\n<p><strong>2022 Inflation Shock<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Timeline of Inflation Shock So Far:<\/p>\n<p><fbs-ad position=\"inread\" progressive=\"\" ad-id=\"article-0-inread\" aria-hidden=\"true\" role=\"presentation\"><\/fbs-ad><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>2020 &#8211; early 2021: Increase in money supply to cushion the impact of lockdowns led to high demand for goods; producers unable to match up.<\/li>\n<li>Early 2021: Shipping snarls and worker shortages from the coronavirus pandemic continue to hurt supply<\/li>\n<li>April 2021: Inflation rates cross 4% and increase rapidly<\/li>\n<li>Early 2022: Energy and food prices spike due to Russian invasion of Ukraine. Fed begins its rate hike process<\/li>\n<li>June 2022: Inflation levels peak at 9% &#8211; the highest level in 40 years. S&amp;P 500 index <strong>declines more than 20%<\/strong> from peak levels.<\/li>\n<li>July &#8211; September 2022: Fed hikes interest rates aggressively &#8211; resulting in an initial recovery in the S&amp;P 500 followed by another sharp decline<\/li>\n<li>Since October 2022: Fed continues rate hike process; improving market sentiments help S&amp;P500 recoup some of its losses<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>In contrast, here\u2019s how MET stock and the broader market performed during the 2007\/2008 crisis.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Timeline of 2007-08 Crisis<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>10\/1\/2007: Approximate pre-crisis peak in S&amp;P 500 index<\/li>\n<li>9\/1\/2008 &#8211; 10\/1\/2008: Accelerated market decline corresponding to Lehman bankruptcy filing (9\/15\/08)<\/li>\n<li>3\/1\/2009: Approximate bottoming out of S&amp;P 500 index<\/li>\n<li>12\/31\/2009: Initial recovery to levels before accelerated decline (around 9\/1\/2008)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><strong>MET and S&amp;P 500 Performance During 2007-08 Crisis<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>MetLife stock declined from nearly $65 in September 2007 (pre-crisis peak) to below $17 in March 2009 (as the markets bottomed out), implying MET stock lost almost 74% of its pre-crisis value. It recovered post the 2008 crisis to levels of around $32 in early 2010, rising 92% between March 2009 and January 2010. The S&amp;P 500 Index saw a decline of 51%, falling from levels of 1,540 in September 2007 to 757 in March 2009. It then rallied 48% between March 2009 and January 2010 to reach levels of 1,124.<\/p>\n<p><strong>MET Fundamentals Over Recent Years<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>MetLife revenues decreased by 3% from $69.6 billion in 2019 to $67.8 billion in 2020 due to a drop in net investment income, before increasing by 5% in 2021. The top line again suffered a 2% drop in 2022 to $69.9 billion due to lower net investment income and net investment losses, despite strong growth in premiums.<\/p>\n<p>Similarly, earnings decreased from $6.10 in 2019 to $5.72 in 2020, before improving to $7.36 in 2021. It declined to $2.93 in 2022, mainly due to an unfavorable increase in total expenses as a % of revenues.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Conclusion<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>With the Fed\u2019s efforts to tame runaway inflation rates helping market sentiments, we believe MetLife stock has the potential for strong gains (more than 44%) once fears of a potential recession are allayed.<\/p>\n<p>What if you\u2019re looking for a more balanced portfolio instead? Here\u2019s a high-quality portfolio that\u2019s beaten the market consistently since 2016.<\/p>\n<p>Invest with <strong>Trefis <\/strong><strong data-ga-track=\"ExternalLink:https:\/\/dashboards.trefis.com\/data\/companies\/PORTFOLIOS\/no-login-required\/M7MacZNG?fromforbes\">Market Beating Portfolios<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>See all <strong>Trefis <\/strong><strong data-ga-track=\"ExternalLink:https:\/\/dashboards.trefis.com\/data\/price-estimates?fromforbes\">Price Estimates<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p>Read the full article <a href=\"https:\/\/www.forbes.com\/sites\/greatspeculations\/2023\/06\/05\/metlife-stock-has-a-44-upside-to-its-pre-inflation-peak\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">here<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>MetLife stock (NYSE: MET) currently trades around $50 per share, around 30% below (more than 44% upside) its level of approximately $72 on April 20, 2022 (pre-inflation shock high), and has the potential for sizable gains. MetLife MET saw its stock trading at around $63 at the end of June 2022, just before the Fed [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":18318,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[241],"tags":[83],"class_list":["post-18317","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-markets","tag-featured"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v20.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>MetLife Stock Has A 44% Upside To Its Pre-Inflation Peak | iFintechWorld<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"MetLife stock (NYSE: MET) currently trades around $50 per share, around 30% below (more than 44% upside) its level of approximately $72 on April 20, 2022\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link 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