{"id":17217,"date":"2023-06-02T09:58:23","date_gmt":"2023-06-02T13:58:23","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ifintechworld.com\/investing\/us-jobs-market-is-still-fiery-as-adp-and-us-labor-jobs-reports-streak-far-ahead-of-expectations\/"},"modified":"2023-06-02T09:58:25","modified_gmt":"2023-06-02T13:58:25","slug":"us-jobs-market-is-still-fiery-as-adp-and-us-labor-jobs-reports-streak-far-ahead-of-expectations","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ifintechworld.com\/?p=17217","title":{"rendered":"US Jobs Market Is Still Fiery As ADP And US Labor Jobs Reports Streak Far Ahead Of Expectations"},"content":{"rendered":"<div>\n<h2 class=\"subhead-embed color-accent bg-base font-accent font-size text-align\">Key takeaways<\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li>The US jobs report from the Labor Department came in hotter than expected, but unemployment also rose more than anticipated<\/li>\n<li>ADP jobs report yesterday showed a big increase in April for private payrolls at 278,000 &#8211; far above expert predictions, and JOLTS survey showed layoffs have lost steam<\/li>\n<li>All signs point to the Fed having more work to do on the inflation front<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>The non-farm payrolls report for May has arrived, bringing with it news of a far stronger amount of jobs added to the economy than anticipated. The result has flummoxed experts, who had predicted a cooling of the jobs market. It wasn\u2019t <em>all<\/em> great news &#8211; wage growth slowed and unemployment rose more than expected &#8211; but it\u2019s another tricky decision for the Fed ahead of their June meeting.<\/p>\n<p>As for investors, the stock market was pleasantly surprised to see the jobs market booming and has risen accordingly. Let\u2019s get into the facts and figures to try and determine what the Fed\u2019s next step could look like.<\/p>\n<p><em>Inflation isn\u2019t such a big deal for your portfolio when you have an AI helper on your side. Q.ai\u2019s <\/em><em data-ga-track=\"ExternalLink:https:\/\/learn.tryq.ai\/blog\/inflation-kit?utm_campaign=Forbes&amp;utm_medium=article&amp;utm_source=Forbes\">Inflation Protection Kit<\/em><em> is your helping hand in finding the assets like precious metals, commodities and securities that are performing well, all in a low-risk and neat little package.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><fbs-ad position=\"inread\" progressive=\"\" ad-id=\"article-0-inread\" aria-hidden=\"true\" role=\"presentation\"><\/fbs-ad><\/p>\n<p><em>It works by the AI scanning vast amounts of data to find the top-performing assets on a weekly basis. It then dynamically weights your investment in the Kit\u2019s holdings to help you maximize your returns and stay on top of sticky inflation.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em data-ga-track=\"ExternalLink:https:\/\/refer.tryq.ai\/rPJtRhhOUyb\">Download Q.ai today<\/em><em> for access to AI-powered investment strategies.<\/em><\/p>\n<h2 class=\"subhead-embed color-accent bg-base font-accent font-size text-align\">What did the US jobs report say?<\/h2>\n<p>Released earlier today, the US Labor Department\u2019s employment report is the most comprehensive jobs data available to help determine how the market is faring. It was a mixed bag with a surprisingly huge jobs jump, indicating the Fed still has some work to do in the battle against inflation.<\/p>\n<p>Non-farm payrolls hit 339,000 for the month, marking the 29th month in a row of positive job growth. Analysts had anticipated the US economy would add 192,000 roles for the month. March and April\u2019s figures were also revised, with the three-month average hitting 283,000 positions added monthly.<\/p>\n<p>There was some good news on the wage growth front, which saw a slight decrease in May. It rose 0.3% for the month, hitting a 4.3% annual pace and down from April\u2019s 0.5% jump.<\/p>\n<p>As for unemployment, the rate hit 3.7% for May. Economists had predicted the unemployment rate would hit 3.5%, a minor increase from April\u2019s 3.4% figure &#8211; but an increase nonetheless. It still keeps the US unemployment rate at the lowest in decades.<\/p>\n<p>Unemployment is calculated on household surveys, which saw 130,000 people enter the labor force in May &#8211; but it was against 440,000 more people becoming unemployed. It\u2019s an interesting puzzle for the Fed to decipher.<\/p>\n<p>No single industry saw a notable decline in hiring, with professional and business services, leisure and hospitality and construction all making gains in May. The labor force participation rate stayed at 62.6%.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"subhead-embed color-accent bg-base font-accent font-size text-align\">What did the ADP jobs report say?<\/h2>\n<p>The US private payrolls figure from the ADP National Employment report released yesterday showed another significant increase for May. Private payrolls increased by 278,000 last month, whereas analysts had predicted the figure would be around 170,000.<\/p>\n<p>Interestingly, wage gains fell slightly to 6.5% from 6.7% in April and job movers reported an annual increase of 12.1%, a sharp fall from the previous month. This is good news for the Fed as it looks to avoid a wage-prices spiral that bakes in higher inflation to the US economy.<\/p>\n<p>April\u2019s result was also slightly revised to 291,000 jobs added instead of the previously reported 296,000 jobs. The same happened for March and February. The results suggest we\u2019re looking at a slowdown, but it\u2019s very gradual &#8211; whereas the Fed would like the jobs market to be iced off a little more.<\/p>\n<p>The US Labor Department\u2019s Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey showed layoffs have significantly declined in the last few weeks. For every unemployed individual, there were 1.8 job openings available, up slightly from 1.7 in March.<\/p>\n<p>Job openings climbed 358,000 higher to hit 10.1 million open job roles by the last day of April, whereas analysts had predicted there would be 9.375 million job openings. The stronger-than-expected results were down to the retail, healthcare and utilities sectors, while durable goods manufacturing saw a decline in job openings.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"subhead-embed color-accent bg-base font-accent font-size text-align\">What does it mean for the markets and the Fed?<\/h2>\n<p>The stock market jumped at the latest US jobs report, with the Dow Jones up 0.47% and the S&amp;P 500 futures rising 1% higher. The price of Bitcoin has maintained at around $27,000 while gold prices weakened slightly.<\/p>\n<p>The JOLTS April survey saw stocks dip lower, the US dollar gain in strength and US Treasury yields rise slightly. Gold has also been climbing higher this week off the back of yields easing slightly.<\/p>\n<p>The ADP jobs report isn\u2019t considered to be as accurate as today\u2019s report from the US Labor Department, given previous figures have been revised significantly down in the past, otherwise the results could have thoroughly spooked Wall Street about another rate hike.<\/p>\n<p>As for the Fed, it\u2019s a bit of a head-scratcher to see so many jobs added to the economy, yet unemployment increased by more than expected. It\u2019s highly possible the Fed may now be swayed to introduce another interest rate increase at its next meeting in a couple of weeks thanks to another monster jobs result far ahead of expectations<\/p>\n<p>On the other hand, a more robust unemployment rate increase and wage growth slowing may be enough to sway the Fed that a rate pause, or \u2018skip\u2019 as we\u2019ve been hearing this week, is acceptable.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"subhead-embed color-accent bg-base font-accent font-size text-align\">The bottom line<\/h2>\n<p>The jobs report was a genuinely mixed result, and we don\u2019t envy the Fed\u2019s position in trying to decipher what it all means. It\u2019s anyone\u2019s call on what happens next with interest rates, though some more economic data in the coming weeks could provide further clarity.<\/p>\n<p>For investors, a more substantial jobs market means employers aren\u2019t acting like a recession is coming soon &#8211; so they\u2019re doing the same. The real question now is whether it can afford to wait until July for a rate hike, or if it will be spooked into making a quick decision. Either way, the battle against inflation is far from over.<\/p>\n<p><em>Despite the tricky economic environment, the tech market has thrived against all odds thanks to the AI revolution. Harness that same technology in your investing strategy with Q.ai\u2019s <\/em><em data-ga-track=\"ExternalLink:https:\/\/learn.tryq.ai\/blog\/emerging-tech-kit?utm_campaign=Forbes&amp;utm_medium=article&amp;utm_source=Forbes\">Emerging Tech Kit<\/em><em> to help generate returns in the buzzy but volatile market.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>It works by the AI algorithm doing the heavy lifting so you don\u2019t have to, scanning massive amounts of data to find the tech stocks and ETFs on track to perform. It then realigns the Kit\u2019s holdings with your investment to help you build wealth and stay one step ahead.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em data-ga-track=\"ExternalLink:https:\/\/refer.tryq.ai\/rPJtRhhOUyb\">Download Q.ai today<\/em><em> for access to AI-powered investment strategies.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p>Read the full article <a href=\"https:\/\/www.forbes.com\/sites\/qai\/2023\/06\/02\/us-jobs-market-is-still-fiery-as-adp-and-us-labor-reports-streak-far-ahead-of-expectations\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">here<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Key takeaways The US jobs report from the Labor Department came in hotter than expected, but unemployment also rose more than anticipated ADP jobs report yesterday showed a big increase in April for private payrolls at 278,000 &#8211; far above expert predictions, and JOLTS survey showed layoffs have lost steam All signs point to the [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":17218,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[239],"tags":[83],"class_list":["post-17217","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-investing","tag-featured"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v20.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>US Jobs Market Is Still Fiery As ADP And US Labor Jobs Reports Streak Far Ahead Of Expectations | iFintechWorld<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Key takeaways The US jobs report from the Labor Department came in hotter than expected, but unemployment also rose more than anticipated ADP jobs report\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" 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