{"id":18214,"date":"2023-06-05T03:33:10","date_gmt":"2023-06-05T07:33:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ifintechworld.com\/markets\/the-price-of-oil-could-run-up-soon-6-stocks-to-play-it\/"},"modified":"2023-06-05T03:33:12","modified_gmt":"2023-06-05T07:33:12","slug":"the-price-of-oil-could-run-up-soon-6-stocks-to-play-it","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ifintechworld.com\/?p=18214","title":{"rendered":"The Price of Oil Could Run Up Soon. 6 Stocks to Play It."},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"js-article__body\" itemprop=\"articleBody\" data-sbid=\"WP-BAR-0000662098\">\n<div data-layout=\"wrap\n              \" data-layout-mobile=\"\" class=\"\n        media-object\n        type-InsetMediaIllustration\n          wrap\n  article__inset\n        article__inset--type-InsetMediaIllustration\n          article__inset--wrap\n    article__inset--lead\n  \"><\/p>\n<figure class=\"\n        media-object-image\n        enlarge-image\n        img-wrap\n        article__inset__image\n      \" itemscope=\"\" itemtype=\"http:\/\/schema.org\/ImageObject\"><\/p>\n<\/figure><\/div>\n<p>The price of oil looks primed to rally. There are two general groups of oil stocks to play that possibility\u2014one with potentially big upside, and a safer group that still offers plenty of promise.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>At just over $71 a barrel, WTI crude remains above a key \u201csupport\u201d level in the high-sixties. The commodity has continued to see buyers come in at that level to prop it up for about a year and a half. That buying pressure should continue as the economy seems to be on a path to stabilize next year after seeing decelerating growth this year. <\/p>\n<div class=\"paywall\">\n<p>The Federal Reserve is widely expected to pause its interest-rate increases at its June 13-14 policy meeting as inflation has shown signs of cooling, although one more rate hike is possible in July as a result of the stronger-than-expected labor market. In any case, an end to the Fed\u2019s monetary policy tightening means oil could keep rallying.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>That should bring about stock gains for select oil producers, especially the highest \u201csensitivity\u201d oil stocks, which gain the most when oil prices rise. The reason is rising oil prices mean rising sales, and, because these companies have a lot of fixed expenses, profits tend to rise even faster when sales climb. That\u2019s especially true for smaller oil producers.  <\/p>\n<p>Recently, oil stocks as an entire group have been seeing less upside than usual when the price of the commodity rises. That\u2019s because the shares have already surged from lows in the early days of Covid-19 lockdowns when the price of oil hit rock bottom. That\u2019s why the highest-sensitivity oil producer stocks are worth a look\u2014they could still get a boost from a breakout in oil prices, while less sensitive stocks\u2019 gains might be a less spectacular.<\/p>\n<p>\n        Ovintiv<br \/>\n       (OVV), with a market value of $8.3 billion, has been one of the highest-sensitivity oil stocks in Gerdes Energy Research\u2019s coverage universe. According to analyst John Gerdes, the value of the firm\u2019s estimates for Ovintiv\u2019s free cash flow should have a roughly 55% sensitivity to the price of oil. WTI is up around 5% since the end of May, when it hit its key support level, while Ovintiv stock has jumped almost 8%, much better than the<br \/>\n        Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund<span>\u2019s<\/span><br \/>\n       (XLE) roughly 3% gain over the past two trading days.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Another oil producer to consider is the smaller<br \/>\n        Kosmos Energy<br \/>\n       (KOS), with a $2.8 billion market capitalization. It has a sensitivity of almost 35% to the price of oil, Gerdes says, and the stock has climbed about 11% over the last two sessions. Investors seeking bigger reward from rising crude prices could also look at the $5.4 billion oil producer<br \/>\n        Matador Resources<br \/>\n       (MTDR), which has a sensitivity of just over 30%.<\/p>\n<p>The snag is that this all works in reverse. If oil prices\u2014and sales\u2014drop, these stocks and their profits would theoretically fall the hardest.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>That\u2019s why Gerdes also shows stocks with lower sensitivity, but still fairly high upside, given its estimates of future profits. The value of cash flows for the $63 billion<strong>\u00a0<\/strong><br \/>\n        EOG Resources<br \/>\n       (EOG) has a sensitivity of just under 25%, but Gerdes sees more than 50% upside to the value of its future profits. <\/p>\n<p>\n        ConocoPhillip<br \/>\n      s (COP)\u2014an oil major with a $120 billion market cap\u2014has a sensitivity of about 25%, with the upside to the value of its earnings of about 40%, Gerdes says. The $23 billion<br \/>\n        Diamondback Energy<br \/>\n       (FANG), with a just over 25% sensitivity, has close to 45% upside. <\/p>\n<p>Of course, oil stocks have already started to climb. Investors might want to\u00a0catch them now, or buy on any weakness should the price of oil\u2014and the stocks\u2014stumble.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>  Write to Jacob Sonenshine at jacob.sonenshine@barrons.com<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p>Read the full article <a href=\"https:\/\/www.marketwatch.com\/articles\/wti-oil-stock-price-fed-16715937?mod=markets\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">here<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The price of oil looks primed to rally. There are two general groups of oil stocks to play that possibility\u2014one with potentially big upside, and a safer group that still offers plenty of promise.\u00a0 At just over $71 a barrel, WTI crude remains above a key \u201csupport\u201d level in the high-sixties. The commodity has continued [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":18215,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"gallery","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[241],"tags":[83],"class_list":["post-18214","post","type-post","status-publish","format-gallery","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-markets","tag-featured","post_format-post-format-gallery"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v20.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>The Price of Oil Could Run Up Soon. 6 Stocks to Play It. | iFintechWorld<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"The price of oil looks primed to rally. 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