{"id":13510,"date":"2023-05-25T05:19:24","date_gmt":"2023-05-25T09:19:24","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ifintechworld.com\/news\/huntington-bancshares-why-michael-burry-backed-this-bank-nasdaqhban\/"},"modified":"2023-05-25T05:19:26","modified_gmt":"2023-05-25T09:19:26","slug":"huntington-bancshares-why-michael-burry-backed-this-bank-nasdaqhban","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ifintechworld.com\/?p=13510","title":{"rendered":"Huntington Bancshares: Why Michael Burry Backed This Bank (NASDAQ:HBAN)"},"content":{"rendered":"<div data-test-id=\"content-container\">\n<figure class=\"getty-figure\" data-type=\"getty-image\"><picture>  <\/picture><figcaption> <\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>Huntington Bancshares Incorporated (<span class=\"ticker-hover-wrapper\">NASDAQ:HBAN<\/span>) is one of the largest regional banks in America &#8211; specifically operating across twelve states from its headquarters based in Columbus Ohio. This bank holding company operates through its subsidiary known as The Huntington National Bank that offers<span class=\"paywall-full-content invisible\"> individuals alongside businesses with an array of banking services. As of March 31st of this year the company had amassed assets totaling $189 billion with deposits amounting to $145 billion whilst having provided loans worth $119 billion &#8211; rendering it as an impactful player within the industry.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible\">I will evaluate Huntington\u2019s stock based on its valuation, growth, profitability, and risk. I will also compare it to some of its peers in the regional banking sector. My main thesis is that Huntington is a buy recommendation, as it is trading at a discount to its intrinsic value, solid profitability, and a manageable risk profile. I will also discuss<span class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\"> the best-in-class dividend and as always take a look at the challenges that could affect Huntington\u2019s performance and outlook in the near and long term.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2 class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">Investment Strategy<\/h2>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">For starters, Huntington is right where I like it trading at just about 15% above its 52-week low. I added this to my investment strategy a number of years ago with great success. I&#8217;ll let famed investor Michael Burry explain its value:<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">\n<p>&#8220;As for when to buy, I mix some barebones technical analysis into my strategy &#8212; a tool held over from my days as a commodities trader. Nothing fancy. But I prefer to buy within 10% to 15% of a 52-week low that has shown itself to offer some price support. That&#8217;s the contrarian part of me. And if a stock&#8230; breaks to a new low, in most cases I cut the loss. That&#8217;s the practical part. I balance the fact that I am fundamentally turning my back on potentially greater value with the fact that since implementing this rule, I haven&#8217;t had a single misfortune blow up my entire portfolio.&#8221;<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">What does this mean?<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">Now is the time to buy, as the stock trades at $10.53 at present.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">Second, this is a volatile holding heavily subject to economic conditions, the upcoming debt ceiling matter, and more.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">So what?<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">An investment in Huntington should be a relatively small holding if you don&#8217;t plan to hold for a decade&#8211; and I don&#8217;t.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">Finally, I plan to hold onto this until it hits $15 per share.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">No more rhetorical questions. I will sell my shares when the company reaches my price target of $15. Got it?<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">To think they told me I couldn&#8217;t be a comedian.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">Dividend Monster<\/h2>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">One of the most appealing aspects of Huntington\u2019s stock is its generous dividend policy. The bank has been paying dividends consistently since 1990. The current annual dividend is $0.64 per share, which translates to a yield of 5.88% based on the current stock price of $10.53. This is well above the average yield of 2.9% for the regional banking sector and 1.66% for the S&amp;P 500 index.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"sa-widget sa-ycharts paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\"><span><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/ifintechworld.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/saupload_2e1cad5a59cb0bc231689fe8593594b2_thumb1.png\" alt=\"Chart\" loading=\"lazy\"><\/span><figcaption>Data by YCharts<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">Not only is Huntington\u2019s dividend high, but it is also sustainable and growing. The bank\u2019s payout ratio, which shows how much of its earnings are distributed to shareholders, is 40%, which is above the industry average of 34% and within its own target range of 40% to 60%. This means that the bank retains enough earnings to reinvest in its business and support its future growth. The bank\u2019s free cash flow yield, which shows how much cash it generates relative to its market value, is 3.39% and indicates that the bank has more than enough cash to cover its dividend and other obligations.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">Huntington\u2019s dividend has also been growing at a remarkable pace over the years. The bank has increased its dividend at a compound annual rate of 10% over the past five years and 15% over the past 10 years. While I don\u2019t expect Huntington to maintain such a high dividend growth rate in the future, given the challenges posed by the low interest rate environment and the integration of TCF Financial Corporation, which it acquired in December 2022, I still believe that Huntington will continue to reward its shareholders with above-average dividend growth and returns.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">Profitability<\/h2>\n<p> <span class=\"table-responsive paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\"><span class=\"table-scroll-wrapper\"><span data-intersection-boundary=\"start\"><\/span><\/p>\n<table>\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th>Profitability Metrics<\/th>\n<th>HBAN<\/th>\n<td>Industry<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tr>\n<td>Return on assets (ROA)<\/td>\n<td>1.26%<\/td>\n<td>0.98%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Return on average equity (ROE)<\/td>\n<td>13.92%<\/td>\n<td>10%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Net interest margin (NIM)<\/td>\n<td>3.65%<\/td>\n<td>2.97%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Loan\/Deposit Ratio<\/td>\n<td>82%<\/td>\n<td>62%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n<p> <span data-intersection-boundary=\"end\"><\/span><\/span><button class=\"table-enlarge-button\"><svg xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" viewbox=\"0 0 16 16\" class=\"table-enlarge-icon\"><path fill-rule=\"evenodd\" clip-rule=\"evenodd\" d=\"M16 11a5 5 0 0 1-5 5H5a5 5 0 0 1-5-5V5a5 5 0 0 1 5-5h6a5 5 0 0 1 5 5v6zm-4.5-2.5h2v-6h-6v2h4v4zm-9-1h2v4h4v2h-6v-6z\"><\/path><\/svg>Click to enlarge<\/button><\/span> <\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">To briefly explain the significance here:<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">Return on assets (ROA) measures how efficiently a bank uses its assets to generate earnings. A higher ROA indicates that a bank is more profitable and productive. Huntington\u2019s ROA of 1.26% is well above the industry average of 0.98%, which means that Huntington is able to earn more income from its assets than its competitors. This reflects Huntington\u2019s ability to optimize its asset mix, maintain high asset quality, and control its operating expenses.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">Return on average equity (ROE) measures how effectively a bank uses its shareholders\u2019 equity to generate earnings. A higher ROE indicates that a bank is more profitable and rewarding to its shareholders. Huntington\u2019s ROE of 13.92% is significantly higher than the industry average of 10%, which means that Huntington is able to earn more income from its equity than its competitors. This reflects Huntington\u2019s ability to leverage its capital, grow its earnings, and pay attractive dividends.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">Net interest margin (NIM) measures the difference between the interest income a bank earns from its loans and investments and the interest expense it pays on its deposits and borrowings. A higher NIM indicates that a bank is more profitable and efficient in managing its interest income and expense. Huntington\u2019s NIM of 3.65% is much higher than the industry average of 2.97%, which means that Huntington is able to earn more interest income from its loans and investments than its competitors. This reflects Huntington\u2019s ability to offer competitive loan rates, diversify its loan portfolio, and manage its interest rate risk.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">Loan\/Deposit Ratio measures the percentage of a bank\u2019s loans that are funded by its deposits. A higher loan\/deposit ratio indicates that a bank is more profitable and aggressive in lending out its deposits. Huntington\u2019s loan\/deposit ratio of 82% is higher than the industry average of 62%, which means that Huntington is able to lend out more of its deposits than its competitors. This reflects Huntington\u2019s ability to attract and retain deposit customers, generate loan demand, and maintain liquidity.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">Valuation<\/h2>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">It&#8217;s not hard to see that Huntington is cheap. All we have to do is do a little peer analysis. I usually perform an excess returns model for bank valuation, but for Huntington, I believe a peer analysis is much more relevant and illuminating. I compared with Regions Financial Corp. (RF), Fifth Third Bancorp (FITB), M&amp;T Bank Corp. (MTB), and East West Bancorp (EWBC).<\/p>\n<figure class=\"regular-img-figure paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\" contenteditable=\"false\"><picture> <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/ifintechworld.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/saupload_611b9bb6c0c36ee17ec324c0fbcfb4c4.png\" alt=\"PE Comparison between HBAN and Peers\" contenteditable=\"true\" loading=\"lazy\"> <\/picture><figcaption>\n<p class=\"item-caption\"><span style=\"background-color: navy; color: white;\"><\/span>Author, YCharts<\/p>\n<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">Huntington is trading at the second lowest P\/E among its peers, second only to East West Bancorp. Coincidentally, I am very bullish on East West Bancorp, and you can find my article about why Li Lu, The &#8220;Warren Buffett of China&#8221; invested in it here.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"regular-img-figure paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\" contenteditable=\"false\"><picture> <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/ifintechworld.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/saupload_42d9050321af67784f79f68e7c7a9f64.png\" alt=\"Chart PB Comparison between HBAN and Peers\" contenteditable=\"true\" loading=\"lazy\"> <\/picture><figcaption>\n<p class=\"item-caption\"><span style=\"background-color: navy; color: white;\"><\/span>Author, YCharts<\/p>\n<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">Book value is another very important metric for us to take a look at. I&#8217;m happy to report that Huntington is again second only to one as the cheapest trading on BV. I calculate the Book Value Per Share to be about $11.27, meaning you can buy this great bank at or below book value. The real story here is that the bank trades at the cheapest or near the cheapest among its peers in nearly every relevant valuation metric.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">My valuation is quite simple, really.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">Huntington Trades at a P\/E of 6.80, its historical median is 12.84. Assuming conservatively that Huntington somehow does not return to this median and falls short at 10-11, we can expect an appreciation to at least $15 per share, providing somewhere in the range of a 50% return. Comparing my valuation to my colleague Leo Nelissen who reached a target of $16, and the Wall St consensus of around $13 my valuation is the colloquial happy medium. This bank has no reason to be trading at such low multiples, but I have created a conservative estimate for these trying times.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">Risks<\/h2>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">Huntington Bank is not without its risks and challenges, as it operates in a highly competitive and regulated industry that is exposed to various economic and market factors. I will provide what I consider to be the two main risks that Huntington faces or may face in the future:<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">Credit risk: This is the risk of loss due to borrowers or counterparties failing to repay their loans or obligations. Credit risk is inherent in any lending business and can be affected by changes in economic conditions, customer behavior, industry trends, or credit quality. Huntington has a diversified loan portfolio across various segments, such as consumer, commercial, and real estate. However, some of these segments may be more vulnerable to credit deterioration than others, especially during recessions or downturns. For example, Huntington has a significant exposure to the auto lending segment, which accounted for 17% of its total loans. Auto loans tend to have higher default rates and lower recovery rates than other types of loans, and may also be subject to regulatory scrutiny or litigation. Huntington also has a sizable exposure to the energy sector, which accounted for 4% of its total loans. Energy loans are subject to volatility in oil and gas prices and demand, as well as environmental and social risks.<\/p>\n<p>Huntington has been proactive in managing its credit risk by maintaining high underwriting standards, enhancing its credit monitoring and risk rating systems, increasing its loan loss reserves and provisions, and reducing its exposure to certain segments or geographies. However, credit risk remains a significant risk factor that could affect Huntington\u2019s earnings, asset quality, capital adequacy, and reputation.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">Interest rate risk: This is the risk of loss due to changes in interest rates that affect the bank\u2019s net interest income and margin. Interest rate risk is inherent in any banking business and can be affected by changes in monetary policy, market conditions, customer behavior, or competition. Huntington has a large deposit base that provides a low-cost source of funding for its lending activities. However, some of these deposits are sensitive to interest rate changes and may reprice faster than the bank\u2019s assets. This could result in a compression of the bank\u2019s net interest margin and income if interest rates rise rapidly or unexpectedly.<\/p>\n<p>Huntington has been active in managing its interest rate risk by adjusting its asset-liability mix, hedging its interest rate exposure, diversifying its fee income sources, and optimizing its deposit pricing strategy. However, interest rate risk remains a significant risk factor that could affect Huntington\u2019s earnings, profitability, growth potential, and valuation.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">The Michael Burry Bonus<\/h2>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">Famed Investor Michael Burry initiated a position in Huntington, accounting for about 2% of his portfolio&#8211; in line with my recommendation. Burry is an admittedly hard investor to follow into trades, but of note is that Huntington is at or below where he purchased it based on the time of his 13F filing. Burry has an outstanding return (a 3-year performance of 356%), and as you likely guessed, it isn&#8217;t because he picks a bunch of losers.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">Burry tends to buy out-of-favor businesses and sell them when they&#8217;ve been &#8220;polished up a bit.&#8221; That&#8217;s precisely the opportunity we have here, leaving me with little to no uncertainty about his investment thesis. Michael Burry&#8217;s vote of confidence is not reason enough to invest in Huntington. However, alongside its growing dividend, well-managed profitability, and its cheap valuation, it&#8217;s hard not to grab a few shares.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">Love him or hate him. He outperforms your favorite analysts year after year. So either grab some popcorn and watch or call up your broker and make a move.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">Takeaway<\/h2>\n<p class=\"paywall-full-content invisible no-summary-bullets\">Huntington trades at a discount to its intrinsic value and has solid profitability and a manageable risk profile. The bank also pays a generous and growing dividend that provides a steady income stream and a margin of safety. I believe the bank has a potential upside of 42% from present levels on a conservative valuation. What&#8217;s more is that while you wait for that share price appreciation, you can collect your fat 5.88% dividend. I assign a buy rating to Huntington stock at its current price of $10.53 and maintain a buy until $12, at which point I will issue a hold rating as price supports diminish.<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<p>Read the full article <a href=\"https:\/\/seekingalpha.com\/article\/4607252-huntington-bancshares-why-michael-burry-backed-this-bank?source=feed_all_articles\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">here<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Huntington Bancshares Incorporated (NASDAQ:HBAN) is one of the largest regional banks in America &#8211; specifically operating across twelve states from its headquarters based in Columbus Ohio. This bank holding company operates through its subsidiary known as The Huntington National Bank that offers individuals alongside businesses with an array of banking services. As of March 31st [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":13511,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"gallery","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[236],"tags":[83],"class_list":["post-13510","post","type-post","status-publish","format-gallery","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news","tag-featured","post_format-post-format-gallery"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v20.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Huntington Bancshares: Why Michael Burry Backed This Bank (NASDAQ:HBAN) | iFintechWorld<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Huntington Bancshares Incorporated (NASDAQ:HBAN) is one of the largest regional banks in America - specifically operating across twelve states from its\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/ifintechworld.com\/?p=13510\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Huntington Bancshares: Why Michael Burry Backed This Bank (NASDAQ:HBAN) | iFintechWorld\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Huntington Bancshares Incorporated (NASDAQ:HBAN) is one of the largest regional banks in America - 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